I don't really know about the others but you should be okay with Vandy, although Kentucky seems to play better in Nashville and Vandy plays better in Lexington. Cats numbers are inflated as they've played no P5 opponents and played 1 FCS school E Kentucky. Their defense is pretty good and the QB can throw, they just don't have the running game (OL) that their use to having and it's hard to dominate without a good running game.