2025 Road to Nattyville
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
This is what’s left today after a shitty Friday night.
Over 50.5 NT/Army - Army did manage to go into Manhattan and beat an ok K State team and they put up points vs Tarleton State who most folks have dissed since they're an FCS team but don't let that fool you when post season begins with Tarleton State mixed in it, North Texas had a hard fought battle last week and they'll have troubles stopping Army's running game which also shows the tendency to pass with quality plays, this is a shootout too, Army 38 NT 31
UNLV -2.5 - Runnin Rebs are back, Mullen's name already thrown out there for better jobs at V Tech & UCLA? Come on ppl!! Get a life, he's not going anywhere just yet and his team in Vegas piggy backs off last year's success. Miami OH btw, is just meh, most MAC teams are showing vulnerability and not covering the number as they have in the past vs Non-conference show downs. This is a good spot for the Runnin Rebs on the road to show what they are made of. UNLV 31 M-OH 14
Over 63.5 SMU/TCU - shootout with two quality QBs going H2H here, Jennings should expose the "D" that gave up a first drive TD to UNC in week 1, TCU counters with a decent passing game and have depth at running back, word is Barnes may not play for the horny toads, SMU 41 TCU 35.
Miami-F -7 - Canes on paper much better than the Gators, especially on "D", last year Canes won at Fla 42-17, this is in Miami, make it close to a repeat, Miami 35 Fla 24
N Illini +21.5 - Huskies may give Bulldogs fits as they did Notre Dame last year. Sandwich spot, State off big win vs ASU and N Illini program looking to evolve further under Hammock.
Over 56.5 T Tech/Utes - first tested matchup for both teams, Red Raiders highest scoring "O" in the nation, Utes put up points too with Dampier, mile high area of the country, Tech could get winded the 2H, Utah 37 TT 34
Over 62.5 Hogs/Tigers - Arkansas will best tested by the Tigers here after a battle in Oxford last weekend coming up short vs the Rebels, Tigers are just plodding along and scoring on everyone so far, big recruiting spot too for Hogs here, neither "D" is potent enuf to stop the other from scoring, the rest will be field position, Hogs are 7-0 in 2nd of B2B road games, Tigers 7-0 as dogs > 6 points, Ark 38 Memphis 30
Over 47.5 S Car/Mizzou - Sellers may play here, he got an ouchy last weekend, Mizzou has been playing lights out, another home tilt here, no let down, Tigers could run it up in a revenge spot where they lost 34-30 last year, Mizzou 35 SC 27
Over 55.5 Beavers/Ducks (5 units) - Ducks can name their score, Beavers sucked all year, revenge spot here tho it's in Eugene home of the Ducks, Dante goes off Ducks 49 Beavers 14
ULL -2.5 - Ragin Cajuns just too much for EMU
Over 56.5 Kent St/Noles (5 units) - Noles may look ahead and can name their number here, Castellanos may not play the entire game once Noles are up, this feels like a national blowout, FSU 56 Kent St 7
Over 47.5 Auburn/Sooners - most touts all over Sooners and talking about their "D", Tigers have added a couple new coordinators and QB looking in a revenge spot on the road will test Sooners, OU 31 AU 24
Over 60.5 Green Wave/Rebs (5 units) - should be a shootout in Oxford, Ole Piss 35 Tulane 31
Huskers +2.5 - Homer call? Hmmm? Bugeaters have not gone on the road yet, this is game 4 in a row at home, Sparty on deck, revenge situation as Nebraska has lost 3 straight to Wolverines, who are young, Underwood on the road for 2nd time, face a hostile crowd vs a team that can pass to the tight ends and have electric wideouts and a Heisman darkhorse in Emmett Johnson, Raiola should control the ball well, Husker DBS hunt down Underwood, Nebraska pulls it out 31 to 27.
Over 45.5 Mich/Bugeaters (read above)
Over 49.5 Cougars/Pirates - ECU in a home dog spot for first time this year, Cougars get tested on the road, BYU 34 ECU 30
Illini +6.5 - Hoosiers are tuff and have a decent running game, Illini with established QB and find ways to take turnovers into points, coin flip
Over 52.5 Illini/Hoosiers
Over 53 Wazoo/Huskies
Over 52.5 G State/Commodores (5 units) - Pavia in a revenge situation, Vandy 41 GSU 20
Cal -11.5 - Bears young QB should exploit Ass-teks here on the road after beating them last year 31-10 at home, this time on the road, duplicate, Cal 31 SDSU 17
Over 50.5 NT/Army - Army did manage to go into Manhattan and beat an ok K State team and they put up points vs Tarleton State who most folks have dissed since they're an FCS team but don't let that fool you when post season begins with Tarleton State mixed in it, North Texas had a hard fought battle last week and they'll have troubles stopping Army's running game which also shows the tendency to pass with quality plays, this is a shootout too, Army 38 NT 31
UNLV -2.5 - Runnin Rebs are back, Mullen's name already thrown out there for better jobs at V Tech & UCLA? Come on ppl!! Get a life, he's not going anywhere just yet and his team in Vegas piggy backs off last year's success. Miami OH btw, is just meh, most MAC teams are showing vulnerability and not covering the number as they have in the past vs Non-conference show downs. This is a good spot for the Runnin Rebs on the road to show what they are made of. UNLV 31 M-OH 14
Over 63.5 SMU/TCU - shootout with two quality QBs going H2H here, Jennings should expose the "D" that gave up a first drive TD to UNC in week 1, TCU counters with a decent passing game and have depth at running back, word is Barnes may not play for the horny toads, SMU 41 TCU 35.
Miami-F -7 - Canes on paper much better than the Gators, especially on "D", last year Canes won at Fla 42-17, this is in Miami, make it close to a repeat, Miami 35 Fla 24
N Illini +21.5 - Huskies may give Bulldogs fits as they did Notre Dame last year. Sandwich spot, State off big win vs ASU and N Illini program looking to evolve further under Hammock.
Over 56.5 T Tech/Utes - first tested matchup for both teams, Red Raiders highest scoring "O" in the nation, Utes put up points too with Dampier, mile high area of the country, Tech could get winded the 2H, Utah 37 TT 34
Over 62.5 Hogs/Tigers - Arkansas will best tested by the Tigers here after a battle in Oxford last weekend coming up short vs the Rebels, Tigers are just plodding along and scoring on everyone so far, big recruiting spot too for Hogs here, neither "D" is potent enuf to stop the other from scoring, the rest will be field position, Hogs are 7-0 in 2nd of B2B road games, Tigers 7-0 as dogs > 6 points, Ark 38 Memphis 30
Over 47.5 S Car/Mizzou - Sellers may play here, he got an ouchy last weekend, Mizzou has been playing lights out, another home tilt here, no let down, Tigers could run it up in a revenge spot where they lost 34-30 last year, Mizzou 35 SC 27
Over 55.5 Beavers/Ducks (5 units) - Ducks can name their score, Beavers sucked all year, revenge spot here tho it's in Eugene home of the Ducks, Dante goes off Ducks 49 Beavers 14
ULL -2.5 - Ragin Cajuns just too much for EMU
Over 56.5 Kent St/Noles (5 units) - Noles may look ahead and can name their number here, Castellanos may not play the entire game once Noles are up, this feels like a national blowout, FSU 56 Kent St 7
Over 47.5 Auburn/Sooners - most touts all over Sooners and talking about their "D", Tigers have added a couple new coordinators and QB looking in a revenge spot on the road will test Sooners, OU 31 AU 24
Over 60.5 Green Wave/Rebs (5 units) - should be a shootout in Oxford, Ole Piss 35 Tulane 31
Huskers +2.5 - Homer call? Hmmm? Bugeaters have not gone on the road yet, this is game 4 in a row at home, Sparty on deck, revenge situation as Nebraska has lost 3 straight to Wolverines, who are young, Underwood on the road for 2nd time, face a hostile crowd vs a team that can pass to the tight ends and have electric wideouts and a Heisman darkhorse in Emmett Johnson, Raiola should control the ball well, Husker DBS hunt down Underwood, Nebraska pulls it out 31 to 27.
Over 45.5 Mich/Bugeaters (read above)
Over 49.5 Cougars/Pirates - ECU in a home dog spot for first time this year, Cougars get tested on the road, BYU 34 ECU 30
Illini +6.5 - Hoosiers are tuff and have a decent running game, Illini with established QB and find ways to take turnovers into points, coin flip
Over 52.5 Illini/Hoosiers
Over 53 Wazoo/Huskies
Over 52.5 G State/Commodores (5 units) - Pavia in a revenge situation, Vandy 41 GSU 20
Cal -11.5 - Bears young QB should exploit Ass-teks here on the road after beating them last year 31-10 at home, this time on the road, duplicate, Cal 31 SDSU 17
Live UNLV +11.5 (5 units)
2H: Over 20 Terps/Baaaaadgers (5 units)
2H: Over 23 BG/Ville (5 units)
2H: Over 20 Terps/Baaaaadgers (5 units)
2H: Over 23 BG/Ville (5 units)
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Blah Saturday, lost Nebraska game by the hook, the first 2 possessions cost the Huskers & the lethargic energy Raiola has before he makes his decisions kills this team from beating upper echelon teams. Also what the fuck happened to Cal? Glad I crashed out before watching that game!! 13-14, -13.4 units!! Get it back week 5!!
30-29, -1.9, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-1, -1.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
13-16, -23.0, 5 unit plays
6-5-2, +2.5, 5 unit live plays
3-3-1, -1.5, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....56...LOSS....55..PUSH...3..., -13.9 units, since 8/23/25
30-29, -1.9, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-1, -1.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
13-16, -23.0, 5 unit plays
6-5-2, +2.5, 5 unit live plays
3-3-1, -1.5, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....56...LOSS....55..PUSH...3..., -13.9 units, since 8/23/25
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Week 5, 9/25/25-9/27/25
7 pt -140, ECU +1.5 & Under 59.5 (1 unit)
Under 48.5 Utes/Cowboys
Wake Forest +14.5
NW -6.5
Over 59.5 USU/Vandy
Arizona +7.5
Over 61.5 Vols/Bulldogs
Under 47 Wildcats/Gamecocks
Under 49.5 UCF/K St
LSU pk
Tulane -13.5
Over 59.5 USC/Illini
Ducks +3.5 (5 units)
Georgia -3
BYU -6
30-29, -1.9, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-1, -1.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
13-16, -23.0, 5 unit plays
6-5-2, +2.5, 5 unit live plays
3-3-1, -1.5, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....56...LOSS....55..PUSH...3..., -13.9 units, since 8/23/25
7 pt -140, ECU +1.5 & Under 59.5 (1 unit)
Under 48.5 Utes/Cowboys
Wake Forest +14.5
NW -6.5
Over 59.5 USU/Vandy
Arizona +7.5
Over 61.5 Vols/Bulldogs
Under 47 Wildcats/Gamecocks
Under 49.5 UCF/K St
LSU pk
Tulane -13.5
Over 59.5 USC/Illini
Ducks +3.5 (5 units)
Georgia -3
BYU -6
30-29, -1.9, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-1, -1.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
13-16, -23.0, 5 unit plays
6-5-2, +2.5, 5 unit live plays
3-3-1, -1.5, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....56...LOSS....55..PUSH...3..., -13.9 units, since 8/23/25
1-0 last night. Pending plays still
added:
10 pt -110 -Fla St +3.5, Over 44 TCU/ASU, Over 36.5 Houston/Oregon St (5 unit)
added:
10 pt -110 -Fla St +3.5, Over 44 TCU/ASU, Over 36.5 Houston/Oregon St (5 unit)
1-1, -4.0 units thus far in Week 5
Remaining picks today with line movement:
Under 48.5 Utes/Cowboys (moved to 46.5) - Wyoming will have problems moving the ball past Utes front 7
Wake Forest +14.5 (moved to +13.5) with most of the money on G Tech
NW -6.5 (moved to -7) with most money on UCLA, why is NW favored then? Transfer QB is in the man's bag!
Over 59.5 USU/Vandy (moved to 61.5) - Look ahead for Vandy? Last I knew, it's one game at a time, Pavia has that mentality and Lea preaches it
Arizona +7.5 (moved to +8) - Clones started season over seas and played two FCS teams now face a program on the rise with a solid QB
Over 61.5 Vols/Bulldogs (moved to 63.5) but 70% of public on the under? Tenn Vols QB will find holes in Dogs "D" that Sun Devs couldn't with bigger receivers for Vols, 45-28 type game)
Under 47 Wildcats/Gamecocks (moved to 47.5, could be wet on the coast today, Sellers isn't 100% still and Wildcats can play some "D", and it's been a trend in this matchup
Under 49.5 UCF/K St (moved to 48.5) K State has started out very slow, lots of pressure on Johnson at QB, Frosty on the road, typically stressing "D" so this one could be a dog fight with kickers
LSU pk - (Moved to +1.5) 50% split of public money, QB Nussmeier much better than what Ole Miss has seen this year
Tulane -13.5 (moved to -15.5) - Tulsa off big road win over Okie jr, Green Wave QB and running game by 21
Over 59.5 USC/Illini (moved to 62, now 61.5) - USC QB should shred Illini "D" and Illini QB should be able to get a couple TDs as well, 41-30 type game
Ducks +3.5 (5 units) - line has held steady, went as high at -6.5 Penn St and came down heavy to -3, Ducks team speed vs Penn St white out, should be a last possession type game, I like Dante Moore, Allar is a big fucking stiff! OVER RATED! Ducks 28-27.
Georgia -3 (line has held steady with most money on Bama) - Dawgs will reap in home atmosphere!! Stockton is the key!
BYU -6 - Mormons over Prime time, line moved to -7 from opening line of -4 but most money on Buffaloes. Colorado over rated program that gets too much action for the preacher Prime Time, I see BYU pulling away in 4Q by 8 or more!
Remaining picks today with line movement:
Under 48.5 Utes/Cowboys (moved to 46.5) - Wyoming will have problems moving the ball past Utes front 7
Wake Forest +14.5 (moved to +13.5) with most of the money on G Tech
NW -6.5 (moved to -7) with most money on UCLA, why is NW favored then? Transfer QB is in the man's bag!
Over 59.5 USU/Vandy (moved to 61.5) - Look ahead for Vandy? Last I knew, it's one game at a time, Pavia has that mentality and Lea preaches it
Arizona +7.5 (moved to +8) - Clones started season over seas and played two FCS teams now face a program on the rise with a solid QB
Over 61.5 Vols/Bulldogs (moved to 63.5) but 70% of public on the under? Tenn Vols QB will find holes in Dogs "D" that Sun Devs couldn't with bigger receivers for Vols, 45-28 type game)
Under 47 Wildcats/Gamecocks (moved to 47.5, could be wet on the coast today, Sellers isn't 100% still and Wildcats can play some "D", and it's been a trend in this matchup
Under 49.5 UCF/K St (moved to 48.5) K State has started out very slow, lots of pressure on Johnson at QB, Frosty on the road, typically stressing "D" so this one could be a dog fight with kickers
LSU pk - (Moved to +1.5) 50% split of public money, QB Nussmeier much better than what Ole Miss has seen this year
Tulane -13.5 (moved to -15.5) - Tulsa off big road win over Okie jr, Green Wave QB and running game by 21
Over 59.5 USC/Illini (moved to 62, now 61.5) - USC QB should shred Illini "D" and Illini QB should be able to get a couple TDs as well, 41-30 type game
Ducks +3.5 (5 units) - line has held steady, went as high at -6.5 Penn St and came down heavy to -3, Ducks team speed vs Penn St white out, should be a last possession type game, I like Dante Moore, Allar is a big fucking stiff! OVER RATED! Ducks 28-27.
Georgia -3 (line has held steady with most money on Bama) - Dawgs will reap in home atmosphere!! Stockton is the key!
BYU -6 - Mormons over Prime time, line moved to -7 from opening line of -4 but most money on Buffaloes. Colorado over rated program that gets too much action for the preacher Prime Time, I see BYU pulling away in 4Q by 8 or more!
Blah week 5, missed on 2, 2nd Half plays on AF & Over in the Pitt/Ville games, did hit live play on Minnysoda. How about them Ducks? Keep an eye on a bounce back non-cover by the Ducks next week!! 11-10, -.70 unit!! Argh
37-36, -2.6, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
2-0, +2.0, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
14-16, -18.0, 5 unit plays
6-5-2, +2.5, 5 unit live plays
5-5-1, -2.5, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....67...LOSS....65..PUSH...3..., -14.6 units, since 8/23/25
37-36, -2.6, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
2-0, +2.0, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
14-16, -18.0, 5 unit plays
6-5-2, +2.5, 5 unit live plays
5-5-1, -2.5, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....67...LOSS....65..PUSH...3..., -14.6 units, since 8/23/25
Week 6, 10/2/25 to 10/6/25
1 units To Win +110, 10 pt teaser
1 units To Win +110, 10 pt teaser
- New Mexico State +12.5
- Under 63.5 Sam Houston State @ (304) New Mexico State
- Los Angeles Rams +1.5
- Under 54.5 San Francisco 49ers @ (302) Los Angeles Rams
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OVER 40 CSU/Assteks - Assteks have been stingy giving up points however, this is a rivalry type game, Rams have been putrid and Assteks hardly scoring, all the money on the under however why has the line gone up from 38.5 to 40? 71% on under
Iowa St +2 - Cyclones getting little love, Bearcats held Nebraska to low scoring affair in week 1 in KC, however, Cyclones have a way of getting points with Brecht
Ohio -14 - Ball State sucks
Over 57.5 UTSA/Temple (5 units) both teams high scoring, can't stop their opponents
Wake Forest +6.5 - Demon Deacs lost a heart breaker vs Ga Tech no go into interim HC land Va Tech not a far travel spot and look for redemption after Hokies beat N C State on the road last week
U Mass +14 - MACtion is a tough league to cap in football, U Mass has been bad, Broncos just as bad, dog or bust
Over 55.5 Okie jr/Arizona - Zona can name their score here as Okie jr also fired their "D" coach
Over 55.5 Vandy/Bama - revenge spot for Bama at home, Vandy can score at will but their "D" also gives up points, this smells like a 37-30 type game
Over 57 Syr/SMU - Cuse hurting w/o Angeli and SMU just hasn't gotten it going just yet and they're at home
Over 53 Kent St/Okla - Flashes will probably give up 56 by themselves, Sooners have Texas next.
Over 64 Texas St/Ark Jr - Bobcats can score and in bunches, Red Wolves can't stop anyone from scoring
Over 53.5 Fla Atl/Rice - Owls have been stingy giving up points but Owls are scoring and giving, this is a 30-27 type game
Over 49 UNLV/Wyoming - Runnin' Rebs can run up the score here if they wish vs a mile high home doggy
Minnesota +23.5 - Buckeyes just getting in a groove could lay an egg here, Minnesota has been a tough DD Dog over the years under Fleck
U of Miami -4 (5 units) - can't buy into the Noles, even after beating Bama in their opener, Hurricanes have an established NCAA QB in Beck and Canes "D" is better than Noles is used to
Over 58 Colorado/TCU - Prime Time is a fraud, Horny Toads can score in bunches, Hoover alone will run up 28 points vs TCU, this is a 38-28 type game
Over 55 Tulsa/Memphis - first time I saw the line on this game, it showed Tulsa favored, I'm sure it was a glitch however Tulsa has played well under their new HC and Tigers can really score, they're at home so, let's say Tigers win this one 38-21
Fresno -13.5 - Bulldogs playing well under their interim HC from before and Nevada just sucks ass.
Rams screw the pooch last night:
Friday night sweet heart dance: 1 unit to win 1.2 units
To Win $ 1.40
South Florida -18
New Mexico +12.5
Over 31.5 Colorado State @ (314) San Diego State
Over 36.5 West Virginia @ (312) BYU
Typically I play overs where I see spots where the public is betting unders heavy yet the total moves up along with what each "D" has been doing after the first 5 games vs how many points the "O" is scoring. And Unders are boring bets!! Imho.
