Bases Mon 5/25

Junior44

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Tampa Bay (McClanahan) -123 over Baltimore (Bradish) (1x)
-After yesterday's devastating walk-off loss to the Yankees, The Rays still have the best record in baseball at 34-16. They have won 5 out of 6 and are an incredible 20-4 their last 24 games and are still 4 1/2 games up on the Yankees in the AL East. Meanwhile, Baltimore is just 23-30 and a 1/2 game out of last place and 9-20 vs teams above .500. Today, the Rays start LHP Shane McClanahan who is 5-2 on the season with a 2.82 ERA and has nice current form going 4-0 with an ERA of 1.35 in his last 5 starts. In addition the O's hit just .225 vs lefties (16 pts below their average) Starting for the O's is RHP Kyle Bradish who is 2-6 this year with a 4.13 ERA. Bradish holds a career regular-season record of 2-5 against the Tampa Bay Rays with a 4.15 ERA and has already lost to them once in 2026. Play Tampa Bay this afternoon.........
 
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Junior44

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Philadelphia (Luzardo) vs San Diego (Vasquez) Under 7.5 (1x)
-The Phillies are 8-2 to the under their last 10 games and 4-1 to the under their last 5 games, scoring just 9 runs during this span. The Phillies start LHP Jesus Luzardo who has excellent current from with an ERA of 2.86 in his last 5 starts. Meanwhile, San Diego starts RHP Randy Vasquez who is 5-2 on the year with a 2.96 ERA and a very good current from in his last 5 starts with and ERA of 3.00. 4 of his last 5 starts have gone under the total. In addition, the Padres are hitting just .208 vs lefties this year. Play Philadelphia/San Diego Under the total.

*NO PLAY DUE TO PITCHING CHANGE*
 
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Junior44

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Toronto (Yesavage) RL +128 over Miami (Junk) (1x)
Toronto starter Trey Yesavage comes into tonight's game with an ERA of 1.07 in 5 starts and has yet to allow a run at home this year. Miami starter Janson Junk is 2--5 on the year with a 5.07 ERA and in his last 3 starts is 1-2, giving up 19 ER's in just 16 2/3 IP for an ERA of 10.30. In addition, the Marlins are just 7-14 on the road in 2026. Play Toronto on the run line......
 
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Junior44

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Oakland (Civale) +100 over Seattle (Castillo) (1x)
The A's come into tonight's game leading the AL West by 2.5 games over Seattle. Tonight, the A's start RHP Aaron Civale, who has been excellent this year going 5-1 with an ERA of 3.31. In his last 3 starts at home, he is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.69. Meanwhile, the Mariners start RHP Luis Castillo, who has completely lost it this year, going just 1-5 with an ERA of 6.41. Play the A's to increase their lead in tonight's contest.
 
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Junior44

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Philadelphia (Luzardo) vs San Diego (Vasquez) Under 7.5 (1x)
-The Phillies are 8-2 to the under their last 10 games and 4-1 to the under their last 5 games, scoring just 9 runs during this span. The Phillies start LHP Jesus Luzardo who has excellent current from with an ERA of 2.86 in his last 5 starts. Meanwhile, San Diego starts RHP Randy Vasquez who is 5-2 on the year with a 2.96 ERA and a very good current from in his last 5 starts with and ERA of 3.00. 4 of his last 5 starts have gone under the total. In addition, the Padres are hitting just .208 vs lefties this year. Play Philadelphia/San Diego Under the total.
This game is a NO PLAY due to pitching change.........
 

Maniax

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Oakland botches a routine double play a little leaguer could turn and instead 0 runs 6 and counting. I do have question you bet a couple of rl with total 7.5 and 6.5 with Toronto and Philly. I heard you dont want bet rl unless total is higher or probability goes way down of covering. Have you tracked your rl bets with game totals?
 

Junior44

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yes my friend.........another brutal loss today........As far as your question, I very rarely bet RL's along with the Under althought I may have a few times this year. The only time I would condider it would be when i thought the other team would not score much OR when I use it as insurance. For example: I take the RL at say +155 and the Under at -110 hoping that i win the RL and make a profit AND the chance that I mentioned above that I win both. You heard right though taking the RL along with a total of 7.5 is "usually" not a good wager and is only used in VERY rare occasions. JR44
 

Junior44

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Brutal day: excruciating Rays loss and 2 pitchers (Yesavage and Civale) with excellent stats AND current form get rocked at home............That's bases for ya........

YTD: (+7.38u)
 

Maniax

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Junior I mean betting a rl when the total is low. It means tight low scoring game. I use follow old guy who wouldn't bet on a rl unless total was higher on game.
 
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