2025 Road to Nattyville
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
last added for week 1:
10 pt sweetheart tease, -110 (5 units)
10 pt sweetheart tease, -110 (5 units)
- Virginia Tech +17
- Notre Dame +7
- TCU +6.5
One play left from Week 1's card: Went 2-1 yesterday with Miami, losing the total at 49, a winner if you could have got 51.5, and 10 pt SHT. Way too many plays week 1, looking at week 2's card, some tasty treats, Iowa vs Iowa State one of the biggest, the other is Michigan @ Oklahoma.
UNC +3.5 - Bill's first home game with some talent on the roster back for the Heels, TCU with a talented QB but the Horny toads "D" gave up an average of 25 ppg, Heels can score and will need to match TCU early in this home tilt in Chapel Thrill.
GLE!! Will tally later!
UNC +3.5 - Bill's first home game with some talent on the roster back for the Heels, TCU with a talented QB but the Horny toads "D" gave up an average of 25 ppg, Heels can score and will need to match TCU early in this home tilt in Chapel Thrill.
GLE!! Will tally later!
Thru week 1 - disastrous!! Seems to be a theme lately with my capping. Found some systems that no longer work, perhaps AI is making Vegas lines smarter? IDK!
Did do well in Live plays and some totals. Week 2 will be better!!
6-10, -5.0, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
4-7, -17.5, 5 unit plays
4-2-2, +9.0, 5 unit live plays
1-1, -.50, 5 unit half time plays
WON....16...LOSS....21...PUSH...2..., -10.0 units, since 8/23/25
Did do well in Live plays and some totals. Week 2 will be better!!
6-10, -5.0, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
4-7, -17.5, 5 unit plays
4-2-2, +9.0, 5 unit live plays
1-1, -.50, 5 unit half time plays
WON....16...LOSS....21...PUSH...2..., -10.0 units, since 8/23/25
Week 2, 9/5 - 9/6
Over 59 West Virginia/Ohio
Over 51 San Jose/Texas (5 units)
Vandy +2
Over 45 Stanford/BYU
Over 57 U Conn/Syr (5 units)
Army +17
Over 59 Kent St/Texas Tech
Over 55 Okie jr/Oregon (5 units)
Over 50 Delaware/Colorado (5 units)
Over 51 Kansas/Mizzou (5 units)
Over 49 Sam Houston State/Hawaii
6-10, -5.0, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
4-7, -17.5, 5 unit plays
4-2-2, +9.0, 5 unit live plays
1-1, -.50, 5 unit half time plays
WON....16...LOSS....21...PUSH...2..., -10.0 units, since 8/23/25
Over 59 West Virginia/Ohio
Over 51 San Jose/Texas (5 units)
Vandy +2
Over 45 Stanford/BYU
Over 57 U Conn/Syr (5 units)
Army +17
Over 59 Kent St/Texas Tech
Over 55 Okie jr/Oregon (5 units)
Over 50 Delaware/Colorado (5 units)
Over 51 Kansas/Mizzou (5 units)
Over 49 Sam Houston State/Hawaii
6-10, -5.0, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
4-7, -17.5, 5 unit plays
4-2-2, +9.0, 5 unit live plays
1-1, -.50, 5 unit half time plays
WON....16...LOSS....21...PUSH...2..., -10.0 units, since 8/23/25
added -
SMU -2.5 (5 units) - Ponies athletically w/Jennings and his Wide outs will torch Baylor who's smarting from the Auburn beat down, this is in Dallas and Baylor getting too much love in Vegas
Clemson -30.5 (5 units) - Klubnik and the Tiger defense will outshine Troy at home, public all over Troy to cover the opening spread which was at 33.5, it's dropped to 30.5, some weather perhaps, better & bigger Tigers should roll after loss to LSU last week. Dabo don't play, BYOG!
8-8, -12.2 units week 2, cut back on # of plays, got burned in Texas/San Jose tilt on the over, sloppy Texas play near the goal line and SJ State turnovers and West by God Vagina couldn't do diddly vs the Bobcats
Week 3 card looks much better on paper right now with some solid matchups, USF @ Miami, A&M @ ND, Florida @ LSU, Wisky @ Bama, Texas State rematch vs Sun Devs.
BBL
10-12, -3.2, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
7-12, -30.0, 5 unit plays
4-3-2, +3.5, 5 unit live plays
2-1, +4.5, 5 unit half time plays
WON....24...LOSS....29..PUSH...2..., -21.2 units, since 8/23/25
Week 3 card looks much better on paper right now with some solid matchups, USF @ Miami, A&M @ ND, Florida @ LSU, Wisky @ Bama, Texas State rematch vs Sun Devs.
BBL
10-12, -3.2, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
7-12, -30.0, 5 unit plays
4-3-2, +3.5, 5 unit live plays
2-1, +4.5, 5 unit half time plays
WON....24...LOSS....29..PUSH...2..., -21.2 units, since 8/23/25
Week 3, Sept 11-13, 2025
Kansas St +1 - Wildcats have underperformed miserably so far this year, a lot on the shoulders of their QB w/o his main running weapon Edwards who could be back for this game, Zona has a quality QB and this is a revenge spot as K-State beat Zona last year, still think K-State HC can out coach Zona's on the road in this tilt
N'western +27.5 - Ducks could probably name their score like they did vs Okie Jr, however, Big10 dogs over 21+ points are live plays and NW has under performed badly thus far getting thumped by Tulane away 2 weeks ago, they should be up for the Ducks to keep this under 4 TDs.
Wyoming +23.5 - Utah hasn't played anyone yet, Wyoming shutout a bad Akron team, this is at Laramie so Dampier should get road tested here
Western Michigan +27.5 - Illini off a huge road win at ACC pretender Puke, now come home huge favs vs a team
Texas Tech -23.5 - Tech's 3rd straight home game where their potent offense should run it up on the Beavers who lost their two games vs Cal & Fresno, both non-covers.
Over 60 Oregon St/Tex Tech (5 units)
Purdue +21.5 - Boilers new HC Odom did manage to throw a shutout vs Ball State which has a new HC and lost a lot of starters, now host USC which beat Missouri State & Ga Southern pretty easily, now Trojans go on the road in the Big10 as a huge road fav vs a team which has average 34 points after 2 games, USC on the road under Riley has pretty much sucked.
New Mexico +16.5 - Bruins got thumped by Utah and beaten down by UNLV, now how are they gonna stop the Lobos under 3 TDs? Lobos did manage to put up 17 points vs Michigan which does have a decent "D", so I see this staying under the number in LA.
Over 53.5 Navy/Tulsa (5 units)
Temple +24.5 - Oklahoma could be in a flat spot here after the hyped matchup vs Michigan at home, now go into Philly facing a program with a new HC who did a great job at Sam Houston, the Owls have put up 55 and 42 points vs sub-par teams and Sooners haven't offensively broken out just yet under Mateer, putting up 24 points vs Michigan and only 35 vs Illinois State.
Bowling Green +7 - Liberty isn't what it was, they lost their QB to Colorado and Bowling Green being in the MAC at home in a dog role, could given Liberty problems, Liberty lost at Jax State and barely beat Maine the week prior, where as BG did manage to put up 20 points vs Cincy and got their first win the week prior vs Lafayette.
Over 58.5 Texas St/Arizona St (5 units)
-added 9/10/25-
Under 49.5 Ga/Tenn (5 units)
Notre Dame -6.5 - Irish have had almost 2 weeks to prepare for the Aggies who are off a DD home win vs Utah St, ND Defense much better on paper than last year, albeit they gave up over 20 pts to U of M, Carr should have his act together in this tilt but the running game for the Irish should be the difference and it is a home game, possible weather, Reed for A&M is a tad better than last year, but home field addy should give Irish a 8 pt or more win
Miami-F -16.5 - USF off two upsets, Boise & Florida, both teams stink, Florida HC Napier probably will get bounced after they lose at LSU, Hurricanes gave ND fits on certain situations at home and will do the same to Brown for USF, USF did manage to take out Boise's offense & Florida as well, now going on the road in-state where U of M won last year by 50-15 at USF.
Over 61.5 Ark/Miss - both teams can put up points, Ole Miss off hard fought battle at Kentucky whereas Arky played Arky Jr last week, neither "D" should stop the other team from scoring
Ga Tech +4 - I'm not sold on Dabo anymore, Klubnik is just average for a QB, he got hot at the right time last year now face a team on the rise with a determined HC and solid QB who's getting little love in King.
WV +6.5 - Hillbillies looked like shit last week vs Ohio on the road, now face a Pitt team who's faced who? Duquesne an FCS team and Central Michigan? Rivalry type game and Rich Rod will have the home crowd pumped here in Morgantown.
U Conn -9.5 - U Conn off a hard fought OT loss to Sillycuse last week should be awake vs Delaware who played hard last week in the Mile High air and Fagano should have his passing shoes on.
Iowa St -20.5 - Clones off hard fought instate battle vs Hawkeyes, Becht should have his passing shoes on here on the road in Jonesboro, Clones special teams and running game should make swiss cheese out of the Red Wolves
Kentucky -24.5 - Wildcats played hard vs Ole Miss last week and b2b home games they should be ready here vs EMU who's giving up points in the 2 beginning tilts and looked like horseshit
Under 48.5 Vandy/S Car - Vandy "D" should be all over Sellers, Pavia played well last year vs Cocks although they lost 28-7, revenge mode here on the road and could the home team?
10-12, -3.2, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
7-12, -30.0, 5 unit plays
4-3-2, +3.5, 5 unit live plays
2-1, +4.5, 5 unit half time plays
WON....24...LOSS....29..PUSH...2..., -21.2 units, since 8/23/25
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