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[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 17 NFL spreads:
— Cowboys (-5.5) @ Washington
— Lions (-6) @ Minnesota
— Broncos (-12.5) @ Kansas City
— Texans @ Chargers (-1.5)
— Ravens @ Green Bay (-2.5)
— Steelers (-4.5) @ Cleveland

Quote of the Day
“You got to be able to choke someone out. We didn’t do that.”
Oregon football coach Dan Lanning; his Ducks led James Madison 34-6 at the half, wound up winning, 51-34.

Monday’s quiz
Which former NFL quarterback is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Missouri Tigers?

Sunday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb was the Eagles’ QB, last time they won the NFC East in consecutive years.

Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, Jerry Stiller played George Costanza’s father.

******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

— Panthers 23, Buccaneers 20
Just 2nd win for Carolina in their last 12 games vs Tampa Bay.
QB Young threw for 191 yards, two TD’s.
Panthers kicked a 48-yard FG with 2:20 left for the winning score.
Carolina now leads the NFC South by a game, with two weeks left.
Tampa Bay lost seven of its last nine games, after a 5-1 start.
Buccaneers lost their last three games by total of eight points.
Tampa Bay was 8-14 on third down, Carolina 6-12.
These teams play again in two weeks, in Tampa.

— Patriots 28, Ravens 24
New England has won 12 of last 13 games; they’re in playoffs.
Ravens led this game 24-13 in the fourth quarter.
QB Maye threw for 380 yards, two TD’s.
Patriots in 4th quarter: 22 plays, 181 yards, 14 points.
QB Jackson hurt his back in the second quarter, didn’t return.
RB Henry ran for 128 yards, 2 TD’s, but only had 18 carries.
Patriots outgained Baltimore, 453-330.
Ravens need two wins and Steelers to lose to Cleveland to win AFC North.

— Steelers 29, Lions 24
Detroit had two TD’s negated by offensive interference in last 0:30 of game.
Lions ran ball only 12 times, for 15 yards.
Steelers won their last three games, scoring 27-28-29 points.
Pittsburgh is 8-0 when it allows less than 25 points.
Steelers ran ball 27 times for 230 yards.
Game was 10-10 at half; Steelers got a safety in third quarter, led 12-10.
RB Warren carried ball 14 times for 143 yards, two TD’s.
Steelers WR Metcalf punched a fan in stands; he’ll hear from the league.

— Jaguars 34, Broncos 20
Jacksonville won their last six games, giving up 15.3 ppg.
Jaguars were 8-15 on third down, Denver 5-14.
QB Lawrence threw for 279 yards, 3 TD’s, also ran for a TD.
Right now, Jaguars are the #3-seed in the AFC.
Loss ends Denver’s 11-game winning streak.
QB Nix threw for 352 yards, but only one TD.
Broncos lead Chargers by a game in AFC West; they play in Week 18
Underdogs covered Denver’s last seven games.

— Titans 26, Chiefs 9
Backup QB Minshew tore his ACL, like Mahomes did last week.
#3 QB Oladokun was 11-16/111 passing, leading Chiefs to three FG’s.
Chiefs are 1-5 SU/ATS in last five road games.
Titans outgained Kansas City, 376-133.
Tennessee’s win snaps an 11-game home losing streak.
QB Ward threw for 228 yards and two TD’s.
Titans were 9-17 on third down, Kansas City 1-9.
Tennessee ran ball 40 times for 164 yards.

— Saints 29, Jets 6
Rookie QB Shough threw for 308 yards and a TD.
Saints are 4-2 in last six games, after a 1-8 start.
New Orleans outgained the Jets, 412-195.
Saints made 6 of 7 FG’s, scored two TD’s on 11 drives.
Jets first three drives: 18 plays, 88 yards, two FG’s.
Jets rest of game: 47 plays, 78 yards, two turnovers.
Jets lost their last three games, by 24-28-23 points.
Jets are 0-10 when they score less than 27 points.

— Famous birthdays, December 22nd:
Hector Elizondo, 89
Steve Carlton, 81
Dave Robisch, 76
Lonnie Smith, 70
Glenn Wilson, 67
Jason Lane, 49
Jacob Stallings, 36
Tyler Gilbert, 32

— Bills 23, Browns 20
Buffalo’s first three drives: 21 plays, 209 yards, 20 points.
Buffalo rest of the game: 30 plays, 48 yards, 3 points.
RB Cook ran for 117 yards, two TD’s.
Right now, Bills are the #6-seed in the AFC.
Cleveland turned ball over on three of its first six drives.
Cleveland was 8-14 on third down, Buffalo 2-8.
Cleveland lost four in row, 10 of its last 12 games.
Browns are 0-12 when they allow more than 10 points.

— Chargers 34, Cowboys 17
Chargers outgained Dallas 452-340, converted 7-11 on 3rd down.
QB Herbert threw for 300 yards, two TD’s.
Chargers won four in row, seven of their last eight games.
Chargers are 10-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 216 yards, 17 points.
Dallas in second half: 25 plays, 131 yards, no points.
Cowboys lost their last three games, giving up 44-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 1-8 when they score less than 33 points.

— Vikings 16, Giants 13
QB McCarthy hurt his right hand just before halftime, didn’t return.
Total yardage in an ugly game: Vikings 240, Giants 141
Minnesota won its last three games, giving up 13 ppg.
Vikings converted 7-12 on third down, Giants 141
Giants’ only TD was a defensive score 0:17 before halftime.
Giants had only 13 passing yards; their first 15 plays were runs.
Giants lost their last nine games (3-6 ATS)
Giants are 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.

— Bengals 45, Dolphins 21
QB Burrow threw for 309 yards, four TD’s.
Cincinnati led 17-14 at halftime.
Bengals’ first 4 drives in second half: 21 plays, 174 yards, 28 points.
Cincinnati was 6-12 on third down, +3 in turnovers.
Miami turned ball over on 3 of first 4 drives in third quarter.
Rookie QB Ewers threw for 260 yards with two INTs in his first NFL start.
Dolphins are 0-9 when they allow 27+ points.
Miami is minus-16 in turnovers in losses, +11 in wins.

— Falcons 26, Cardinals 19
RB Robinson ran ball for 76 yards, had 92 receiving yards.
Robinson is first Falcon since 1999 with 2,000+ yards from scrimmage,
Atlanta is 3-2 in last five games, after a 3-7 start.
QB Cousins is 87-80-2 as an NFL starter, 10-10 with Falcons.
Arizona led this game 10-0 late in first quarter.
Cardinals lost seven in row, 12 of last 13 games.
Arizona is 0-9 when they allow more than 22 points.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS as a home underdog TY.

— Texans 23, Raiders 21
Houston won its last seven games (5-2 ATS)
Texans are game behind Jacksonville in AFC South.
Right now, Texans are #7-seed in the AFC.
Houston is 9-0 when they score 20+ points.
First score of day was a 31-yard pick-6 by Texans 4:17 into game.
Raiders outgained Houston 315-270; they ran ball for 145 yards,
Raiders have lost nine games in a row, 13 of last 14.
RB Jeanty ran ball for 128 yards and a TD.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Monday, December 22

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Monday’s game
Idaho Potato Bowl (@ Boise, ID)
Washington State vs Utah State (-1.5)
Washington State (6-6)
Wazzu allowed 13 or less points in all six of its wins.
Coogs are 0-5 when they allow more than 13 points.
Coogs are 2-0 vs Mountain West foes (San Diego St/Colorado St)
Coogs have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Potter was 23-30/208 in his first college start.


This game, Wazzu has an interim coach, Jesse Bobbit
Bobbit will be defensive coordinator at Iowa State next year.
Coogs are 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Coogs are 3-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last eight Wazzu games stayed under the total.
Wazzu lost its last four bowl games, giving up 34 ppg.


Utah State (5-5, 3-3)
Utah State lost four of its last six games.
Aggies are 4-0 when they allow less than 29 points.
Utah State has 2 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Aggies have 10 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Barnes has 3 career starts.


Utah State has covered nine of its 11 I-A games.
In his career, Mendenhall is 7-7 SU in bowl games.
Utah State is 3-1 ATS as a favorite this year
Aggies are 6-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Aggies lost three of their last four bowl games.
Utah State lost Potato Bowl 45-22 to Georgia State in 2023.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games overall.


Wazzu (-20.5) hammered Utah State 49-28 in Pullman LY.
Utah State (+17) upset the Coogs 26-23 in 2021.
These teams will be rivals in Pac-12 starting next year.
Last eight years, favorites are 5-3 ATS in Potato Bowl

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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Tuesday, December 23

Toledo VS Louisville
Toledo is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
Toledo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 7 games played in December.
Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played on a Tuesday.
Louisville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games.
Louisville is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.

WKU VS Southern Miss
Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 9 games.
Western Kentucky is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Southern Miss is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss' last 6 games.
Southern Miss is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.

UNLV VS Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas' last 5 games.
Nevada-Las Vegas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas' last 5 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
Nevada-Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games played in December.
Ohio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Ohio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games played in December.

Wednesday, December 24

California VS Hawaii
California is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of California's last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of California's last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
Hawaii is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games.
Hawaii is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Hawaii is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home.

Friday, December 26

Central Michigan VS Northwestern
Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
Central Michigan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Central Michigan is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Central Michigan is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games played in December.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games.
Northwestern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Northwestern's last 16 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games played in December.

New Mexico VS Minnesota
New Mexico is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games.
New Mexico is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
New Mexico is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played in December.
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
Minnesota is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games.
Minnesota is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games played in December.

FIU VS UTSA
Florida International is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games.
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Florida International is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games.
Texas-San Antonio is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
Texas-San Antonio is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the East Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 6 games played in December.

Saturday, December 27

Pittsburgh VS East Carolina
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games played in December.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games.
East Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
East Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games played on a Saturday.

Penn State VS Clemson
Penn State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 6 games.
Penn State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
Clemson is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games.
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Clemson is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games played in December.
Clemson is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games played on a Saturday.

UCONN VS Army
Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games.
Connecticut is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Army is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Army's last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's last 6 games against Connecticut.
Army is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Independents (FBS) conference.

Georgia Tech VS BYU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games.
Georgia Tech is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games played in December.
Georgia Tech is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games played on a Saturday.
Brigham Young is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Brigham Young is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games.
Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brigham Young's last 7 games played in December.

Miami-OH VS Fresno State
Miami-OH is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
Miami-OH is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami-OH's last 13 games played in December.
Miami-OH is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games played on a Saturday.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games.
Fresno State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
Fresno State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played in December.

North Texas VS San Diego State
North Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of North Texas' last 12 games.
North Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
North Texas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
San Diego State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 6 games.
San Diego State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games played in December.

Virginia VS Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Virginia's last 8 games.
Virginia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Virginia's last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games played in December.
Missouri is 13-6-1 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 8 games.
Missouri is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Missouri is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.

LSU VS Houston
Louisiana State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games.
Louisiana State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisiana State's last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games played in December.


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[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 17 NFL spreads:
— Buccaneers (-5.5) @ Miami
— Seahawks (-7.5) @ Carolina
— Cardinals @ Cincinnati (-7)
— Giants @ Las Vegas (-1.5)
— Eagles @ Buffalo (-1.5)
— Bears @ San Francisco (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I try to do the job, not try to keep the job. My focus has been for the last 18 years here and the last 41 years in coaching is to try to do the best job I can today and fight as hard as I can so the guys have the best chance to be successful today.”
Ravens coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Who coached the Baltimore Ravens before John Harbaugh?
(Hint: He won a Super Bowl)

Monday’s quiz
Former NFL quarterback Chase Daniel is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Missouri Tigers.

Sunday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb was the Eagles’ QB, last time they won the NFC East in consecutive years.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— 49ers 48, Colts 27
49ers’ first four drives: 33 plays, 239 yards, 24 points.
San Francisco outgained the Colts, 440-312.
49ers won their last five games, all by 11+points.
TE Kittle caught seven passes for 115 yards and a TD.
Colts scored TDs on first two drives, but in between fumbled away a kickoff.
49ers were 7-11 on third down, Colts 5-1o.
Indy lost six of last seven games, after a 7-1 start.
44-year old QB Rivers threw for 277 yards, two TD’s.

— Steelers WR DK Metcalf got suspended two games for getting into a confrontation with a fan in Detroit Sunday; the suspension costs him $555,555 in salary.

— Kansas City Chiefs are moving from Missouri to Kansas; they’ll start playing in a new $3B domed stadium in 2031. The stadium is expected to seat 65,000 fans, about 10,000 less fans than Arrowhead Stadium, where the Chiefs have played since 1972.

— Washington State 34, Utah State 21
QB Eckhaus threw for 334 yards, three TD’s.
Coogs outgained Utah State 628-254.
Wazzu ran ball 41 times for 255 yards.
Starting next year, these teams will be rivals in the Pac-12.

— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 13-10 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-8 ATS

AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 10-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 8-11 ATS

AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 17-10 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-6 ATS

AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 10-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-10 ATS

NFC East
Home teams 6-3 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-13 ATS

NFC North
Non-divisional favorites 15-11 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS

NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 4-8 ATS

NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 20-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS

— Famous birthdays, December 23rd:
Jerry Koosman, 83
Susan Lucci, 79
Jack Ham, 77
Joan Severance, 67
Paul Shirley, 48
Victor Martinez, 47
Hanley Ramirez, 42
Mitch Haniger, 35

— Boston Red Sox acquired 1B Willson Contreras from St Louis, in exchange for P Hunter Dobbins and two other pitching prospects. Contreras hit .257 with a .791 OPS last year; he figures to benefit from playing half his games in Fenway Park.

— A’s acquired 2B Jeff McNeil from the Mets, in exchange for a very young pitching prospect. McNeil won a batting title in 2022, but has slacked off the last two years, while playing in more of a utility role. Hopefully playing every day will boost his production.

— Japanese slugger Munetaka Murakami got a 2-year deal worth $34M from the White Sox; he is expected to mostly DH and also play some first base.

— P Paul Blackburn signed for one year, $2M with Bronx; he has some incentives if he pitches a lot of innings. He had knee/shoulder issues last year with the Mets.

— USC/Notre Dame won’t be playing college football the next two years; Notre Dame is going to play BYU instead. USC didn’t want to play Notre Dame later in the year, so their agreement went up in smoke.

— There have been 30 coaching changes in I-A football so far this season, a little less than 25% of all the jobs there are.

— Of the 74 referees who have worked NBA games this season, 56 of them have also spent some time in their career working in the G-League.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, December 23

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Tuesday’s games
Boca Raton Bowl
Toledo @ Louisville (-8.5)
Toledo (8-4)
Toledo won its last four games by a combined 125-15.
Rockets have only one loss by more than 8 points (7-28 @ Wazzu)
Toledo has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Rockets have 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gleason started 12 games LY.


Last three years, Toledo is 4-0 ATS as an underdog.
In 10 years under coach Candle, Rockets are 10-12 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, Rockets are 8-5 ATS in non-conference games.
Toledo is 2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
MAC non-conference underdogs are 21-17 ATS this year.


Louisville (8-4)
Louisville lost three of its last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Cardinals are 6-0 when they score 28+ points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Louisville has 203 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Moss started 10 games at USC


Louisville is 2-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
In his career, Brohm is 40-44 as a favorite.
Under Brohm, Cardinals are 11-15 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Brohm is 5-2 SU in bowl games.
Under is 6-2 in last eight Louisville games.
Louisville is 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in its last five bowls.
This year, ACC non-conference favorites are 13-18 ATS


These teams have not played in the last six years.
Toledo won this bowl 21-19 three years ago.
Last six years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS in the Boca Raton Bowl
This year, ACC teams are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS vs MAC opponents.


New Orleans Bowl
Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky (-1.5)
Southern Mississippi (7-5)
Southern Miss coach bolted to be the coach at Memphis
USM lost its last three games, giving up 41-42-28 points.
7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
101 starts back on offensive line (mostly all transfers).
senior QB is a transfer from Marshall


This year, Southern Miss is 1-2 ATS as an underdog.
Golden Eagles are 3-5-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Under is 3-1 in Golden Eagles last four games.
Southern Miss is playing its first bowl in three years.
Southern Miss is 2-3 SU in its last five bowl games.
Sun Belt non-conference underdogs are 12-17 ATS this year.


Western Kentucky (2-0)
WKU lost its last two games, by 3-3 points, after an 8-2 start.
WKU gave up 435+ TY in five of its last seven games.
Hilltoppers have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
WKU has 58 starts back on offensive line- lot of transfers.
Frosh QB Tisdale has thrown for 1,367 yards (9 TD’s, 6 INTs)


WKU is 5-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
WKU is 5-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Hilltoppers are 3-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Under is 6-3 in last nine WKU games.
Hilltoppers won three of last four bowls, scoring 39.5 ppg.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, Sun Belt teams are 8-5 SU/ATS vs C-USA opponents.
Underdogs are 2-0-1 ATS in last three New Orleans Bowls.


Frisco Bowl (@ Frisco, TX)
UNLV (-7) @ Ohio U
UNLV (10-3)
UNLV is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 6-0 start.
In their losses, Rebels gave up 56-40-38 points.
UNLV has 3 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Rebels have 37 starts returning on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Junior QB Colandrea started 11 games at Virginia LY.


This year, Rebels are 6-3 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Mullen is 57-44-1 ATS as a favorite.
UNLV is 3-5 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
UNLV is ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Rebels won three of their last five bowl games.
In his career, Mullen is 7-3 SU in bowl games.
Under is 4-1 in UNLV’s last five games.
Mountain West non-conference favorites are 7-6 ATS


Ohio U (8-4)
Ohio U’s coach got fired a few days ago (off-field reasons)
Bobcats won five of their last six games, scoring 31 ppg.
Last three games, Ohio U ran ball for 313 yards/game.
Bobcats have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Bobcats have 57 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Navarro has thrown for 2,169 yards (12 TD’s, 10 INTs)


Ohio U is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Bobcats are 3-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Bobcats are 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last five games, Ohio is minus-3 in turnovers.
Bobcats are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in their last six bowl games.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Mountain West teams are 3-1 SU/ATS vs MAC teams this year.
Favorites are 5-4 ATS in last nine Frisco Bowls.

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday, December 23​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TOL at LOU	02:00 PM	TOL +11.5***** U 44.5*****	+500 +500
WKU at USM	05:30 PM	WKU +1.5*****	+500
UNLV at OHIO	09:00 PM	UNLV -6.5***** U 65.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................25 - 18 - 0......................64.10%......................+ 22.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Villanova 64, Seton Hall 56- Wildcats shot 10-23 on arc in Big East opener.
— St John’s 85, Harvard 59- Red Storm out-rebounded Harvard, 39-22.
— Cal-Bakersfield 64, Idaho 63- Roadrunners won despite being 3-8 on foul line.
— Campbell 102, Green Bay 79- Camels shot 14-24 on arc, scored a ridiculous 1.54 ppp
— UCLA 97, Cal-Riverside 65- Bruins are 10-3, but only 3-3 vs top 100 teams.
— UCF 85, Florida Atlantic 80- 11-1 Knights were down 14 in the first half.

Quote of the Day
“No one felt worse than I did after that game. And I think it’s important to continue to move forward and realize that it’s what happened. It would be crazy of me to deny the truth of what happened and to live in this reality where if I tried to block it out, I don’t think that’s doing any good.”
Chargers QB Justin Herbert; Chargers play Houston this week

Wednesday’s quiz
In an episode of the old TV show Magnum PI, which actor, who played one of the more popular villains in the Batman TV show, played a jewel thief whose daughter was also a jewel thief?

Tuesday’s quiz
Brian Billick coached the Baltimore Ravens before John Harbaugh.

Monday’s quiz
Former NFL quarterback Chase Daniel is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Missouri Tigers.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: 20 of my favorite non-sports movies…….​

20) The Gambler (2014)— Remake of a James Caan movie from the mid-70’s. College professor (Mark Wahlberg) seems to have an excellent life, but he has a huge gambling problem which drags him down. John Goodman plays one of the people he owes money to; he is very good in this. Jessica Lange plays the gambler’s mother, Brie Larson is his student/girlfriend.

19) Moon Over Parador (1988)— Richard Dreyfuss is an actor who is hired to stand in for the dictator of a Latin American country who suddenly dies. Jonathan Winters is a weird CIA agent whose wife is Polly Holliday, who played Flo in the old TV series Alice.
Sonia Braga, Raul Julia, Sammy Davis Jr and Dana Delany are all in this movie.

18) The Verdict (1982)— Paul Newman is a ambulance-chasing lawyer who started drinking too much when his marriage ended; he is handed a winning case that should be lucrative, but winning it is easier said than done. His friend is played by Jack Warden, one of my all-time favorites.
James Mason, Bruce Willis are also in this movie, which is a little dated now; no cellphones. The lawyer plays a pinball machine in the bar he frequents, but it is a very good movie.

17) Double Jeopardy (1999)— Unjustly jailed for her husband’s murder, a woman does six years in jail, until she gets paroled and realizes that the husband isn’t dead, so she sets out to find him and her son, who it turns out have moved to New Orleans.
Ashley Judd is the woman, Tommy Lee Jones is her parole officer, Bruce Greenwood is the grifter husband, Roma Maffia is a woman in jail who advises the woman on the best way to get paroled. Movie is a little intense, but it is very good.

16) Autumn in New York (2000)— Mostly a sad movie about a terminally ill young woman who falls for an aging playboy who owns a restaurant; when he finds out she is very ill, the playboy tries everything he can do to find a doctor who can help her get better.
Winona Ryder is the young woman, Richard Gere is the playboy, JK Simmons is the surgeon. Anthony LaPaglia, Jill Hennessy, Sherry Stringfield, Vera Farmiga are also in the movie, which is very good, but you’ll need a handkerchief.

15) Searching for Bobby Fischer (1993)— Joe Mantegna plays a sportswriter who realizes that his 7-year old son is a chess prodigy; no one knows how/why. The parents hire a chess teacher and he begins to win tournaments, but then expectations get very high, and the kid’s interest begins to die down.
Excellent cast: Mantegna, Joan Allen is the mom, Ben Kingsley is the chess coach, Laurence Fishburne is a guy who plays speed chess in the park and who also coaches the kid. William H Macy, David Paymer, Josh Mostel are also in the movie, which is very good.

14) Good Will Hunting (1997)— A janitor at MIT can do complicated math problems better than the professors can, but he also has a criminal record, and has to get counseling for that. Robin Williams is great as the counselor, Matt Damon is the smart guy.
Ben Affleck is one of the smart guy’s friends, Minnie Driver is the smart guy’s girlfriend, but the scenes with Wiliams/Damon are epic. One of Robin Williams’ finest roles.

13) Dave (1993)— Guy who looks just like the President runs a temp job service in Washington; when the real president has a stroke while screwing around with his mistress, the guy (Kevin Kline) is hired as the stand-in president. Sigourney Weaver is the First Lady.
Frank Langella/Kevin Dunn are in the President’s cabinet, Ving Rhames is a Secret Service agent who protects the President. Charles Grodin is great in his smaller role as a friend of the look-alike, who wins up help balancing the country’s budget.

12) Begin Again (2013)— Down-and-out music executive stumbles into a Manhattan bar and discovers a young singer who can resurrect his career.
Keira Knightley is the singer, Adam Levine is her boyfriend, a popular musician who screws around on her and gets the boot. Mark Ruffalo is the music executive, and James Corden kind of steals the show as the singer’s old friend from back in England.
Hailee Steinfeld (Mrs Josh Allen these days) plays Ruffalo’s daughter, Catherine Keener is his wife. Rob Morrow, CeeLo Green are also in this movie, mostly a nice movie.

10) The Big Short (2015)— Group of investors bet against the US mortgage market in 2006-07 and are surprised to find out that the market is flawed/corrupt.
One investor is an eccentric ex-doctor who controls billions of dollars and basically risks it all to make even more money, but it it is going to take time, and the people whose money he works with are not terribly patient.
Christian Bale, Ryan Gosling, Steve Carell, Marisa Tomei are all in this movie. Michael Lewis wrote the book, same guy who wrote Moneyball.

9) Absence of Malice (1981)— Sally Field plays a reporter who investigates a liquor wholesaler who is suspected of a murder- his father had been a mobster. There is no evidence that the son is guilty, but the authorities want to pressure him into giving them information.
The wholesaler has an iron-clad excuse that guarantees his innocence, but he won’t use it because he’d have to tell the authorities that a female friend of his had an abortion and 45 years ago, that wasn’t something you wanted to be known.
The wholesaler turns the tables on the authorities and makes them look incompetent.
Paul Newman is the wholesaler; with Sally Field, Willard Brimley, an intense, very good movie.

8) Leap of Faith (1992)— Steve Martin plays a traveling preacher whose bus breaks down, stranding his crew in a drought-stricken Kansas town. Miracles ensue. Liam Neeson, Debra Winger, Philip Seymour Hoffman and Meat Loaf are all in this cast.
The preacher is a fraud, but people come out and give him a lot of money; the town where his bus breaks down is going through a drought— people want to know is he can make it rain.
There is one great scene near the end of the movie where kid who had been crippled in a car accident wants the preacher to heal his legs. It makes the movie worth watching.

7) Fabulous Baker Boys (1989)— Two piano-playing brothers have an act that is struggling, so they hire a beautiful singer to join the show, and they suddenly become more popular.
Jeff/Beau Bridges are the brothers, Michelle Pfeiffer is the singer; when one brother and the singer start messing around, tensions run high, even though the group is doing very well on stage.
Very good movie, but then again, I’d watch a movie if it was Michelle Pfeiffer reading names out of the phone book.

6) Molly’s Game (2017)— Young woman runs high stakes poker games for celebrities/rich guys, but when members of the Russian mob enter the game, things get complicated. This is a true story, and as we’re learning nowadays, real life is often stranger than fiction.
This movie comes after the book was written; Jessica Chastain plays Molly, Idris Elba is her lawyer, Kevin Costner has a smaller role as her demanding father.

5) Lost In Translation (2003)— Bill Murray plays a washed-up actor who is in Tokyo getting paid $2M to do a whiskey commercial. He meets Scarlett Johansson in the hotel bar and they become friends.
Apparently every American visiting Tokyo stays in the same hotel; the actor/woman, whose husband is a photographer who largely ignores her, they become friends and go out to dinner and have probing conversations, all platonic.
It is a nice movie with a vague but I think happy ending.

4) Rounders (1998)— Law student decides he’d rather play high stakes poker than finish law school. The scenes with Matt Damon and his law professor (Martin Landau) are excellent. Same guys who wrote this movie wrote the great Showtime series Billions.
Edward Norton is excellent as a grifter/degenerate gambler who often tries to cheat at cards; he gets himself and the law student beaten up. John Malkovich is a Russian who runs the poker room where a lot of the games are played. John Turturro plays Joey Knish, a veteran gambler who grinds out a living the hard way, but he does it.
This is a very good movie.

3) The Bodyguard (1992)— Whitney Houston is a famous singer with a contract on her head; Kevin Costner is the ex-Secret Service hired to protect her.
Protecting a famous singer is a lot different than protecting a politician; there is tension between the singer/bodyguard, but when the singer’s young son almost gets murdered, she listens to the bodyguard and they wind up OK.
Lot of good music in this movie; when Whitney Houston passed way in real life, Kevin Costner spoked at her memorial service.

2) Last Vegas (2013)— Four old friends get together in Las Vegas for the bachelor party of the one bachelor in group (Michael Douglas) who is marrying a woman 40 years younger than him. It is Douglas, Robert Deniro, Morgan Freeman, Kevin Kline. Mary Steenburgen plays a singer in a Las Vegas bar who crosses paths with the friends.

Morgan Freeman’s character won $87,000 playing blackjack in this movie; in The Hangover, the one guy wins $85,000 playing blackjack, so on one of my trips to Las Vegas, I sat down at a table and suggested that blackjack must be an easy game, since so many people win a lot of money in the movies. I got a dirty look, a scowl and I shut up and was glad to break even.

1) A Few Good Men (1992)— Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Jack Nicholson ate the stars; Kevin Bacon, Kiefer Sutherland, Kevin Pollak, JT Walsh as supporting actors is pretty strong.

A military lawyer tries to prove that two Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were simply following their commander’s orders. The last scene, with Jack Nicholson on the witness stand, is tremendous.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Wednesday, December 24

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Wednesday’s game
Hawai’i Bowl
California @ Hawai’i (-1.5)
California (7-5)
Cal fired its coach; unsure who is coaching this game.
Cal allowed 31+ points in all five of their losses.
Cal’s last four wins were by 4-3-3-3 points.
Golden Bears have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Golden Bears have 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
True frosh QB threw for 3,109 yards (17 TD’s, 9 INTs)


Cal is 36-19 ATS last 55 games as an underdog, 21-13 on road
This year, Golden Bears are 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Cal is 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 6-4 in last ten California games.
Golden Bears lost three of last four bowl games.
ACC non-conference road underdogs are 10-6 ATS.


Hawai’i (8-4)
Hawai’i allowed 38+ points in three of their four losses.
Last four years, Rainbows are minus-30 in turnovers (minus-4 TY)
6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
49 starts back on offensive line.
QB Alejado threw for 2,832 yards (21 TD’s, 9 INTs)
Mountain West teams are 0-3 SU in bowls this month.


Under Chang, Rainbows are 17-6-3 ATS at home
Last five years, Hawai’i is 8-14-1 ATS in non-conference games.
This year, Rainbows are 2-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Hawai’i is 8-1 when it allows less than 38 points.
Hawai’i is 2-1 in their last three Hawai’i Bowls (last one 2019)
Rainbows are 3-1 in last four bowls (won New Mexico Bowl in 2020)


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Underdogs won last seven Hawai’i Bowls SU.
ACC teams are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS vs Mountain West teams this year.

 

[Udog]

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday, December 24​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CAL at HAW	08:00 PM	HAW -1.5***** U 51.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................26 - 19 - 0......................57.77%......................+ 22.00

 

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL teams’ records in one-score games:
10-2— Denver
6-1— Chargers
7-2— Carolina, Chicago
7-3— New England, Philadelphia
6-2— Pittsburgh
5-2— Buffalo

Quote of the Day
“Stress comes from ignoring things which shouldn’t be ignored.”
Jeff Bezos

Thursday’s quiz
Who coached the Denver Broncos, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Wednesday’s quiz
In an episode of the old TV show Magnum PI, Cesar Romero played a jewel thief whose daughter was also a jewel thief; he also played the Joker on Batman.

Tuesday’s quiz
Brian Billick coached the Baltimore Ravens before John Harbaugh.

**********************************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Merry Christmas, everyone…….

Hope everyone has an excellent Christmas; thanks for reading……

Wednesday was one of the worst TV nights of the year, but the one game that was on TV was one of the better games all season:

— Hawaii 35, California 31
Hawaii’s backup QB threw a 22-yard TD pass with 0:10 left for the win
California led 21-0 with 5:00 left in the first half.
Cal QB Sagapolutele threw for 343 yards and a TD.
Hawaii WR Ashlock caught 14 passes for 123 yards, two TD’s.

— Bowl records, by conference (SU/ATS):
AAC- 0-3/0-3
ACC- 3-1/2-2
Big X- 0-0

Big 18- 2-0/1-1
Conference USA- 3-2/3-2
MAC- 2-1/3-0

Mountain West- 1-3/1-3
SEC- 2-2/2-2
Sun Belt 2-4/3-3

— Louisville 27, Toledo 22
Louisville led 21-3 early in the second quarter.
Toledo scored 19 points in 8:18 span of 4th quarter for the backdoor cover.
Cardinals ran ball 36 times for 180 yards (5.0 yards/carry)
Toledo was penalized 14 times for 100 yards.

— Western Kentucky 27, Southern Miss 16
Southern Miss led 13-6 at halftime.
Backup QB McIvor was 12-19/199 passing, sparked the comeback win.
WKU’s last two drives: 18 plays, 149 yards, 14 points.
Hilltoppers have won five of their last seven bowl games.

— Ohio U 17, UNLV 10
Bobcats won their 7th bowl game in a row.
Ohio U outgained the Rebels, 350-281
Bobcats ran the ball 43 times for 207 yards.
First time in 36 games that UNLV scored fewer than 20 points.

— Famous birthdays, December 25th:
Gary Sandy, 80
Larry Csonka, 79
Sissy Spacek, 76

CCH Pounder, 73
William Andrews, 70
Jillie Mack, 68

Erik Hiljus, 43
Eric Gordon, 37
Garrett Cooper, 35

Thursday would’ve been Kenny Stabler’s 80th birthday, Rickey Henderson’s 67th.

— Bill Vinovich was the referee for the Bills-Browns game in Cleveland Sunday, then Monday night, he was one of the refs at the Northern Iowa-Saint Mary’s basketball game in Moraga, all the way across the country. He puts on a lot of miles every winter.

— Here is a 10-day stretch for referee Brian Dorsey, who has already worked 36 college hoop games this winter.

Dec 13- West Virginia-Ohio State, in Cleveland
Dec 14- Oakland City @ Cleveland State
Dec 16- Toledo @ Michigan State
Dec 17- Arizona State @ UCLA
Dec 20- St John’s vs Kentucky, in Atlanta
Dec 21- Charleston @ Northern Kentucky
Dec 22- Illinois vs Missouri, in St Louis

Seven games in ten nights; lot of running.

— Chicago White Sox signed lefty P Sean Newcomb, for one years/$4.5M. Newcomb had a 1.75 ERA in 36 games (51 IP) for the A’s last year, but Chicago is expected to give him a chance to be a starter. He has started 65 games in his career.

— Pittsburgh Pirates signed 1B/DH Ryan O’Hearn for two years, $29M; O’Hearn hit 17 homers for Orioles/Padres last year, with an .805 OPS.

— Miami Marlins signed P Pete Fairbanks for one year, $13M; he had 27 saves for the Rays last year, has 75 saves the last three seasons.

— Movie of the Day: Cousins (1989)— Two couples go to a mutual friend’s wedding and and up switching partners. Ted Danson/William Peterson are the guys, before their CSI days; Sean Young, Isabella Rossellini are the women. Lloyd Bridges provides some comic relief.

Should have this movie on yesterday’s list of 20; at the end of the movie, one of the couples is on a boat, and sails off into the sunset. Years later, when Gil Grissom/Sara Sidle left CSI, almost the exact same scene takes place, a couple sailing off into the sunset.

College basketball has become minor league basketball; some examples:

— Baylor adds 2023 NBA draft pick James Nnaji, who was drafted by the Pistons in 2023, played the last two years overseas, played for the Knicks in the NBA Summer League this past year. 7-foot tall Nnaji is eligible immediately.

— Spanish wing Lucas Langarita has enrolled at Utah and is expected to be in uniform with the Utes pretty soon; he played really well at last summer’s FIBA U20 Eurobasket.

— 23-year old Russian big man Kirill Elatontsev has one semester of eligibility left, is expected to sign on with Oklahoma and finish this season with the Sooners. He has previously played on the Russian National team.

— In the NBA, LA Lakers are the first NBA team since the 1991 Miami Heat whose first nine losses of a season were all by 10+ points. Right now, Lakers are 19-9; the ’91 Heat wound up 24-58, in their third year of existence.

— Good news/bad news for the NFL’s Jets:
Good news: three of their first round draft picks made the Pro Bowl this year.

Bad news: none of those three guys play for the Jets anymore; two of them play for the Seahawks, one plays for Dallas.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
San Antonio Spurs have won seven games in a row, with seven different leading scorers:
vs New Orleans- Harrison Barmes 24
vs Lakers- Stephon Castle 30
vs Oklahoma City- Devin Vassell 23
vs Washington- Dylan Harper 24
vs Atlanta- Victor Wembanyama 26
vs Washington- De’Aaron Fox 27
vs Oklahoma City- Keldon Johnson, 25

Quote of the Day
“When you’re 20 you care what everyone thinks……
When you’re you’re 40 you stop caring what everyone thinks…..
when you’re 60, you realize no one was ever thinking about you in the first place.”
Winston Churchill

Friday’s quiz
Who was the first head coach to lead two different franchises to a Super Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Red Miller coached the Denver Broncos, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Wednesday’s quiz
In an episode of the old TV show Magnum PI, Cesar Romero played a jewel thief whose daughter was a jewel thief, too; he also played the Joker on Batman.

***************************************************

Friday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— Cowboys 30, Commanders 23
Dallas led 21-3 with 7:00 left in first half.
Cowboys’ first four drives: 47 plays, 306 yards, 24 points.
Cowboys ran ball 44 times for 211 yards.
Last eleven games, Dallas’ team total: over 7-3-1
Washington kicked 51-yard FG with 2:09 left for a backdoor cover.
Commanders are 1-10 SU/3-8 ATS in their last eleven games.
39-year old backup QB Johnson was 15-23/198 in his first start since 2021.
Dallas ran 87 plays for 480 yards; Washington 41 for 328 yards.

— Vikings 23, Lions 10
Loss eliminates Detroit from playoff contention.
Lions turned ball over six times on their 12 drives.
Detroit ran the ball 30 times for only 68 yards.
Lions are 1-7 when they score less than 34 points.
Minnesota won, despite having only 3 net yards passing.
Vikings ran ball 28 times for 158 yards (5.6 yards/carry)
Vikings last four games, scoring 31-34-16-23 points.
Vikings held five of last six opponents under 300 TY.
— Broncos 20, Chiefs 13
Denver drove 65 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:45 left.
Broncos have won 12 of their last 13 games.
Underdogs covered Denver’s last eight games.
Denver is 13-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS as a road favorite.
Kansas City has lost five in a row, seven of last eight games.
#3 QB Oladokun was 13-22/66 passing, in his first NFL start.
Denver was 11-18 on third down, Kansas City 4-11
Broncos outgained the Chiefs, 303-139.

— Jacksonville State RB Cam Cook plans to enter the NCAA transfer portal; he has run ball for 1,659 yards this year, earned Conference USA MVP and All-America honors in his one year with the Gamecocks after transferring from TCU.

— Famous birthdays, December 26th:
Carlton Fisk, 78
Ozzie Smith, 71
Storm Davis, 64
Jeff King, 61
Tim Legler, 59
Omar Infante, 44
Trevor Siemian, 34
Hogan Harris, 29

— Great day to be an A’s fan: A’s signed OF Tyler Soderstrom to a 7-year, $86M contract extension; the deal buys out at least three free agent years, and keeps him under team control until his age 31 season.
Last year, Soderstrom hit 25 homers, had 93 RBI, had an .820 OPS.

— Our fantasy baseball draft starts in seven short weeks; it is a keeper league, so our draft is only two rounds, but how do you evaluate players coming here from Asia?
Two years ago, Shota Imanaga signed with the Cubs; I scoured the Internet, trying to find out about this guy. No one knew anything; in the last two years, he’s gone 24-11, 3.28 in 54 starts.
This year, there are three Asian players left to be signed; the deadline is January 4th to sign them. This year, pundits on YouTube podcasts all have lots of opinions on who is/isn’t good, so I’m curious to see where they get drafted in our league.

— Chiefs’ QB Chris Oladokun was on the Chiefs’ practice squad for two of their Super Bowl wins, but Thursday night was his first NFL start. He’s had an interesting journey:
2016-18- South Florida
2019-20- Samford
2021- South Dakota State
He was the Steelers’ 7th round draft pick in 2022; he has two Super Bowl rings, but now he’s started an NFL game. Didn’t go that well, but it is a start.

— Bowl records, by conference (SU/ATS):

AAC- 0-3/0-3

ACC- 3-1/2-2

Big X- 0-0

Big 18- 2-0/1-1

Conference USA- 3-2/3-2

MAC- 2-1/3-0

Mountain West- 1-3/1-3

SEC- 2-2/2-2

Sun Belt 2-4/3-3

— Movie of the Day: The Rewrite (2014)- An Oscar-winning writer in a slump leaves Hollywood to teach screenwriting at SUNY-Binghamton, where he falls for a single mom taking classes there. Hugh Grant is the teacher, Marisa Tomei the student. Allison Janney, JK Simmons are also in this movie.
Lot of the movie is filmed in Binghamton, including one scene at a merry-go-round that has helped Binghamton be known as the Carousel Capital of the World.
Anyway, this is a nice movie; our world needs more nice in it.

— Noah Eagle called the Dallas-Washington game on Netflix Thursday; the son of Ian Eagle, Noah Eagle is a network broadcaster at age 29. Pretty cool.

— Knicks 126, Cavaliers 124
Knicks were down 17 points in the fourth quarter.
Tyler Kolek had 16 points, 9 assists off the bench.

— Spurs 117, Thunder 102
De’Aaron Fox scored 29 points for San Antonio.
Oklahoma City is 0-3 against the Spurs this year, 26-2 vs everyone else.

— Warriors 126, Mavericks 116
Jimmy Butler scored 14 points, had 9 rebounds, 9 assists.
De’Anthony Melton scored 16 points in 24:00 off the bench.

— Rockets 119, Lakers 96
Houston had six players score in double figures.
Rockets shot 60.6% inside the arc.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, December 26

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Friday’s games
GameAbove Sports Bowl (@ Detroit)
Central Michigan vs Northwestern (-10)
Central Michigan (7-5)
Chippewas won four of their last six games.
Chippewas are 6-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-5 when they don’t.
Chippewas have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Chippewas have 40 returning starts on OL, plus lot of transfers.
Junior QB Labas started 6 games LY; he was at Iowa for two years.

CMU has three losses this year by 18+ points.
Chippewas lost 63-3 at Michigan in September.
Chippewas are 13-10-1 ATS last 24 games as an underdog.
This is CMU’s first bowl game in four years.
Chippewas are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five bowl games.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
MAC non-conference underdogs are 23-17 ATS this year.

Northwestern (6-6)
Northwestern lost four of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
Two of their five I-A wins were by 19+ points.
Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lausch has 2,174 PY (14 TD’s, 12 INTs)

Wildcats are 2-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Braun, Northwestern is 3-5 ATS as a favorite.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
Northwestern is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 17-17 ATS this year.

These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, MAC teams are 0-13 SU/7-6 ATS vs Big 18 teams.
Last five years, MAC teams are 3-2 ATS in this bowl.

Rate Bowl (@ Phoenix)
Minnesota (-1.5) vs New Mexico
Minnesota (7-5)
Minnesota is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Gophers allowed 38+ points in four of their five losses.
Gophers have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Minnesota has 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lindsey has 2,235 PY (16 TD’s, 6 INTs).

Minnesota is 0-3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 27-23-3 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Minnesota is 3-4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Golden Gophers have won their last eight bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 17-17 ATS this year.

New Mexico (9-3)
Lobos have won six on a row, their longest win streak since 1997.
Lobos allowed 34-35-41 points in their losses.
New Mexico has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Lobos have 100 starts returning on OL (added 6 transfers).
Junior QB Layne started six games at Idaho.

This is New Mexico’s first bowl game since 2016.
New Mexico is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Lobos are 4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 15-9 ATS

These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, Big 18 teams are 4-2 SU/1-5 ATS vs Mountain West foes.
Favorites covered four of last five Rate Bowls.

First Responders Bowl (@ Dallas)
Florida International vs Texas-San Antonio (-5.5)
Florida International (7-5)
Panthers won their last four games, scoring 42.3 ppg.
FIU gave up 34+ points in four of its five losses.
FIU has 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
FIU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 23 games last two years.

Last two games, FIU ran ball for 202-303 yards.
FIU is 4-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Panthers are 5-4 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
This is FIU’s first bowl game since 2019
Panthers lost three of their last four bowls.

Texas-San Antonio (6-6)
Roadrunners are 1-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
UTSA is 0-6 giving up 27+ points, 6-0 giving up less than 27.
Roadrunners have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
UTSA has 106 starts returning on the offensive line.
Roadrunners’ soph QB McCown has thrown 27 TD’s, 7 INT’s this year.

UTSA is 2-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Roadrunners are 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last five games, Roadrunners are +5 in turnovers.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
UTSA won its last two bowls, 35-17/44-15.

UTSA (-33) beat Florida International 30-10 in 2022.
AAC-Conference USA teams split two games this season.
Last seven years, underdogs are 4-3 ATS in this bowl.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, December 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CMU at NW	01:00 PM	CMU +10.5****** O 43.5******	+500 +500
UNM at MINN	04:30 PM	MINN -1.5****** U 43.5******	+500 +500
FIU at UTSA	08:00 PM	FIU +5.5****** U 60.5******	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................28 - 23 - 0......................54.90%......................+ 10.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
NFL yeams’ records in one-score games:
1-7— Chiefs, Giants
2-8— Cardinals
1-6— Browns
2-5— Lions
1-5— Raiders
1-4— Commanders

Quote of the Day
“We don’t care enough right now. And that’s the part that bothers you a lot. We don’t care enough to do the things that are necessary. We don’t care enough to be a professional……”
Lakers coach JJ Redick

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Boston Celtics, who has made the most 3-point shots?

Friday’s quiz
Don Shula (Colts/Dolphins) was the first head coach to lead two different franchises to a Super Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Red Miller coached the Denver Broncos, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Minnesota 20, New Mexico 17 OT
Golden Gophers won their 9th straight bowl game.
Down 14-7, New Mexico ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
This was New Mexico’s first bowl outside of Albuquerque since 2004.
— If you were wondering, the all-time record for most consecutive bowl wins is 11, set by Bobby Bowden’s Florida State teams from 1985-95.

— Northwestern 34, Central Michigan 7
QB Stone threw for 226 yards, 3 TD’s.
Central Michigan lost three fumbles, committed four turnovers in all.
Wildcats have won six bowl games in a row.

— Texas-San Antonio 57, FIU 20
FIU actually led this game 14-0 in first quarter.
Roadrunners led 31-14 at halftime.
FIU went for it on 4th down 10 times, were 1-10.

— Michigan hired former Utah coach Kyle Whittingham as their new coach; Whittingham was 177-88 in 22 years at Utah, going 11-6 in bowls (they lost the last five). Utah is 10-2 this year; this is a big upgrade for the Wolverines.

— Green Bay Packers ruled out QB Jordan Love (concussion) for tonight’s game with the Ravens; Green Bay clinched a playoff spot when Detroit lost Thursday. Malik Willis will start for the Packers; he is 3-2 as an NFL starter, has thrown for 134 yards in three games this year.

— Famous birthdays, December 27th:
Tovah Feldshuh, 77
Craig Reynolds, 73
Mark Budaska, 73
Kent Benson, 71
Donald Igwebuike, 65
Eva LaRue, 59
Kevin Ollie, 53
Deuce McAllister, 47
Carson Palmer, 46
Cole Hamels, 42
Greg Zuerlein, 38
Rick Porcello, 37
Jordan Montgomery, 33
JJ Koski, 29
Brock Purdy, 26

— It was freakin’ freezing here in upstate New York Friday, and now it is snowing out; this is my annual “Why the hell don’t I live in Las Vegas?” night. Once a year, I curse myself out for living in a place where it occasionally gets very cold, and it costs me $40 to get my driveway plowed.

— They’re remodeling the grocery store I go to; its been taking a long time- they’re supposed to finish next month. It is funny going there; no one seems to know what aisle anything is in any more. Used to take me 10 minutes to do my shopping; takes a lot more now. I’m wondering how much it costs to do all that work.

— Thursday night in Denver, the Nuggets beat Minnesota 142-138 in OT; Nikola Jokic scored 56 points, grabbed 16 rebounds, had 15 assists— he scored 18 of his points in the 5:00 overtime, the most any player has ever scored in an overtime.

— College/minor league sports are off the rails; quarterbacks are transferring:
UNLV QB Anthony Colandrea is in the portal, after leading the Rebels to a 10-4 record. He played at Virginia in 2023-24.

(The last four Heisman Trophy winners have all been transfers)
Some other QB’s who are in the transfer portal:
Sam Leavitt, Arizona State
Drew Mestemaker, North Texas
Dylan Raiola, Nebraska
Josh Hoover, TCU
Rocco Becht, Iowa State
Brendan Sorsby, Cincinnati
DJ Lagway, Florida
Byrum Brown, South Florida
Aaron Philo, Georgia Tech

— Since the weather sucks outside, here are some baseball tidbits to help us feel warmer; most of this info came from an article by David Schoenfield on ESPN.com

Pittsburgh Pirates hit 117 home runs last year, 31 fewer than any other team,. Which why they acquired Brandon Lowe, Ryan O’Hearn. Paul Skenes had a 1.97 ERA but was only 10-10, because the Pirates don’t score enough freakin’ runs.

Mets ranked 27th out of 30 teams in IP by starting pitchers, now they let their closer walk to the Dodgers. Mets are going to be very interesting to watch between now and the start of spring training- they need to add talent, both hitting and pitching.

St Louis Cardinals went 232-254 the last three years, their worst three-year stretch since 1988-90, which is why they’re cleaning house now. This year’s attendance was 991,084 fans lower than the Cardinals’ home attendance in 2023- the natives are restless.

Milwaukee Brewers hit .258 as a team last year, but they hit .279 with runners in scoring position, that doesn’t happen much. It probably isn’t sustainable either, so Milwaukee’s offense could suffer this coming season.

Orioles/Marlins both got only 62 RBI from their first basemen last year, tied for worst in the major leagues. That explains why the Orioles went after Pete Alonso.

Cincinnati Reds got only 51 home runs from outfielders; they play their home games in one of the best home run parks there is, which may explain why they moved Noelvi Marte to RF.

Arizona Diamondbacks got saves from 17 different pitchers last year, an all-time record (’21 Rays, ’24 Dodgers each got saves from 14 pitchers).

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, December 27

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Saturday’s games
Military Bowl (@ Annapolis, MD)
Pittsburgh (-10) vs East Carolina
Pittsburgh (8-4)
Pitt allowed 31+ points in all four of its losses.
Panthers are 0-4 when they score less than 30 points.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel has 2,101 PY (15 TD’s, 7 INTs)


Pitt is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 38-30-3 ATS as a a favorite.
Panthers are 8-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards.
Over is 6-3 in Pitt’s last nine games.
Pitt is 2-3 in last five bowls (4 of 5 decided by 4 or fewer points)
ACC non-conference favorites are 13-20 ATS.


East Carolina (8-4)
ECU won five of its last six games, after a 3-3 start.
ECU was held to 17-13-19-24 points in its losses.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other schools.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.


ECU’s losses this year are by 7-21-7-34 points.
Pirates are 1-1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Over is 5-1 in East Carolina’s last six games.
ECU (+7) upset NC State 26-21 in this bowl last year.
East Carolina won three of its last four bowl games.
AAC non-conference underdogs are 13-14 ATS.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
ACC teams are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS vs AAC foes this year.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Military Bowls


Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx, NY)
Penn State vs Clemson (-3)
Penn State (6-6)
Penn State won its last three games, after an 0-6 skid.
Penn State is 1-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Nittany Lions have 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Penn State has 83 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Allar started 29 games last two years.


Penn State is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Penn State is 3-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Penn State is +4 in turnovers TY (were +38 last three years)
Nittany Lions won three of their last five bowl games.
Over is 8-2 in last ten Penn State games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS.


Clemson (7-5)
Clemson won its last four games, after a 3-5 start.
Tigers are 0-4 when they allow 20+ points.
Clemson is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Clemson has 122 returning starts on the offensive line.


Tigers are 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season.
Clemson is 3-4 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Tigers are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 13-20 ATS.


Winter weather could be a factor in this game.
Since 2016, ACC teams are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in the Pinstripe Bowl.
These teams haven’t met in the last six seasons.
Big 18 teams are 2-1 SU/1-2 ATS vs ACC teams this year.


Fenway Bowl (@ Boston)
UConn vs Army (-8.5)
UConn (9-3)
Coach Mora bolted UConn for Colorado State.
UConn won four in row, eight of its last nine games.
UConn has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
UConn has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Fagnano has 3,441 passing yards (28 TDs, 1 INT)


Huskies’ losses this year are by 7-3-3 points.
UConn gave up 200+ rushing yards in four games TY.
UConn is 1-0-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Huskies are 5-2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 7-3 in UConn’s last ten games
UConn lost three of their last four bowls.


Army (6-6)
Army’s last six games (3-3) were all decided by 7 or less points.
Army is 5-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Army has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Black Knights have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Coleman started one game last year.


Black Knights have run ball for 224+ yards in 10 of 12 games.
Army is 4-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Army is 2-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
Army is 4-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Army won/covered four of its last five bowl games.
Seven of last nine Army games stayed under the total.
AAC non-conference favorites are 9-9 ATS.


Underdogs won two of three Fenway Bowls.
UConn (+2.5) upset Belichick/UNC in this bowl LY.
Army won last two games vs UConn 52-21/34-17 in 2021/2022.


Pop Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
Georgia Tech vs BYU (-4)
Georgia Tech (9-3)
Tech lost three of last four games, after an 8-0 start.
Tech’s losses are by 12-14-7 points.
Yellow Jackets have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 103 returning starts on OL, but lot of transfers.
Senior QB King has 26 career starts.


Tech is 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
Tech is 3-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Tech is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
Yellow Jackets are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five bowls (underdogs 4-1 ATS)
ACC non-conference underdogs are 6-11 ATS this year.


BYU (11-2)
BYU’s two losses were 29-7/34-7, both to Texas Tech.
BYU is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier has 2,823 passing yards (14 TD’s, 8 INTs)


BYU is 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
BYU is 6-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
BYU’s last four wins were all by 12+ points.
BYU won three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 7-5 in BYU games this season.
Big X non-conference favorites are 13-11 ATS.


Big X teams are 5-1 ATS vs ACC opponents this year.
Favorites are 7-2 ATS in last nine Pop Tarts Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six seasons.


Arizona Bowl (@ Tucson)
Miami OH vs Fresno State (-5.5)
Miami (7-6)
Redhawks won 7 of last 10 games, after an 0-3 start.
Miami is 6-1 when they score 25+ points.
Miami is 0-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Redhawks have 1 starter back on offense, 5 on defense.
Miami has 3 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Finn had 32 career starts at Toledo/Baylor.


Miami is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Redhawks are 46-34-2 ATS as an underdog under Martin.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Miami is 3-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Over is 7-4 in Miami’s last eleven games.
Redhawks are 2-3 SU/5-0 ATS in their last five bowls.
MAC non-conference underdogs are 23-17 ATS


Fresno State (7-3, 4-2)
Fresno won its last two games, allowing 7-3 points.
Bulldogs’ three losses were by 24-28-23 points.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Conklin started 10 games at I-AA level last year.


Fresno is 3-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Overall, Fresno is 10-14-1 ATS last 25 games as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 4-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under is 6-2 in last eight games.
Fresno won four of its last five bowl games.
Mountain West non-conference favorites are 7-7 ATS


This year, Mountain West teams are 3-2 SU/ATS vs MAC opponents.
Favorites are 4-3 ATS in last eight Arizona Bowls (one pick ‘em)
These teams haven’t met in the last six seasons.


New Mexico Bowl
North Texas (-6.5) vs San Diego State
North Texas (11-2)
Coach Morris has bolted to Oklahoma State.
Nine of UNT’s 11 wins were by 14+ points.
Mean Green gave up 63-34 points in its two losses.
Mean Green has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
North Texas has 72 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Mestemaker started UNT’s bowl game last year.

North Texas is 9-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
North Texas is 5-2 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
UNT gave up 190+ rushing yards in 8 of last 10 games.
North Texas lost its last five bowls (were underdog in all five)
Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.
AAC non-conference favorites are 9-9 ATS.


San Diego State (9-3)
Aztecs split last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Aztecs were held to 13-6-17 points in their losses.
San Diego State has 4 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Denegal was a backup at Michigan for two years.


San Diego State is 1-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Aztecs are 4-6 ATS last ten games as an underdog.
San Diego State is 5-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under is 8-2 in Aztecs’ last ten games.
San Diego State is 2-3 in its last five bowls.
This is Aztecs’ first bowl since 2022.
Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 15-9 ATS


This year, AAC teams are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS vs Mountain West teams.
Underdogs covered four of last five New Mexico Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Gator Bowl (@ Jacksonville, FL)
Virginia vs Missouri (-4)
Virginia (10-3)
Virginia’s three losses were by 4-7-7 points.
Cavaliers split last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.


Under Elliott, Virginia is 18-9 ATS as a underdog.
This year, Virginia is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
Cavaliers are 5-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Virginia is 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last eight Virginia games stayed under the total.
This is Virginia’s first bowl since 2019 (’21 bowl was cancelled)
ACC non-conference underdogs are 6-11 ATS this year.


Missouri (8-4)
QB Pribula will transfer, won’t play in this game.
Mizzou is 3-4 in last seven games, after a 5-0 start.
Tigers are 6-0 when they score 31+ points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Zollers has 402 PY TY (4 TDs, one INT)


Mizzou is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Mizzou is 4-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Tigers are 8-0 when they run for 200+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
Mizzou is 8-4 despite a minus-5 turnover ratio.
Four of last six Mizzou games stayed under the total.
Tigers won their last two bowl games, 14-3/27-24
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 13-18 ATS.


This year, SEC teams are 6-3 SU/5-4 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Favorites are 6-3 ATS in last nine Gator Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Texas Bowl (@ Houston)
LSU @ Houston (-1.5)
LSU (7-5)
LSU has an interim coach with Lane Kiffin the new HC.
Tigers are 3-5 in last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)


LSU is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
LSU is 3-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Tigers’ last three games were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Tigers scored 13 or fewer points in three of last four games.
Under is 9-2 in their I-A games.
LSU won five of their last six bowl games.


Houston (9-3)
Houston scored 24+ points in all its wins.
Cougars are 4-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Houston has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Cougars have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Weigman started five games at Texas A&M last year.


Houston ran for 210+ yards in its last three games.
In his career, Fritz is 30-26 ATS as a home favorite.
Houston is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Cougars are 5-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Houston won last two bowl games, 17-13/23-16
This s Houston’s first bowl since 2022.
Over is 7-4 in Houston’s last eleven games.


Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Texas Bowls.
SEC teams are 3-0 SU/ATS vs Big X teams this year.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.