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    friday's games

    last night's plays go 2-3 with samford and fau losing the covers in the final seconds. welcome to ncaa hoops. i've got an ugly one tonight (what else is new?). hold the tomatoes and hear me out. dartmouth pk: how's this for ugly? at 6-15 there's not much to like about big green but lets take a...
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    some thoughts on today's games

    working from home office today so naturally my attention drifts to today's ncaa card: buffalo -10: buffalo is trying to keep pace in the mid american conference race while eastern michigan is playing out the string and off a rivalry win over central michigan. hard to imagine emu staying with...
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    Pacific +5

    got a little time today so thought i would throw this play out there. tigers are on their fourth road game in a row, but look to be still competing (except for obligatory blowout at gonzaga). after a ten day covid pause the last half of january, it would have been easy for these guys to play out...
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    marlins trade marte and garcia

    give me o's -1- +150. glta
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    goin' ugly early

    tenn tech +7-: this game caught my attention when i noticed the line bumped down this morning with overwhelming action on eastern kentucky. then i saw where the start time was moved up to 3pm (4 pm eastern) so that the colonels could beat bad weather coming in tonight and get the hell out of...
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    hoosiers

    AVAILABILITY UPDATE: --Aaron Thompson is questionable for Saturday's game against Indiana. He has been diagnosed with a sprained ligament in his right knee, suffered in Wednesday night's game at Villanova. An update on his availability will be provided Saturday morning following a pregame...
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    nc state players traveling

    N.C. State traveled to St. Louis with only nine players for its game versus the Billikens. Which nine remained a mystery until an hour before game time. The school released a roster of players available for tonight?s game: Forward Dereon Seabron, guard Shakeel Moore, forward Jericole Hellems...
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    montana state

    i've followed the big sky conference for a few years now and montana state caught my eye last year. they hired alum danny sprinkle as head coach and instantly became a conference contender. they posted a winning season in sprinkle's first season, grabbed road wins at weber state and idaho state...
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    running rebels???

    i'm posting this at tipoff because its my first ncaa hoops play of the season. not too sure about how this season will go, and i have no real insight to offer on this game so i sure as hell wouldn't want anyone to follow this play. no real reason to like the rebels - they just got smoked by dd...
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    louisville @ nc state +3

    nc state +3: can't recall the last time i posted a play on the wolfpack, as i usually try to stay away from recommending a play on them because of my built in bias. today i'm willing to make an exception. just 11 days ago nc state was riding high after 3 straight acc victories. at 14-4, they...
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    san diego state @ fresno state

    fresno state +7-: ah where to start on this one - yes, its ugly but real value here imo. these teams just played two weeks ago in san diego where the aztecs claimed a nine point win. the bulldogs consider san diego their biggest rival, and are usually focused when they play. fresno gets a little...
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    portland state @ montana

    montana -7: griz off to a better than expected start sitting atop early big sky standings at 4-1. vikings playing second road game in three day, fourth in last two weeks, had lost three in a row until big upset saturday in bozeman, beating montana state by one on a last second buzzer beater in a...
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    app st @ troy +12-

    lots of moving parts here: *troy is 5-6 and needs this win for bowl eligibility *troy just got hosed 53-3 last weekend to louisiana, the other sun belt conference leader, in clearly their worst performance of the year. *this is senior night for troy, and they have 17 seniors on the team...
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    monday ncaa hoops

    here's a few plays i put in earlier today that are derived from an analysis of differences between expected lines and actual lines. kind of convoluted but it is similar to the approach used by our old buddy billy blastoff and his "q factor". i can only hope it works as well. you'll notice some...
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    hey jack check my montana state thread below

    i get a blue screen when i try to view it. another corruption issue???
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    montana st -7 vs tennessee tech

    this game is in fleming gym on the campus of unc-g, as part of the spartan invitational tournament. last night mon st beat uncg in their own gym on a buzzer beater from half court. trust me when i tell you the spartans are a tough out in that gym. friday night the bobcats knocked off app st...
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    la tech @ marshall

    "However, there are rumors circulating about Smith?s availability for this game. No official sources have revealed if Smith will play or not, but the line has moved from Marshall -2.5 to Marshall -5.0 over the past day or two. A shift that significant suggests something could be up. If there?s...
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    vmi @ ecu -8

    second year pirate coach joe dooley did pretty well recruiting last year and definitely upgraded his roster. keydets a perennial socon cellar dweller, never known for stellar road play. they return several starters off a bad team, but none averaged more than 10 ppg. dooley reignited some...
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    ecu +105

    ecu homecoming and bulls' qb nursing shoulder and wrist issues, won't be a threat downfield. glta
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    Unc @ ga tech + 10-

    On the road to a poker tournament and posting this from my phone so bear with me. To me this game appears to be a gross overreaction to last week, when carolina was sky high at home playing clemson and shoulda/coulda beat the tigers but for coaching staff blunders, and ga tech posted 0 offensive...
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