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    How'd the dogs do? And some stuff to keep in mind for today

    Dogs went 9-6-1 ATS yesterday if you consider the ND-Charlotte game PK. BUT, lower seeds were 10-6 ats yesterday. So, if you took Kent. St. and GAVE, and all the other lower seeds and TOOK, you had a good day yesterday. Maybe its just a statistical anomaly. But maybe the lines really are...
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    cocktails

    Not all of these are playing today, and I'm sure this will get lost in the massive amount of traffic I expect here today, but... FWIW, in the first two rounds I have 3 faves : Kent, UCLA, NCSU. I like seeing Volfan on Kent. And, I have a small play on Maryland, for the local boys. No play on...
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    The Fighting Whities (article)

    Here's a snip, w/o permission. I think its pretty funny and would have to guess that would be a pretty hot-selling logo. Sorry if someone else already posted it. By Joe Garner, News Staff Writer GREELEY -- A leader of the protest against Eaton High School's Indian mascot said Monday that he...
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    MD vs FSU

    I don't think the line is out yet, but if it stays under MD -18.5, I like the terps. If it goes over 20, I'd start to lean on the Seminoles, but probably lay off. If I can get FSU +8.5 or more in the first half, I like a bet on the seminoles, but look for them to tire in the 2nd half, after...
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    Here's a Polyester Pick, Nolan

    East leading New Jersey Nets ONLY a 1.5 pt. favorite over the lowly 28-32 Phoenix Suns??? That's a Mortal Lock. Polyester loading up on the Nets. Here's a little on the Suns. TheShrimp
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    Nolan's article, the NCAAs, and a big change

    I enjoyed Nolan's NCAA article, and I appreciate the stats on 1st round games. I've always been a dog bettor in the tourney and agree with many of the reason's Nolan outlined. Travel and nerves can be great equalizers. I also wonder what would happen if you bet a ML on every dog in the first...
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    Tonya Harding vs. Paula Jones & the academies

    It was originally Tonya vs. Amy Fisher. I don't know what happened to that. I already bet on Tonya at 10/11 for that bout, but now it has dropped to 77/100 at SIA with her new opponent. If there is any shred of normalcy to this made for TV event (AND A BIGGER IF MAY HAVE NEVER BEEN SPOKEN)...
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    ****tails

    It was just a matter of time before I started calling my picks that. Rough week for me. All my small picks came through and all my big picks crashed and burned. Still trying to get the hang of the NBA, and trying to post and keep track of 'em. Posted picks here: 3-6 -3.2 units. No postings...
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    A total to consider

    NJN/CHAR o188.5. This total is probably about right if Martin and MacCulloch were healthy. They're NJ's two top shot blockers and NJ is Top 5 in defensive FG percentage. All 3 games b/w these two have gone under this year, and all have been under 188, so I don't love it, but I do like it. If...
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    Two plays

    NJ -2 (-110). THIS REEKS OF A TRAP. Consider me trapped. The better team giving up only a basket always looks like a trap, but Baron Davis is questionable and Charlotte is 9-19 ats at home, 11-17 SU at home. Yeah, Charlotte had 'em in a hole on Sunday and played them tight, but I like the...
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    Two (weak) ML's. Comments?

    Bucks +175 @ Carib. I love this line, but the problem is I have sworn off betting for or against the Lakers and the Bucks, and tonight they're playing each other. I don't know if I'm playing it, but I do love it. You all know what you're getting with these two teams, so I won't go too far into...
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    One parlay for tonight

    Mizzou -3 and under 141. 3.6:1 TheShrimp
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    Two ML's

    Portland ML +140 Charlotte ML +130 Last week. Posted ML picks: 0-2. Would have won 1 if I took the points. Portland is playing well, and losing Pippen/Kemp is not very damaging. Rasheed has had a nice touch lately, and Portland has won the last few times they've played in Philly. They have a...
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    Tyson and the big stink (long)

    I suppose ND's write up in the free picks forum got me thinking about this. SO, there's a big stink being made in DC about Tyson fighting there. Woman's groups, the self-righteous, etc. Whether I agree with them or not (I'll get to that later) is irrelevant to my question, which is: why...
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    Cavs ML

    With the volatility that cavs and lakers have shown this year, I consider this game almost a toss-up, certainly not skewed all the way to +360. I try to overlook recent results, but Cavs have shown some pride since the break whereas Lakers can't seem to find a way to win. Andre Miller has...
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    Germnay vs Czech

    I don't know much about capping hockey, but Nick Douglas says Germany and Czech both play the NZT. If he's correct, and if Czech isn't great in breaking it, I see some nice value in Germany +2.5 (+115) at SIA or Germany +1.5 (+170) at Carib. Or is Czech just gonna spank 'em? I'd like to hear...
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    The Look Ahead Factor and Duke/MD

    I've never placed much stock in the "look ahead factor", but after seeing Duke and Maryland each cover against much weaker competition at home with big lines, I'm pretty much removing the "look ahead" from my handicapping completely. If those aren't look-ahead scenarios, then nothing is. Both...
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    Q: Why can't FSU cover?

    A: Because bettors are fickle. They were a marginal 3-4 ATS before they beat Duke at home. They obviously covered that game bringing them to 4-4 ATS. They're 1-8 ATS since the Duke upset, and that one cover was against UNC. Why UNC (3-13 ATS) can't cover is a whole other can of worms. When a...
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    An actual handicapping issue...

    the thread about the mamphis/UAB game on the NCAA forum got me thinking about this. . . I have seen and heard several times over the past year (most notably in the book "The Odds") that it is a MYTH that Sportsbooks try to get equal action and just profit on the Vig. This might also be stated...
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    Maryland vs. Virginia

    I like the ML on Virginia in this one. At CRIS, you can get +125. I think its really a toss up in this one, so give me the team getting 5:4. Maryland has not been impressive on the road this year against good teams. They lost to Oklahoma, an inferior team, and got whipped by Duke after hanging...
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