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    nba monday thoughts

    orl -5.5 good ats when rested this yr+bos needs easy baskets & great perimeter play to have a chance (no ray allen / rondo). min -2.5 wolves have the shotmakers to win one against a bad road team. dal/phx under 183.5 surprising total compared to yrs past but both teams are relying on defense...
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    Two cents on Philly/Dallas game

    Took the under on this game once the line came out at 51. I had the cowboys against the rams, mainly because of some things the defense employed evident against the pats and brady, plus the rams lack of scoring. That said, dallas seemed to struggle offensively (except the long run) despite 34...
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    Sat NBA 2/5 - some thoughts

    I've got Cavs, Hornets, Rockets, Bulls on the spread, and smaller plays on the dogs ML. I feel these are great value and situational plays. Cavs go all out against Port who's started out their road trip scoring 90 and 87 respectively. Hornets can demolish the best teams at home. Lakers can...
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    best bet tonight orl/cle

    under 189 tough to tell who's going to win. cle could take one of two in orl, but which one? cle is capable of much better d than shown and they will have to bring it on the road. orl has to prevent falling behind dd in every game, i'm sure they're aware of that now. really like an intense...
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    Perfect Monday Night setup

    Vikes +3 and Under 46.5 Vikings rank 7th in both total defense and rushing offense, avg. 18 pts/gm; while the Saints are 3rd in total offense and 1st in passing offense, average 28 pts/gm. Saints offense? or Vikings D? Very evenly matched teams but the urgency factor sides with the Vikings...
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    Tuesday NBA 5/13/08

    Det -6 like the under too, but will stick to the side. Det will not want a game 6 in Orl....Orl will press a bit and have a hard time scoring. At the end Det closes this thing out. I see a boring game with Orl missing a lot.
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    Mon NBA 5/12/08

    CLE/BOS under 181.5 Can't believe this line continuing to climb. Hard to think Bos won't make adjustments and allow CLE to shoot 54% again. For Bos, even in their wins at home, they only shoot in the low 40's.
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    Sunday MLB 5/11

    Like these... ATL -130 CLE-130 STL+114 FL+114 LAA-104 Think each team here has an edge in starting pitching. Angels and Braves have motivation to salvage a game, and I feel better taking the Cards after hearing Isgringhausen being shelved.
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    Sunday NBA 5/11

    LA+2 NO+6 NO ML Even in losing game 3's, neither team looked bad doing so. It's pretty clear to me who the better teams are.
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    Thursday NBA 5/8

    CLE +8.5 CLE ML +325 CLE/BOS Under 177 SA/NO Under 183 obviously smaller on cle ml. think the cavs have a chance to steal one here in another low scoring affair. the spurs meanwhile probably won't score in the low 80's again but they can't allow 100+ to the hornets and expect to win. good...
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    Wed NBA 5/7

    LA/UTA - over 210 in game one, the lakers appeared rusty while utah shot it poorly from the field. lakers shot 45% and the jazz shot a mere 38%, yet they combined for 207 pts. utah will shoot better while la should still at the very least remain in the fourty plus percentile. how la mananged...
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    Wednesday NBA

    LA/CHA over 211.5 - the bobcats shot 50% and allowed over 50% yesterday in saltlake city. think the trend continues here. the lakers won't be looking to d-up after a tiring b2b series with the warriors. all they need to do is out score'em. lakers 118-105. CLE -2 - hornets actually won and...
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    Sat NBA

    Min +9 3 units Revenge game for Minny and recent meeting indicates a close game. Only quirk is playing b2b, but is doesn't look like Port's had a lot of rest after their road trip. Off a day rest, this will be their 6th game in 9 days. Mil +9.5 5 units The Bucks are capable of competing...
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    Monday NBA play and write up

    Spurs/Nugs under 204.5 - 4 units Line is down to 201.5 now which I would have no problem playing. The play angles are 1) After playing a recent game where shooting %?s and scoring were up, these two teams will be quite familiar with each others tendencies, thus limiting opponents...
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    Friday's Big Plays

    8 units GS -4.5 37-23 team, 16-13 on the road, versus a 11-47, 6-23 home team. I don't understand why Miami continues to get this kind of respect. Battling for a playoff spot, Warriors will show up, while the Heat "might" show up.
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    WTF?? BetED put a $25 max bet limit on my account!!

    What kind of BS is this? Are they open for business? I mean they already had a low limit ($1000 side or total) compared to other books. I play 3 to 10 units per play. No big deal right? Hardly even considered a "high-roller". I'm done with these guys after I take my money out. Anyone know...
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    Another public dog trap, or gift?

    Last night it was (what should have been a motivated) Raptors team getting tons of points against a (tired) Pistons team's first game back from a road trip. Everyone and their mother were on the Raptors. I would have been too if I got +8 (my book dropped it to 7.5) but decided to pass...
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    11/8 Wed Nba

    1-2 LN -2.2u / 3-2-1 +2.8u YTD All 2* Tease Orl -2 With Wash pk Bos -1 Den -5.5 Port +9 Recent trend indicates a road team doing the Florida b2b and playing Mia tough or beating them, gets killed the next game in Orl. (see the Bulls) Vegas knows this, and has apparently set the line at...
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    11/7 Tues NBA

    2-0-1 LN +5u / 2-0-1 +5 u YTD Nothing really to go crazy about today. All 2* Mia/Sea Over 205 Sea plays only on way:run, shoot 3?s and play no D. NO -7 GS is b2b and 3 in 4. They travel across to NO. Tough schedule and NO has found a comfort zone lately. La/Min under 198.5 I like LA to...
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    11/6 Monday NBA plays

    Liking three games for tonight?s slate. 4* Wash +3 Orl is talented and young no doubt, but coming off back to back games and three in four nights, against a rested playoff tested Wash, I like the wizz taking this one. 3* Sac -4.5 Minny is already showing signs of wear on road trip...
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