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  1. JustFootball

    Is weather (in particular wind) a factor for Ravens and Steelers game tomorrow?

    I am 40 minutes from Ravens stadium. Lots of wind here today into tonight--gusts to 30+ and wind chill in teens by game time. Always hesitate to put too much emphasis on weather for capping. And it has much less impact on Ravens who would like to pound Henry. But, yes, I am leaning toward under...
  2. JustFootball

    College football today is a joke

    Texas State covered that game three times (teased) and lost the cover three times within a span of 5 minutes. Between the bullsh*t Miss TD at 1:27 4q last night and this... Texas State "D" absolutely ghosted on two of the final three NTexas possessions. Where are the coaches? Do they hold anyone...
  3. JustFootball

    Thursday Bowls

    Turned it off with 8? minutes to go and Miss leading 45-7 thinking my Duke tt under and teased game unders were safe. Woke up this morning to see that they scored 21 in the final 3 minutes. Special thanks to Kiffin for a 67-yard TD pass with 1:27 left. He really annoys me. Then a return for TD...
  4. JustFootball

    Thursday Bowls

    No argument to what you've written. But I question--in this particular case--how Duke will mount any kind of sustained offense. Miss D is a step up for Duke and Duke is down top 2 QBs, as well as starting RB. Duke QB tonight is Belin, who has one completed pass for 7 yards this season. I'm...
  5. JustFootball

    Wild BoWlS & CfP

    Amazing day! Great job WB!
  6. JustFootball

    Another resource for tracking who is playing (or not) in each bowl game

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-college-football-bowl-opt-outs-transfer-portal-updates-injury-tracker
  7. JustFootball

    Big push for USF

    Never a doubt! :smilies3 Early Christmas present!
  8. JustFootball

    Big push for USF

    Line has moved from +2.5 to -1.5 where I shop. fwiw, i'm taking a 5x "holiday flyer" on the Bulls, tracking the line movement and factoring in all of the below. Maybe the USF QB is playing? Anyway, found this on Action sports. Their writeups have been very helpful and their picks pretty solid...
  9. JustFootball

    Hawai'i Bowl

    Not at all trying to hijack Smitty's thread, but found this on Action sports. Their writeups have been very helpful and their picks pretty solid. Anyway, just underscoring some of what Smitty shared: The loss of Nash will have a major impact on a San Jose State team that was ultra-reliant on...
  10. JustFootball

    Did I follow all of these with bets? Of course not.

    Off to a pretty good start in a certain sports network's regular football bowl contest. Picks 1 is straight up and Picks 2 is ATS. Sure, I made bets aligned with most of these but not all. Just another note to myself about overthinking instead of just going with gut. Merry Christmas all you...
  11. JustFootball

    Ark vs La Tech

    Got it. Thanks for the reply!
  12. JustFootball

    Ark vs La Tech

    Thanks for the post and info Tommy. Always appreciate your Ark insights. But in this case, it almost seems as if you're making a good argument for Ark to prioritize today's game (becoming bowl eligible) as opposed to hoping to get it done against Mizz. I realize we're talking about spread, and I...
  13. JustFootball

    Week 9 betting big on the locks

    are you for real?
  14. JustFootball

    Weird prop

    Just fyi--something similar happened a few weeks back--a Chris Godwin rushing prop: [3010103] TOTAL o½+450 (CHRIS GODWIN RUSHING YARDS vrs CHRIS GODWIN RUSHING YARDS) I put a single unit on it for fun...and it hit. I believe he rushed for 2 yards. Today, I see this one: Oct 20 NFL [47130089]...
  15. JustFootball

    Army Temple 1Q

    Just as part of my look at tonight's game, I noticed that Temple has been outscored--just in the first quarter-- by a total of 37 points (40-3) in their first four games this year. That number is inflated by their game against Oklahoma (outscored by 17). But first quarters show a pretty clear...
  16. JustFootball

    Week 3

    Solid picks today Cole. Those NYG and Den money lines were strong.
  17. JustFootball

    9/7 ELVIS IS BACK

    You are in good company. Basically same bet as William13.
  18. JustFootball

    FOOTBALL IS BACK - WEEK 1

    I don't even have a clue who the backup QB is and I absolutely agree.
  19. JustFootball

    Plays Thur

    Great day BA! Stay hot!
  20. JustFootball

    SMOO tonite Pets alive Huskies

    Ok, going deep. Trinity. Touches on the miracle that she made it this far and...of course...3's.
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