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  1. EXTRAPOLATER

    Saturd - twist my arm plays

    senators -119 0.81/0.68 capitals -105 0.63/0.6 Lightning +120 0.5/0.6 Behold!--A pale horse!
  2. EXTRAPOLATER

    anybody have Sens-Bruins day-game stats?

    win-loss either with or without home-away, last 3 months etc. anything would be useful. sites I'm looking at aren't giving start times.
  3. EXTRAPOLATER

    gambling problem #13E

    Lucky Freddie's system picks are smoking and you've been cleaning up following him. Today he's posted 3 "system picks" as follows... pick.......probability%......line/break-even mark.........VI..........ROI A..............70.................-150/60...........................+10..........16.7%...
  4. EXTRAPOLATER

    Mats, the Leafs and the no-trade clause

    Mats can kiss my arse. New "C" in '08-'09 suits me. Could've actually picked up some solid prospects for Mats from different sources. Hi nixxed that with his no-trade clause--BeWare THe No TRade-CLause--and now will no doubt leave as an unrestricted free agent...might be some type of...
  5. EXTRAPOLATER

    two even teams at a neutral site problem

    Pretend the teams are virtually identical. Rarely happens but assume it is true. What kind of line are you looking for? Take +120? Need +130? Maybe if you have a 50% chance of losing you'd want something even higher. At +150 I think I'd be hoppy. Lower than that and I might compare it to...
  6. EXTRAPOLATER

    Fri shot

    hate these guys but looks good canadiens -105 0.63/0.6 Habs game in hand for possible leap-frog back into 1st in the Conference. Better record on the road then at home. Sabres appear done--did just get a win at Ottawa yesterday but that went all the way to the shoot-out--could be tired...
  7. EXTRAPOLATER

    looking for an investment formula if it exists

    I understand that the greater my potential risk is then the greater the potential return should be. If the risks can be established mathematically then how do I compare the returns? e.g. does it make sense that if I risk losing the entire investment then I should expect a (+)100% return (ie...
  8. EXTRAPOLATER

    anybody seen the movie called "Luck"

    On here in Ontario at 1 am est. TITLE: Luck CATEGORY: Drama SYNOPSIS: A man and his three housemates establish a bookmaking business in 1970s Canada. CHANNEL: 6 [CBLT] DATE / TIME: March 28: 1:00AM RATING: NR *** RUN TIME: 91 minutes NOTES: English STARRING: Luke Kirby...
  9. EXTRAPOLATER

    anyone know how to get rid of raccoons in the attic?

    Mostly quiet but sometimes freaking out. Owner says she'll call somebody but I'll believe it when I see it. Any poison bait possibilities or other methods to expunge them? Animals rights activists need not apply. Maybe she'll call the pros. Will cost her a few hundred and change. My rights are...
  10. EXTRAPOLATER

    Penguins Thursday

    are 3-3 in the last 3rd game in 4 nights situation like they're in tonight (went back as far as December before zoning out) winning the past twiceness. 3 or their last 4 home games they've scored 7 goals per contest. 4 in the other. Great record at home. Needs points presently. Crosby...
  11. EXTRAPOLATER

    trying to solve a problem for a possible book (dream)

    Will stick with the problem. The paradise casino just opened a different game. I've been sitting here all day cleaning up at the coin-toss table making +150 each winner. Of course, in this joint, the odds of winning and the expected return on investment is on a handy card for all players. My...
  12. EXTRAPOLATER

    Wed can't pass

    Kings +210 0.5/1.05 Ducks 4 injury concerns: --best D-man Pronger with suspension --high scorer Getzlaf hurt--may play but even if so, how much? --second highest scorer Perry out --#1 goalie Giguere is hurt--longshot to play even if recovered as the Ducks hardly need this game (pretty much...
  13. EXTRAPOLATER

    Obama for Prez line drop to -105

    Any value in this? Was -125 a few days ago. I almost took the Republicans 4 years ago, at -125, but couldn't bring myself to bet on something that I didn't want to happen, though I confess that it looked like easy money. Wouldn't tie up my money for 9 months unless I thought it was a gift...
  14. EXTRAPOLATER

    any good stuff on the Security and Prosperity Partnership?

    Looks like it will happen. I have no clue what it means for North Americans. Get different answers depending on who you ask. I'm especially interested in what it means for Canada (go figure) but interested in general. Mainstream media is pretty quiet on the matter. Maybe somebody can clue me in.
  15. EXTRAPOLATER

    Wed March 26th

    Not at all comfy with these numbers. Too many unknowns. Oakland 57% (+104)+7 Large edge to A's pitching. Small(er) edge to 'Sox hitting--A's more productive against lefties than righties last season. 55-59% seems like a fair range; makes an even money play tempting. Thought about...
  16. EXTRAPOLATER

    Tuesday March 25th

    Might as well do this, as well as I can. Only take 2 minutes. Might be worth 2 cents. ... red sox 60% (-160)-2 I have no clue about the dimensions of the ballpark so I can't do a decent total. I'd consider the under 9.5 if a gun was held to my head. Pitching close to even--slight edge...
  17. EXTRAPOLATER

    anybody seen a Leafs-Bruins line for Tuesday?

    Still a "whopping" 6 games left for the blue&white but they need this one severely. 1-3 at home this month isn't encouraging (two early losses to NJ though), but 7-3 past 10 to Boston's 2 W's over the past 10. I think Sundin is the main reason for the line delay. I'm watching the MLB opener...
  18. EXTRAPOLATER

    on "value"

    Want to hear mainly from gamblers and how they consider the word value. Formulas and/or rhetoric are fine--I try to use forumulas where possible for proposing probabilites then comparing lines but, of course, resort to situations where it's more intuitive--+110 on a coin flip ain't too bad but...
  19. EXTRAPOLATER

    best songs about "friendship"

    I'd like to hear some other thoughts. I got a couple of choices myself but would love hear from others. Rock n' Roll is what I know best. My top 2: Simon & Garfunkel-Bridge Over Troubled Water Rush-In the End Love songs have never really done it for me but stuff concerning friendship would...
  20. EXTRAPOLATER

    upcoming MJ march

    No, not "madjacks" but something arguably more important than even that. This. No I haven't been thdrinking officer. :weed: soon...be patient, Mike...maybe in a couple of hours :mj09: More than 180 cities participating. Global info available here: http://cannabisweek.ca/ I can speak...
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