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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    not finding a lot of games i really like today. new england (-3.5) 2 units. well, new england is 3-0 ATS this season, as bettors continue to overvalue tom brady's value to this team. i'm pretty sure bill belichick could put a tuna sandwich at qb and beat rex ryan by at least 4 points. i...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday

    memphis (+16) 2 units memphis (ML) 1 unit to win 5.8. obviously it's going to be tough for the tigers to repeat their big win from last year. this is their first road game of 2016. they've beaten up on 3 bad football teams. but this is a huge game every year for memphis, and they'll have...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday

    cincinnati (-3.5) 2 units. siemians' first road start. i think it's very telling that this line is sitting at 3.5 instead of 3. oakland (-1.5) 3 units. the titans are 0-14 at home the last 2 seasons against teams other than jacksonville. arizona (-4.5) 2 units. yeah, i'm playing both west...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday

    central michigan (-5) 2 units. wow, starting right off with road chalk. but virginia is reeling, losing their first 3 games under bronco mendenhall. last week, they gave up 10 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to lose at uconn. and they drove down to the 3 at the end of the game, only to...
  5. Smitty

    Thursday

    new england (-1) 2 units. i don't play a lot of prime time nfl games, but i'm taking a shot with this one. the lines with garoppolo were ridiculous and this line is another overreaction. sure, a full week would have been better for brissett, but i feel like the pats could line up with edelman...
  7. Smitty

    Sunday

    week 2... time to take advantage of all the overreactions to week 1. new england (-6) 2 units. that's a lot of travel, from seatttle to new england, to start the season. i expect garoppolo will start out a little pumped up for his first home start. once he settles down, the pats will...
  8. Smitty

    Saturday

    ap st (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. gotta believe ap st is going to be pretty fired up for a power conference team coming to boone. vanderbilt (+6.5) 1 unit vanderbilt (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. vandy catches the jackets looking ahead to thursday night against clemson. nebraska (-3) 2 units. did i...
  9. Smitty

    Sunday

    as always, treading lightly in week one. baltimore (-3) 1 unit. how many times have we seen it? athletic but very inaccurate qbs have a solid year, then the league figures them out and they quickly fade into history. that's tyrod taylor this year. in fact, i heard rex ryan is only starting...
  10. Smitty

    Saturday

    arkansas (+7.5) 2 units arkansas (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. ark/tcu under 57.5 2 units. i'm assuming this is the first matchup between brett bielema and gary patterson since the 2011 rose bowl. and i'm looking for a similar result, but with bielema coming out on top this time. 21-19 would be...
  11. Smitty

    Friday

    FIU (+11) 1 unit FIU (ML) 1 unit to win 3.6. FIU had the lead in the 4th quarter last week against indiana. and is maryland really any better than indiana? not a strong play, but i think you're getting decent value with FIU. worth a shot.
  13. Smitty

    Monday

    FSU First Half (-3) 2 units. only used one source, but i saw ole miss lost their entire starting o line from last season. they may get off to a slow start against a good fsu d line.
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    hello, all. it's great to be back for another season of college football. hawaii/mich under (54.5) 2 units. as long as michigan doesn't score 55 points, this one should be safe. the 'bows are gonna find it tough to move the ball today. western mich. (ML) 2 units to win 3. the broncs catch...
  15. Smitty

    Super BowL

    see what i did there? i'm so darn clever. denver (+5) 2 units denver (ML) 2 units to win (3.8). if i had slightly bigger balls, all 4 units would be on the ML. if this game is close, i really think there's a big advantage for the broncos. carolina's schedule was incredibly easy, especially...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    Big surprise... i'm on dogs and unders. denver (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. boils down to a few factors for me. The Patriots have not been playing great lately. If not for the fumble by the Chiefs last week that game may have turned out entirely differently. Now they have to go on the road against...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday

    well, based on recent experience, you are guaranteed that any dog i play on the ML will blow a lead in the 4th quarter. with that said.... seattle (ML) 2 units to win 2.4. the return of lynch is really overrated, as seattle's running game has been just fine (maybe even better) without him...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday

    kc (+5.5) 2 unit kc (ML) 2 units to win 4.2. well, i didn't drink the kc kool aid last week, and that was ugly. now i've had a few sips, so they are probably fucked. taking alex smith in a playoff game at foxboro. and really the biggest mismatch... i'm taking andy reid in a playoff game at...
  20. Smitty

    Monday

    fuck it, i wasn't even going to post a play because i don't have a strong opinion on this game, but it's the damn nc game. gotta post something. clemson (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. no doubt 'bama is the better team. which makes this so difficult to play. but as we all know... the best team...
  21. Smitty

    Sunday

    a perfect 0-2 start to the postseason. i have no idea why pitt was throwing the ball with landry jones with a 5-point lead with 5 minutes to go. big surprise that you'll go 3-and-out when you throw 2 out of 3 plays with landry fucking jones. minnesota (+4) 4 units minnesota (ML) 2 units to...
  22. Smitty

    Saturday

    houston (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. we'll start with some shocking news out of houston... clowney will NOT be playing. now on to the game... at some point in the first quarter, jj watt will rip off alex smith's head and poop into the neck hole. RIGHT AT MIDFIELD. the refs will be so scared...
  23. Smitty

    Crazy rumor out of Iowa

    after the rose bowl, people in the iowa athletics department hate all mccaffreys so much that they have fired coach fran. :scared "He could be related to THAT McCaffrey." said Iowa AD Gary Barta. "No sense in taking any chances." it's also possible that i completely made that up.
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