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  1. M

    AFL Rd. 7.

    Still happy not to get involved tonight. Would usually be looking at the Bombers and maybe an under, but that backline scares the hell out of me. Finding it hard to pick a Rich/Bris winner too. Lions really could have beaten Carlton last trip to Melbourne...who are a mile better than...
  2. M

    AFL Rd. 6.

    Tough week imo...I can't see a team I like (lots of totals in mind tho.) My numbers say that Collingwod shouldn't be laying any more than 2 goals...Kangas have won the last 2 meetings as reasonable 'dogs... ...but they stopped like they were shot last week when Harvey went down...not to mention...
  3. M

    AFL Rd. 4.

    Sydney $2.25. How are Carlton favs at the SCG?! I thought it was a typo until I looked at a couple of other books. Madness. A massive win over a bottom 2 team a season does not maketh...(or something equally as philosophical )...A hard fought win over a not so good out-of-state...
  4. M

    AFL Rd. 2.

    Time to get the feet wet... Melbourne +32.5 More a play agaisnt Collingwood who the whole world (media inc.) all seem to think are the next big things... ...yeah, why? They've won just 4 of their last 10 games (going back to last year obviously), 3 interestate teams and St. Kilda @ the MCG...
  5. M

    Carries of 2 yards or less...

    ...did anyone else hear one of the commentators (can't remember who :( ) in the 'Zona/Philli game say that Arizona had ~60% of their rushing attempts for the year go for 2 yards or less? Trying to find the vaidiity and some real numbers, but drawing a blank. Anyone? :toast:
  6. M

    Super Bowl Sunday

    Pittsburgh -6.5 Cobbled this together from somewhat randon posts I've been thinking about the big game... think Pittsburgh will put up a decent score. I was a bit surprised when I looked, but they have played 11 games v. top 12 D's on the season! Still av'd over 22 ppg, and against 'lesser'...
  7. M

    Div Week.

    4-1 last week...only let down by that stiff Flacco. :mj07: Baltmore @ Tenn under 35 League: 4-23 under, any non-Div road game off a 14+ ats win as a road fav. [Balt] Home favs of 3 or less off a BYE are solid gold under's aswell... ...two of the very best D's in the NFL...both run first...
  8. M

    Wildcard Wk.

    Zona ML (2.19) League: 0-8 SU (Av. loss 9.0) as (+3 to -3) off <26 mins TOP as a 10+ fav, if opp is off a ats win. [Atl] Falcons stumbe into the Playoffs with a pretty ordinary performance v. a terrible SL... ...260+ yards on the ground @ over 9ypc!...won't happen this week. Won at Minni with...
  9. M

    Wk. 17.

    KC @ Cinci over 38 Teams with a combined 5 wins, should finally be able have some fun against each others' awful D's. On the surface Cinci have been very poor offensively, but 6 of 7 home games this year have been against teams in the top 12 for total D!! ...including THE top 5!! :scared...
  10. M

    Wk 16.

    Got most of these lines earlier in the week... ...not 100% sure why the Det/NO total dropped there for a while? :shrug: KC v. Miami under 40 20+ mph winds, and a temp (with wind chill) of -9 F Miami have topped 40 just once in the last 6 weeks anyway, solid D, low scoring offense. I said...
  11. M

    Week 15...

    Pierre Thomas under 70.5 rushing Had 3 BIG weeks in the last month, but against Atlanta, Detroit and Green Bay, who are all terrible stopping the run. Bears allow just 82 yards @ 3.2 at home for the season... ...Brees likely to be throwing lots, Bush still getting carries... ...unless he breaks...
  12. M

    Wk. 14.

    Record: So close to 0.00 it's (almost!) funny. kurby SD v. Oakland under 43.5 (1.93) Grabbing this now, as it is (rightly, imo!) falling. It's a Raider game for a start! 7 of last 8 have gone 'under', and all have been under 43. SD have stopped to a walk too...LT clearly not 100%...they've...
  13. M

    Wk. 13.

    Okk... ...fresh off a winning week :00hour ...and a single point off correctly predicting the score @ Denver (hey, no-one asked me which team would actually score 10 :shrug: :142smilie )... ...time for some underdone turkey... :rolleyes: kurby Detroit v. Tenn under 44.5 League: 6-24-1...
  14. M

    Wk. 12.

    Oh dear... ...on an 0-10 streak...haven't had a winning week in a month!! :sadwave: Worst of all went -4 in H-K... kurby 43-41-2 (-0.79) Well, onwards at least...upwards, who the hell knows! :shrug: Tampa @ Detroit over 41.5 No trends, just figure there'll be some points! Tampa moving...
  15. M

    NFL Wk. 11.

    43-36-2 (+4.21) Just about time to give up on this year!!...Will be just happy to finish in the black now... :sadwave: Jets @ NE under 42 (1.94) League: 1-13 under (Av. total 42.2...av. score 38.4) home 3+ fav off a 10+ SU win as home 3+ fav, if opp is off a 21+ ats win. [NE] (0-3 in 2008)...
  16. M

    Wk. 10.

    Well, 3-8 last week... :sadwave: 40-32-2 (+5.48) it is then... Buffalo @ NE under 41.5 (1.91 League: 1-11-1 under (Av. total 39.8...av. score 28.0!) away 3+ dog off a 10+ ats loss as home 3+ fav, with at least 2+ TO's and <50 yards rushing. [Buff] 0-7 (Av. score 25.6) if next game is back...
  17. M

    Wk. 9.

    Crappy losing, but horribly unlucky (I think anyway! kurby ) week 8... ...still 37-24-2 (+10.74) on the season. TB -7.5 (1.91) League: 7-21-1 (Av. Loss 10.9) home dog of 3 or more, total <38, off an ats win but SU loss as away 10+ dog. [KC] (2-8-1 (Av loss 14.6) as a 7+ dog) And 0-7-1 (Av...
  18. M

    Wk. 8.

    7-1 last week, gives a 34-19 (+ 13.37) :00hour Washington @ Detroit over 43 (2.00) League: 15-3-1 over (Av. total 41.9...av. score 51.0) away 7+ fav off a SU win but ats loss as home 7+ fav, with <30 mins TOP. [Wash] 7-0 (Av. score 59.6!!) if opp last won ats. Well, this Detroit D really...
  19. M

    Where are those Favre homers now??!!

    :shrug: :mj07: Yeah, just stirrin', but an NFL season is longer than the first 5 weeks right? ;)
  20. M

    Wk. 7.

    First losing week... 27-18 (+7.23) Bit of a recurring theme this week (unintentional)...just hope TO's are one of life's more random events... ;) Carolina v. NO under 44.5 (1.93) Current favourite trend of Panthers as home Div favs... Caro: 0-15 under (Av. total 40.9...av. score 33.6) home...
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