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    Week 1 Trends from past years

    Some data I have collected over the years. These are all my own unofficial counts. Week 1, 2001: Fav's outcovered dogs 7-4, with 3 pushes, and 1 Pick Em game. Home Fav's were 5-3 ATS. Road Fav's were 2-1-3 ATS. 5 Overs, 10 Unders. Avg of 36.4 PPG (season Avg PPG was 40.6) Week 1, 2000 Dogs...
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    Strength of schedule

    These figures may or may not match the way the NFL calculates strength of schedule. The way I do it, I add up the # of wins each opponent for a given team had the previous season. It's not the most-scientific method, but it gives a good approximation of the overall average quality of the...
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    Season win totals research

    Just a little info I've been working on here. For the last few years I've done very well betting on Season Win Total O/U's. Mostly betting on teams with high totals to go Under the number, and teams with low totals to go Over the number. Apparently I'm not the only one onto this. Last odds I...
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    More odd props....

    Found another one that's just too weird to be true...but tempting.... At Olympic.... 2/3/2002 6:15 PM The player to score first in the game will have 229 Odd Number Jersey +300 230 Even Number Jersey -400 On the surface this seems outrageous. True, most of the good...
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    Can anyone make sense of what this prop is asking?

    Found this confusing prop at WSEX, worded exactly like this: FP1109 2/3 (F) NE VS SL (TOTAL # OF NEW ENGLAND PLAYERS TO SCORE NO SAFTY'S) (6:15 pm ET) Wager Id Outcome Points Money Line 8209 OVER 2.5 -180 Wager 8210 UNDER 2.5 +150 Wager (Team props section) If I read...
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    Week 17 Over/Under data anyone?

    Bouncing around a theory here... With so many games being meaningless in Week 17, and teams giving their starters the day off etc., for some reason the perception ~seems~ to be that scoring will go down. Not sure why that is, since in my opinion I'd see it just as likely to go up with the...
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    Adonal Foyle

    Can't believe what I just saw in the Mavs/Warriors game. Even Hack-A-Shaq doesn't reach these levels. The Mavs spend the entire final 2 minutes of the first half fouling Adonal Foyle (without the ball). Foyle's shooting 17% FT's going into tonight; now lower than that as he has gone 1/8 from...
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    Little trend

    Was curious about how teams have done this year coming off a MNF game. I was pretty sure it wasn't good. Found this little tidbit. The last six SU winners of MNF have failed to cover the spread in their next game. Go Cinci. Historically it doesn't turn out to be a strong play, going...
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    NBA Tuesday

    Yesterday: 1-1 YTD NBA: 11-6 Best Bets: 2-1 Sac blows a healthy first half lead to miss the 1H cover by a half point...and Phoenix almost blows it too, but manages to smoke 'em in OT. A split for yesterday. Five picks for today... Miami -1? vs Boston Boston/Miami Under 177? What a choice...
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    NBA Monday

    Yesterday: 0-2 YTD NBA: 10-5 Best Bets: 2-1 I've gone stone cold after being unrealistically hot. Not sure what to make of it. Maybe I just became a whole lot dumber overnight. It sure feels that way. Two plays tonight...neither of which I am super-excited about. Phoenix +3 at Utah Utah's...
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    NBA Sunday

    Yesterday: 1-2 YTD NBA: 10-3 Best Bets: 2-0 Well, that sucked. NJ and Sac went dead cold in the 4th Q and almost managed to stay Under, but there's just no way it could be avoided. Divac sure tried though missing all those FT's. Anyways, it's football day and I gotta get some sleep so I can...
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    NBA Saturday

    Yesterday: 5-1 YTD NBA: 9-1 Best Bets: 2-0 Might have got a bit lucky yesterday with the Raptors huge 4th Q comeback, but I'll take it! I really don't expect to keep up this pace but it's a nice start. I did up these picks a bit quickly today, so buyer beware. I've gotta get some real life...
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    Friday NBA

    YTD NBA: 4-0 I'm really liking today's card. So many games, I had trouble cutting it down to a reasonable number of plays...but here goes... *BEST BET* Toronto ML +125 @ Boston Tor/Bost Under 193? There are so many reasons I like this game. Boston has not played a quality team in a long...
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    I hate to do this, but... (Thurs play)

    I'm going to the Bucks/Raptors game tomorrow/Thursday. Just saw the line for the game, and I think I am going to have to go against my boys. I just hate going to a game cheering against 'em, but.... Milwaukee really has the Raptors number. They give them more trouble than most for sure...
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    First two forum picks

    I'm just starting to get into NBA this year, placed my first real bets last night. Going light on the $$ still. Two picks I like tonight. Neither is a best bet, but both are solid I think. Both have already been hit offshore unfortunately, so I'd suggest getting them in early, especially the...
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    First home game off the 4+ game road trip

    I've seen a lot of talk about this, and I've been a believer in it for some time myself. (Actually I wrote quite a bit about it at my former posting site). I followed this system last year, and it got off to a coolish-.500 or so start, but then really heated up after about mid-December...
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    Whole Lotta Letdown Goin' On

    Looking at this week's card, nearly every favorite is either: A) Off a big emotional/important win, B) Off a very easy win where they were not tested, or C) Playing a meaningless sandwich-type game. In some cases more than one of those apply. I think all 3 of those are bet-against...
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    Live Dog

    Hey all, I'm a not-too-frequent poster here, but I think I'll be on this board more in future. A little dis-satisfied with the lack of depth of the 'cappers at my current online home except for one or two. I've been following along here for a while but keeping quiet....more impressed with...
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    Futures Bet Worth Some Consideration

    This Future is posted at Carib Sports, and wagering on it closes Sunday morning at 11am EST... Odds to win the Super Bowl: NFC -3?, O/U 49 This line and total is basically saying they expect St Louis to be in, and win, the Super Bowl. I think the Under is a real value here. If St Louis...
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    Pitt/TB total

    Just found a 32 at WSEX on this game. Without getting into the specifics of the game (yes I know both teams are kind of defensive-oriented), does anyone know the stats/mathematics of a super-low total like this. I have heard that when it gets this low, it is to the player's advantage to take...
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