Not much in the way of explanations today besides using my capping method on these plays. Was hitting well before the break, let's keep it going. Breaks stifle hot team's momentum at times, and visa versa. GL
England's The Championship
Brentford pk -145 vs Middlesbrough
Preston NE +120...
Not risking big money, because the lower you go, the more volatile things are, but having looked over these games, these two games have anomalous lines.
2:45 EST England
Bury -.5 +119 vs Fleetwood Town
League Two favored over League One, and even though Bury was awful in League One last...
9:15 EST: EPL
Everton +1.5 -125 @ Chelsea
Might be falling for one here, but Everton is in great form and playing with confidence. Also like o/3 and BTTS
11 EST: Russia
CSKA Moscow pk -130 vs Zenit St Pete
Another play against a first place team getting sucker value. Line has moved up...
1230 EST: England
West Brom pk -116 vs Leeds
Plenty of value to be had here on first place Leeds. Tantalizing, but no thank you. Good spot to consider playing West Brom say +.5 live if Leeds scores first.
Atlanta ML +110
Falcons coming off a bye, two weeks to prepare for a bottom third pass defense. Atlanta's skill players should shine in this game. Large play
2 EST: Turkish Super
Fenerbahce +5 -135 @ Galatasaray
Gala, last year's league champs sitting third in the table getting value at home against the slow starting Fenerbahce? Smells like fish.
Lots of 50/50 lines today. The most interesting line I saw today, I caught too late in The Championship. Boro was getting way too much value at home I thought, and as I mulled how much I wanted to put on Derby +.5, they scored and the opportunity was lost. Anyway, I digress....
A ml parlay...
1 PM EST: Denmark ALKA Superliga
Brondby -125 vs Odense
Last year's Danish darlings haven't won at home in league play since Aug 5, I like them today to right the ship.
Cardiff pk -130 vs Fulham
Cardiff has to win eventually, and no better time than at home against a fellow promoted squad that they're familiar with. Also, Int breaks have a way of resetting things
Watford +.5 @ Wolverhamptom
Wolves at -130 is too high IMO, take the half
Rolling with Bason on Barcelona.
Also:
Villareal +.5 -155/pk +130 @ Espanyol
Another situation where the home team is getting value when the line should be even or higher
EPL:
Not laying big money on this, but with this line listed as is, Burnley looks to be a sucker play. They should not be getting value at home over Huddersfield. Ergo...
Huddersfield +.5 -130
Looking for the right time to play United, but they are listless and Newcastle is desperate for a...
Opening weekend for The Championship, I liked a few lines involving relegated/promotion teams, ergo last one left today is....
1230 EST: Sheffield United -105 vs Swansea
Burnley at home needing a win to advance (1-1 aggregate) vs Scotland's Aberdeen. I expect Dyche's smothering defense to handle Aberdeen.
AZ at home vs Kazakhstan stalwart Kairat Almaty (KA leads 2-0 aggregate). AZ needs plenty of goals, look for them to win the match in this spot at a bare...
Hate laying big juice, but I really like Molinari in the final group matchup over Ancer. Molinari is a greens in reg machine and is doing his thing this week. Ancer is coming of a course record tying 62, prepare for his let down round. Molinari may not win, someone else may go low today, but...