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    Miami 2001 to 2002

    If there was to be a theoretical game between Miami of last year and this year, what would the line be? According to Sagarin's ratings, last year's Miami team would be between a 9.5 and 10 pt favorite over this year's team. And yet this same team is a nearly 2 touchdown favorite over Ohio...
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    Portland on the road

    Interesting article on Kelso Sturgeon's site about Portland. Late money has been deadly in their road games; apparently someone close to the team is knowing which way to go in their road games (mostly unders this season) and been red hot. Worth watching tonight.
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    Early Plays 12/15

    Kansas City +4.5--love this number as a dog (i.e. Dallas last week). Right now they're playing as good as any team in the NFL on offense, special teams and even defense. Denver has shot themselves in the foot one time too many. HOUSTON +3--I have this game as a pick; got to admire a team that...
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    Vandy/IU total

    Over 143.5 I was expecting a number in the 148-149 range so I think there's some value here. Of course, with all the 3s Indiana shoots, it will probably end up either way over or way under, depending on how hot from beyond the arc they are. FWIW, IU has finals next week so they may be...
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    Monday NBA totals

    We finally have enough games to make some meaningful projections: Orlando/Boston UNDER 198.5; projection 185 Minnesota/Denver OVER 177 projection 182 La Clips/New Orl. OVER 186 projection 197.5
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    Maryland/IU total

    UNDER 145.5 IMO, the key is Maryland's perimeter defense. IU loves to shoot the 3, but Maryland has held its opponents to just 25% (16 of 65) on 3 pts. Offensively, Maryland lost almost 60 pts a game in starters from last season.
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    Jumping on these before line moves

    KANSAS CITY -3 over St. Louis--Forget the Rams; they are toast. Warner needs to be put or IR or something; he just isn't getting it done. This is the Rams' 3rd straight road game and the offense looks pathetic. That definitely can't be said for KC. I see this line moving to 3.5 very soon...
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    Who's the best?

    My numbers say Atlanta 1. Atlanta 97.5 2. Philly 97 (w/McNabb) 93 w/Detmer 91 w/Feeley) 3. Tampa Bay 96.5 4. Oakland 95.5 5. Green Bay 95 6. Denver 94.5 Miami 94.5 8. New England 94 9. New Orleans 93.5 10. Pittsburgh 93 San Diego 93 San Fran 93 Kansas City 93 14...
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    North Texas @ Indiana

    North Texas +17.5 Have to go with the Mean Green here as scheduling wise, this is a tough spot for IU. The Hoosiers are coming off 3 games in Maui, a very long trip back, and face defending champ Maryland in a nationally televised game on Tuesday night. I can't believe this spot is a prime...
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    Saturday 11/30

    Miserable 0-3 yesterday but still 96-68-3 at Best Bettor which is #1 for the current season. Virginia +7--been making money every week fading Va Tech UCF -16.5--they can score quickly Ga Tech +9--too many pts for this rivalry game Kentucky +8.5--Tennessee hasn't shown me anything this season...
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    Cigar Mile

    Looks like a strong field, as one would expect. Aldebaran--had absolutely no chance in the BC Mile when Landseer smacked into him when that horse was breaking down. This is a better spot, anyways, since his dirt form is great. Only negative is severe seconditis. Red Bullet--He's definitely...
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    Fridays plays

    Arkansas -5.5 Texas A&M/Texas Under 49 Nebraska/Colorado Over 54
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    Thanksgiving effect

    I remember reading a thread here a year ago about teams playing under on holidays. It seems the teams are stuffing their faces, watching football and having a good old time all day long before they go out to play. Mavs/Pacers should be a good test.
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    Donovan/Florida

    This guy is a fraud as a coach. Every year they have a roster overloaded with talent and except for the one year they got to the Finals they always underperform. Yet guys like Vitale will always fawn over him. He's the basketball equivalent of John Cooper; good recruiter, bad coach.
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    Dogs still crushing the NFL

    102-67-4 ATS (60%) of all games. 37 dogs have covered but not won (over 21%). So much for you win you cover.....not this year.
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    Week 13 Last Man Standing

    Again, feedback is welcome. My pool is down to 3 after one of the players had New Orleans last week. New England looks like the logical play for me. Detroit is decimated by injuries, lacking in talent and run by idiots. I realize Detroit has historically played well on T-Giving day but those...
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    Underphobia

    Maybe somebody can enlighten me on this. In virtually every sport, over an extended period of time, there are more unders than overs. Yet some people refuse to bet under. I know a guy who is a fairly big bettor and solid handicapper, but he can only bet unders in hockey and refuses to bet...
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    USC, Oklahoma and K-State

    Have to believe both Miami and Ohio State are fortunate they don't have to face one of those 3 teams. If there was a tournament, I would expect the winner to be one of those 3 teams. At the time they played, I don't think anyone knew just how good USC and Kansas State were. Its unfortunate...
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    Rix to start for FSU

    McPherson has been kicked off the team.
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    Mondays plays

    Toledo +2 Bradley +3.5
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