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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

    Late player scratches (especially among starters), and out-of-the-blue “discovered” injuries, are not only a bane to bettors, but to reliable statistical projection. Forthwith, I’ll be posting Pre-Final Projections to Sunday’s games on Fridays, and Final Projections on Saturdays. The NFL really...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

    A very lethargic week for the model, with 8 dogs covering and 5 upsets being the new normal. A clear, predictable projection flop was the algorithm using J.J. Mcarthy’s past performance numbers as a guide, without the context of Washington’s truly pathetic defense; likewise, the Commander’s...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

    With 9 dogs covering and 7 straight upsets, that was some week; and the model took full advantage going 12-4 ATS and 9-7 SU. The best week since last season. Worrying a bit over its straight-up performance, but at 67% for the season, not complaining. Also worrying is how Vegas will handle the...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 13

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 13

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 13

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 13

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 13

    The re-tooled model broke its slump this past week, going with the dog-cover trend, finishing with a semi-respectable 8-6 ATS and 10-4 SU. It also won the score totals battle for the 4th straight week and the current O/U record stands at 56%. Changing from being exclusively reliant on...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 12

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 12

    As I mentioned above I’ve done a lot of tampering with the model in order to improve the result – but, some of the total score projections hurt the eyes. Still standing by the straight-up margins, but, to me, the total score projections for some games aren’t to be trusted. So, don’t. GLTA
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 12

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 12

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 12

    The Offensive and Defensive Rankings below are a 1 to 2 average of early season data against numbers from the last 3 games – which was complicated by strength of opposition unit matchups. If anyone cares enough to look closely and spot an error, would appreciate a heads up.
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