Search results

  1. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 16

    Dogs still rule at 56.6% ATS, (10-5 this past week), which I’ve said before, but it’s worth hammering home the point. Improved defenses across the league are keeping games closer, allowing bad offensive teams to cover while scoring relatively fewer points. (See the 2020, 2021 and 2022 MOV and...
  2. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 15

    Dogs still rule – except for the model. It’s like it can’t believe what it’s seeing - but there you go. I hope your week is better than mine was this past weekend. Mine can’t be worse.
  3. W

    The Limper NBA 2022 – Regular Season – Test

    Getting ready. Will start posting soon.
  4. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 14

    As bad as this past week was ATS, the model can still pick game winners. Which is not saying a lot, but it’s something. Isn’t it? Dogs went 5-10 – their worst week, so far - just when the model went all in. My Raiders have won 3 straight! Seems like an odd line for the MIN @ DET game, but I...
  5. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 13

    A number of great (or important) matchups to watch this week – Chiefs at Bengals, Jets at Vikings, Bills at Pats, Titans at Eagles, and Dolphins at 49ers. A game, however, to avert your eyes from is Denver at Ravens, starring lard-ass Russell Wilson vs the Ravens all-time choke artists...
  7. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 12

    The Limper went 3-11 ATS!!! Oh my!!! The model might have had a better week chewing razor blades (hence the appended warning). How could this happen? For the benefit of some, a few words of explanation: If we can assume that more-or-less 2, plus more-or-less 2, equals more-or-less 4, this can...
  8. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 11

    It’s been a strange season thus far where underdogs rule at 58.6% ATS and the unders are killing it at totals at 58.7%. Defenses are coming out of nowhere, and the model is finding it harder and harder getting straight-up winners; has nightmares about the Bad Luck Bills, the Good Luck Vikings...
  9. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 10

    Even though dogs are still killing it ATS, the model likes favorites this week. If TEN stays with its back-up QB, I wouldn’t like their chances. I do like ATL and CHI this week, but hate LAC and WAS – GLTA.
  10. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 9

    While the model modestly won ATS this past week, the straight-up results remain abysmal, which – for data projection purposes – are a killer. After 8 weeks, straight-up results should be in excess of 60%. The model is, I think, league-wide, underestimating defenses as a game factor (unders are...
  11. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 8

    Another crappy week for numbers. It’s one thing for outcomes to be hard to predict, but another when past performance data cannot be reliably projected. The weird thing is that I’m ahead for the season so far. I usually make money on the NBA, and blow it all on football, but I’m holding my own...
  13. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 7

    The model embarrassed itself this past week, going 5-9 ATS, and barely making 50% SU. A season like this makes a fool out of numbers – at least so far – but numbers have a way of bouncing back, so I’m hopeful, My Geno Smith Watch continues. Of QBs with 6 starts this season, Smith ranks 2nd in...
  14. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 6

    Dogs are still king, now hitting 61.5%, which means Vegas line-setters have their collective heads up their butts, and sportsbooks are raking it in. The model is starting this week liking 9 dogs, but these numbers are based on what teams and players did last weekend. We’ll see how starter...
  15. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 5

    Dogs remain the way to go against the spread, hitting it at a 61.3% clip. And dogs are killing the Limper as well, which may be why the model has (at least for the moment) gone dog-crazy, expecting 13 to cover this week. Also, FWIW, home teams, on the other hand, are underperforming at 50% ATS...
  16. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 4

    When dogs cover, stat-based projections – like those of Number Fire, Team Rankings and The Limper get ass-kicked; and, dogs are covering at 61% after 3 weeks. A reminder that numbers are only ever a guide to the bettor, and not, by any means, slam-dunk predictions – which are up to the bettor to...
  17. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 3

    xx
  19. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 2

    XX
  20. W

    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1

    A month early but what the heck. Based solely on 2021 data (minus position upgrades and downgrades), these projections are really iffy, and I’ll be posting weekly updates.
  21. W

    The Limper NBA 2022 Playoffs - 6/11-6/17

    xx
  22. W

    The Limper NBA 2022 Playoffs - 6/4-6/10

    xx
  23. W

    The Limper NBA 2022 Playoffs - 5/29-6/3

    xx
Bet on MyBookie
Top