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    The Limper NBA - 2019 Playoffs - 5/12 to 5/17

    The model, predictably, came back to earth this past week. Luckily for me, I passed more than I played (because the numbers simply belied too much what my eyes were seeing), so I was able to retain most what I?d made thus far in the playoffs. No games for today. Good luck to all this week.
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    The Limper NBA - 2019 Playoffs - 5/4 to 5/10

    Yesterday aside (I think my Celtics are toast), the model is performing above expectations (knock on wood). Remember, however, that the model?s picks are only the result of statistical projections, but against reality ? bitch that it is ? it is, inevitably, a losing fight. I hope, however, it...
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    The Limper NBA - 2019 Playoffs - 4/27 to 5/3

    This shapes up to be one of the best 2nd rounds in a very long time. Hope everybody is getting as much of a kick out of the games so far, as I am, and that you?re all making $$$. GLTA WJCJR
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    The Limper NBA - 2019 Playoffs - 4/20 to 4/26

    After a very tough start, the model has bounced back to a 50% ATS rate and 72.7% SU record ? which is about as expected. Between the regular season and the playoffs, there is huge gulf in player performance, and mapping that performance differential (nevermind matchups) is no easy task ...
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    NBA - 2019 Playoffs - 4/13 to 4/19

    The projections posted here are based on player and team statistics, injuries, and past performance matchups data, accrued over the 2018-19 NBA season; and, although projected scores are indicated, the model has never proven a reliable indicator of over/under totals. Whatever value the model has...
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    The Limper Line - Test

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 2/12 to 2/18

    All good things come to an end ? and this version of The Limper NBA will likely be over this Thursday. The fact that so many big time free agents will be available this Summer has meant roster manipulations which makes a team?s past performance numbers completely unreliable. That coupled with...
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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 2/5 to 2/11

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 1/29 to 2/4

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    The Limper - NFL - 2019 Playoffs - SB

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 1/22 to 1/28

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 1/15 to 1/21

    FWIW ? This is the time of year that teams start to take steps to preserve the legs of their starters for the long haul. You will see more and more game-time starter scratches, reduced starter minutes, and slack-D play (where underdogs, suddenly unguarded, have a field day beyond the arc), all...
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    The Limper - NFL - 2019 Playoffs - Conference Championships

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    The Limper - NFL - 2019 Playoffs - Divisionals

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 1/8 to 1/14

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    The Limper - NFL - 2019 Playoffs - Wild Cards

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 1/1 to 1/7

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    The Limper - NFL - 2018 - Post Mortem

    Hitting a pathetic 43.5% ATS, this was the worst season the model has managed since 2009, the 2nd year I began posting NFL projections. Re-running the season, using the data collected for 2018 (minus the scores, of course), the model produces a respectable 61.7% ATS rate, so where it went wrong...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 17

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 12/25-1/1

    The projections listed below are based on this season?s team and player data, but the point of the calculations in my model, is the Margin of Victory (MOV), and not the projected scores. Put another way, the posted scores are, for the most part, based on the projected MOV ? and not the other...
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