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    The Limper Line ? NFL ? Week 5

    The model is ? today ? projecting 11 dogs to cover in Week 5, which is hard to credit, but considering these projections are based, in part, on players who started last week?s games, and does not include players who were out, but will likely start this week, it kind of makes sense. Projections...
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    The Limper Line ? NFL ? Week 4

    For reasons known only to itself, the model has been refusing to sweep all closing lines each week until the last game of the week has been played. It takes too much effort to fix the problem, so I?ve been updating closing lines manually, with hit or miss results (my eyes and fingers are not...
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    The Limper Line ? NFL ? Week 4

    This season is slowly becoming a Covid 19 nightmare, just as it has been all year for everyone. Of course, it?s the players lives, and the lives of their families, which matters most, but just a few more teams with positive test results may wreck the schedule; and, unlike MLB, that kind of chaos...
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    The Limper Line ? NFL ? Week 4

    Finally, the model gets to shake off its 2019 dusty data, and is now ready and loaded with all current stats, so ? look out! LOL. Well, the model could hardly do much worse in terms of its ?picks?. But I?m still satisfied with its performance. Statistical projection models like Number Fire and...
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    The Limper Line ? NFL ? Week 3

    Sorry about this, but my post this morning failed to include the consensus closing lines, which were used to make the final ATS picks (based the final posted MOV projections), and to grade ATS WINS/LOSSES. As I have cautioned before, pick-flips happen, but using the closing lines to grade the...
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