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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 9

    Time to put this turkey to bed. Totals are a statistical bear, and although it had a decent start, the delta has ballooned to well over 8 points ? and that?s a big balloon. Next season, I know I?ll try again, with a different set of variables and weights ? which, I think, is the definition of...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 9

    A couple of nasty pick-flips due to closing lines cost the model a winning week, but that kind of thing usually evens out by the end. Since Week 5, the model has gone 48.3% ATS and 67.2% SU, which is nothing to write home about, but does show improvement when using 2018 data only. Clearly 2017...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 8

    As I?ve said before, ATS Wins and Losses are based on Vegas Insider?s closing lines. The week?s ?final? MOV projections do not change; however, depending on line changes, the model can and does, occasionally flip the pick. Last Sunday is an example. For the DAL @ WSH game, the final MOV...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 7

    Final Projections for MNF Final Projections for MNF
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