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  1. Smitty

    Friday Bowl Games

    Bahamas Bowl eastern michigan (+5.5) 4 units emu (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. normally the key in a game like this is motivation. who is enjoying their vacation in the bahamas and who is focused on winning a football game. today there may be no shortage of motivation as odu is playing in their...
  2. Smitty

    Potato Bowl

    colorado st (-16) 1 unit. what can i say? i'm a sucker for a high-scoring, balanced offense. the rams' were absolutely rolling at the end of the season. the break may hurt them, but i'm hoping they find their rhythm fairly quickly. i won't be shocked if the vandals keep this close for a...
  3. Smitty

    Poinsettia Bowl

    went back and forth a couple times on this one, but finally landed on.... byu (-10) 1 unit. this would be 2 units if not for byu's first year head coach. not because he's a bad coach, but because first year head coaches have such a terrible bowl record. when the matchups were announced, i...
  4. Smitty

    Del Boca Vista Bowl

    or something like that. interesting note, if you haven't noticed... all 6 bowl games have gone under so far. wku (-7) 2 units. going with my gut on this one. and betting against a first year coach in a bowl game. wku doesn't run the ball a lot, but they are very effective when they do...
  5. Smitty

    Miami Beach Bowl

    tulsa (-13) 2 units. the golden hurricane only lost 3 games this year. to ohio st, houston, and navy. no shame there. this is a terrific, well-balanced offense. tulsa came up just short in Philip Montgomery's first bowl game last year. i think they'll be fired up for a big performance...
  7. Smitty

    Sunday

    Just a note on the det/nyg game... are these the two worst 9-4 teams in nfl history? chicago (+4) 3 units chicago (ML) 1 unit to win 1.9. no surprise, the bears are 3-0 ATS since cutler was lost for the year. i gotta believe they're going to play their asses off today, and that will be enough...
  8. Smitty

    Offensive Coordinators

    can they be fired in the middle of a game? the fucking oc for utsa is killing them. first drive of the game, all runs down into the red zone. then they start throwing, and the drive stalls. 2nd drive, still going into a strong wind, 3 passes, they go 3-and-out. flash forward to the 3rd...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday Bowl Games

    New Mexico Bowl utsa (+9.5) 1 unit utsa (ML) 1 unit to win 3.3. ok, a lot of things are pointing at the lobos here. but i'm going with my gut and my gut tells me the roadrunners somehow get a win today. no real lack of motivation for either team, but there's a definite edge for utsa, playing...
  10. Smitty

    Sunday

    denver/tennessee under (44) 3 units. strong winds = emphasis on the ground game. both teams will be pounding the rock today. it will take 3 muffed punts or defensive scores for this game to go over the total. *best bet on the board* RGIII will get knocked out of the game before halftime...
  11. Smitty

    Monday

    Philadelphia (ML) 8.4 units to win 4. Not screwing around with the points on this one. Green Bay has quit on the season and it's their 3rd straight road game.
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    tennessee (ML) 4 units to win 5. i love the titans to get their first win over indy since 2011. tennesse is really turning things around on the strength of their ground game. they are 2nd in the league, averaging 4.8 yards/rush. indy is 29th in the league, allowing 4.7 yards/rush. i like...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (-2.5) 3 units. minnesota has 4 conference wins. against maryland, rutgers, purdue, and illinois. combined conference record of 5-23. wow. northwestern is 4-0 ATS on the road this year and 3-1 SU with the only loss by 4 at ohio st. wvu (+3.5) 2 units wvu (ML) 2 units to win...
  15. Smitty

    Wednesday

    emu (ML) 4 units to win 4. as both of my loyal followers know, i've been riding emu for a while now. they've covered 7 of their last 8. and they're riding high after overcoming a disastrous start last tuesday at ball state. tonight we have 2 teams going in completely opposite directions...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    jacksonville (-2.5) 2 unit. dammit, i never realized what a masochist i was until i started betting on the jags seemingly every week. they finally got chris ivory going last week, and for some stupid reason i'm hoping they will continue to do that against a houston d that allows 4.4...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    nw/purdue over (58) 3 units. purdue is giving up 44 points/game in big ten play. and they're even worse at home. in two conference home games, they've allowed 49 and 62 to iowa and penn state. on the other side of the ball, northwestern has been beaten up the last 2 games by ohio st and...
  19. Smitty

    Thursday

    cleveland (+7.5) 2 units cleveland (ML) 1 unit to win 3. the ravens are bad enough that they can lose this game if they overlook the mighty browns. i don't think it's likely, but i think it's worth a shot on the ML.
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    detroit (+6) 2 units detroit (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. sam bradford is finally looking like... sam bradford. and the vikings o-line isn't opening any holes. minnesota has scored 2 tds the last 2 weeks, and both were in the 4th quarter when the game was out of reach. i have to take nearly a td...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    busiest gambling day of the year... college football and the breeders cup. feels like i've been pretty bad on the noon games, but maybe an 11:30 game will be ok. notre dame (-7) 1 unit. maybe the line is inflated because it's nd, but -7 is practically begging for navy money. navy/nd over...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    atlanta (-3) 3 units. green bay has played 2 road games. they squeaked out a win at jacksonville and lost at minnesota. the pack are giving up 7.9 yards per pass attempt. should be a big game for matt ryan. and here's a list of the teams green bay has beat this year: jacksonville detroit...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    emu (-7) 2 units. interesting game to start with. emu has really turned things around. they are 5-3 one season after going 1-11. and they have covered 6 straight games. and now they find themselves laying a td to a team that has won 2 straight after starting 0-6. i like the eagles to...
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