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  1. Smitty

    Super BowL

    see what i did there? i'm so darn clever. denver (+5) 2 units denver (ML) 2 units to win (3.8). if i had slightly bigger balls, all 4 units would be on the ML. if this game is close, i really think there's a big advantage for the broncos. carolina's schedule was incredibly easy, especially...
  2. Smitty

    Sunday

    Big surprise... i'm on dogs and unders. denver (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. boils down to a few factors for me. The Patriots have not been playing great lately. If not for the fumble by the Chiefs last week that game may have turned out entirely differently. Now they have to go on the road against...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday

    well, based on recent experience, you are guaranteed that any dog i play on the ML will blow a lead in the 4th quarter. with that said.... seattle (ML) 2 units to win 2.4. the return of lynch is really overrated, as seattle's running game has been just fine (maybe even better) without him...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday

    kc (+5.5) 2 unit kc (ML) 2 units to win 4.2. well, i didn't drink the kc kool aid last week, and that was ugly. now i've had a few sips, so they are probably fucked. taking alex smith in a playoff game at foxboro. and really the biggest mismatch... i'm taking andy reid in a playoff game at...
  5. Smitty

    Monday

    fuck it, i wasn't even going to post a play because i don't have a strong opinion on this game, but it's the damn nc game. gotta post something. clemson (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. no doubt 'bama is the better team. which makes this so difficult to play. but as we all know... the best team...
  6. Smitty

    Sunday

    a perfect 0-2 start to the postseason. i have no idea why pitt was throwing the ball with landry jones with a 5-point lead with 5 minutes to go. big surprise that you'll go 3-and-out when you throw 2 out of 3 plays with landry fucking jones. minnesota (+4) 4 units minnesota (ML) 2 units to...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    houston (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. we'll start with some shocking news out of houston... clowney will NOT be playing. now on to the game... at some point in the first quarter, jj watt will rip off alex smith's head and poop into the neck hole. RIGHT AT MIDFIELD. the refs will be so scared...
  8. Smitty

    Crazy rumor out of Iowa

    after the rose bowl, people in the iowa athletics department hate all mccaffreys so much that they have fired coach fran. :scared "He could be related to THAT McCaffrey." said Iowa AD Gary Barta. "No sense in taking any chances." it's also possible that i completely made that up.
  9. Smitty

    Sunday

    let's start with some shocking news out of houston... jadeveon clowney is injured and will not play today. we now resume our regularly scheduled broadcast. buffalo (ML) 2 units to win 2.4. one of my favorite angles late in the season is to play against teams that need the win. unless the...
  10. Smitty

    1/2 Bowls

    well, i still had a little champagne left, so i'm taking checkmate's suggestion and drinking a couple more mimosas. TaxSlayer Bowl penn st (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. obviously this is not a strong play for me. but georgia's offense struggled most of the year. and i think they are being coached...
  11. Smitty

    1/1 Bowls

    Outback Bowl tennessee (-10) 3 units. wow, this line was crazy at 8 and now it's up to 10. just insane. well, here's why. northwestern may not score a point. their offense is really bad. unless they can pop a couple trick plays, they're not going to be able to move the ball.
  12. Smitty

    12/31 Bowls

    if you like money, you will fade these plays. I'm fucking horrible right now. Peach Bowl houston (+7) 4 units houston (ML) 2 units to win 4.5. absolutely love the cougars today. i'm not sure fsu is even going to show up for this game. 2 years ago, they won the nc. last year they were in...
  13. Smitty

    12/30 Bowls

    i still can't pick the right side to save my life. Birmingham Bowl tigers (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. just kidding. that's the memphis tigers. going into the season, auburn had slightly higher hopes than staying home for the birmingham bowl. obviously losing fuentes hurts, but i think memphis...
  14. Smitty

    12/29 Bowls

    after the first day of bowls, my picks have been like kobe bryant's shots... i can't hit a fucking thing. :facepalm: Armed Forces Bowl air force (+7) 2 units air force (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. i normally look to bet against option teams in bowl games because having a couple extra weeks to...
  15. Smitty

    12/28 Bowls

    Military Bowl pitt (ML) 4 units to win 5.6. so... let me get this straight. navy is at home. in the military bowl. in reynolds' last game. only laying 3 to pitt? huh. kinda begging for navy money, isn't it? so naturally i love pitt. several factors in pitt's favor. they've had a few...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    car/atl under (47) 2 units. i believe atlanta has now played 10 straight games under the total. 47 feels like a late christmas gift. dallas (ML) 2 units to win 4.5. a couple things working here. i love playing backup qbs in their first start. and i love betting against teams that just got...
  17. Smitty

    12/26 Bowls

    St Petersburg Bowl UConn (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. Mostly an anti-Marshall play, but a big motivational edge for the huskies. I fully expect this game to be somewhere around 12-10 in the fourth quarter. And that's where the extra motivation will be key. UConn pulls out an ugly win. Under (44)...
  18. Smitty

    Wednesday Bowls

    Poinsettia Bowl boise (-9) 1 unit. this is either a bad line or a huge trap. i'm hoping/betting it's a trap. this was far from a vintage boise team. and despite NI's qb problems, this line still seems to be begging for NI money.
  19. Smitty

    Tuesday Bowls

    Famous Idaho Potato Bowl utah st (-6.5) 1 unit under (46.5) 2 units. i'm banking on the team playing hard for chuckie keaton, as he wraps up his 13-year career in logan. while utah state's defense hasn't been as good as in the last few years, they won't have to be great to shut down akron...
  20. Smitty

    Miami Beach Bowl

    south florida (ML) 3 units to win 3.6. i like the new willie taggarts to beat the old willie taggarts. the key is south florida's ground game, which can keep doughty and that offense off the field. the bulls have already held memphis to 24 so they've proven they can slow down a high-powered...
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