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  1. Smitty

    Poinsettia Bowl

    sorry for the late post. i was out getting my drink on. overdue for a loser, and it's probably going to happen with my first large play of the bowl season, but.... la tech (+10) 3 units. i'll keep it short. the bulldogs haven't dropped a game SU or ATS since cameron took over at qb. huge...
  2. Smitty

    Tuesday

    off to a slow start on basketball wright st (+3) 1 unit. according to sagarin, idaho should be laying 10. so why only 3? northeastern (-1.5) 2 units. another line that just seems off. sagarin has la tech laying a couple points.
  3. Smitty

    Beef O'Brady's Bowl

    why would anyone call this the 'st petersburg bowl', when you could call it the 'beef o'brady's bowl'? best. bowl sponsor. ever. ok, i said i'd play every bowl game, and that's the only reason i'm picking a side here. i can't find an advantage. well, just one. the 'which team wants to be...
  4. Smitty

    Sunday

    after a good saturday, time for a bad sunday. probably some pretty good fades here. gb/kc under (45.5) 2 units. with the line drop, a strong lean to kc also, but i think the under is the best play here. 73% on the over (gb can score that many themselves!!!), but the total has dropped a...
  5. Smitty

    Saturday Bowls

    i don't remember being less excited for a bowl season. just a ton of mediocre matchups this year. that said, i'll probably still play every effing one of them. starting with the new mexico bowl.... temple (-7) 2 units. i've come full circle on this play. my first instinct was to take the...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    after a slow week, time to bust out too many plays... western mich (+3) 2 units byu (-2.5) 1 unit tenn tech (+4) 1 unit florida (-9) 2 units i hope they can make a fucking free throw today. seriously, how do you start a game making 1 of 13 FTs? who here couldn't make more than that while...
  8. Smitty

    Saturday

    can't catch a winner to save my life. so i'm limiting myself to two losers today. akron (+7) 2 units. all the talk about cleveland st ("they're just like george mason a couple years ago!")... that's usually a great time to bet against a team. boston u (+6.5) 1 unit. this one's just a hunch...
  9. Smitty

    Friday

    lost my last couple and this one's too easy, so probably a good idea to fade. umass (-13) 2 units. siena still with only 8 scholarship players and 3 of their 4 primary backcourt players are freshmen, including both point guards. Their 4 backcourt players combine for 8.1 assists per game and...
  10. Smitty

    Thursday

    Harvard (+5.5) 2 units. one of the keys to stopping harvard is defending the perimeter for the entire shot clock. the last thing uconn's trio of talented young guards want to do is defend for 35 seconds. i expect them to take bad shots on offense in an attempt to quicken the pace. this is a...
  11. Smitty

    Tuesday

    just one play tonight... miami (-2.5) 2 units. unranked team favored over a ranked team... blah blah blah... and the line is creeping up.
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    too many plays today. time to give back all the money i'm making on college football. miami (-3) 2 units. let me get this straight... the 3-8 dolphins are favored over the 7-4 raiders? well don't look now, but after a horrendous start to the season, the dolphins have covered 5 straight...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    southern miss (+13) 2 units. i'd be happy with houston winning this game, so i can make some cash playing against them in a bcs bowl (hawaii a few years ago?). but i like southern mississippi's chances today. they only give up 6.03 yards per pass attempt, which is 10th in the country. in...
  15. Smitty

    Wednesday

    looks like just two plays tonight. cal sb (+2.5) 2 units. let me get this straight... the team that just beat #1 in all the land is laying less than a 3-pointer against the lowly gauchos? well, it makes a little more sense if you know what a gaucho is. gau?cho    [gou-choh; Sp. gou-chaw]...
  16. Smitty

    Tuesday

    alright, first hoops post of the season. that means these are probably some great fades. virginia (-3.5) 2 units. nothing new here... unranked team favored over a ranked team, and the line has gone up. georgia tech (-3) 1 unit. another odd line jump. new mexico st (-3) 1 unit. ok, maybe...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    been getting my ass handed to me in college football the last few weeks. battle of georgia over (54.5) 2 units. my favorite angle in 'look-ahead' games is to play the over. and when the team that's looking ahead is facing the option, even better. i know it's a rivalry game, and if anyone...
  19. Smitty

    Friday

    south florida (-3.5) 4 units. that's right, 4 units. this line makes no sense whatsoever. it's BEGGING for louisville money. bj daniels is doubtful. eveld has completed 53% of his passes for 144 yards, 3 INTs and no TDs. louisville has won 6 of their last 7 games. usf has lost 6 of their...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    looks like just 3 plays. all three based on unexpected line movement. minnesota (-2) 3 units. the vikings have been ok at home, and the raiders are coming off 3 straight division games. seems like just about everyone likes the raiders to win, and yet the line is creeping up. cleveland (-2)...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    hard to tell that i don't like this card, since i managed to find 11 plays. but i really don't. uconn (-1) 2 units. tough loss for louisville last week, coming off the huge win at wvu. they are a young team led by a freshman qb, and it's going to be very difficult for them to regroup this...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    looks like it might just be two plays today. houston (-4) 2 units. tough spot for the bucs, coming off new orleans and playing at green bay next week. san francisco (-4) 2 units. coming off their huge win at new england, the giants are flying across country to face a team that's going to be...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    rice/nw over (68.5) 3 units. northwestern is probably still celebrating their win at nebraska. i don't think there will be much focus on rice, a team they beat by 17 last year. including the eastern illinois game, all 3 of northwestern's home games have gone over. also, this line just seems...
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