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  1. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    i usually follow up a great week like last week with a clunker, so fading these may be a good idea. way too many plays. michigan/wisconsin over (55) 1 unit. maybe this is too obvious, but maybe not, since it is easily the highest total in this matchup in the last 10 years. other than...
  2. Smitty

    Friday Hoops

    normally i wait a few weeks to start playing college hoops, but these two games jumped out at me. st bonaventure (-1.5) 2 units. san diego (+1) 1 unit. hopefully i can hit around 60% again this year.
  3. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    time to give back my winnings from yesterday... cincinnati (+3) 1 unit. seems too easy... a 4-3 team favored on the road against a 5-2 team. but it looks like everybody is on baltimore. dammit, i gotta take the bungles. indianapolis (-8.5) 1 unit. whoa, everybody seems to be jumping off...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    after a decent run, i've been fairly mediocre the last few weeks. here goes... virginia (+13.5) 1 unit. i've downgraded this play, but i'm still throwing a unit on the cavs. more of an anti-miami play than anything. sewell is doubtful for virginia, but that's not really a bad thing. the...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    wow, just like yesterday, i really don't like this card. only a couple plays. both for one unit. SF (+13.5) wasn't it just a few weeks ago that everybody was jumping on the 49ers bandwagon? now that everybody is off, i think it's time to play the niners again. nyg/phil under (44.5) huh...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday NCAA

    dropped back below 60% with a mediocre day last saturday. don't really like the card today, so treading lightly. each play one unit. there are two 'double digit rushing dogs' today. nc st (+10) this is the first DD rushing dog. nc st rushes for 3.86 ypc, while allowing 2.80. fsu rushes for...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    just a few plays as i try to dig myself out of the huge hole i dug at the beginning of the season. all plays one unit. pitt (-6) reminds me of the sd/pitt game a few weeks ago. pitt has no business laying almost a td here. and yet the line has been going up all week. maybe today someone...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    hitting 60% and still down on the year. awesome money management right there. starting with some thoughts on uconn/wvu. not quite sure if i can pull the trigger. wvu has OWNED uconn, beating them by 24, 45, 26, 32, and 12 points the last 5 years. of course, this is not quite the same wvu...
  10. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    i've got my nfl record all the way up to 4-11! profitablity, here i come! figured i'd better post these before heading out the biergarten for my birthday brunch. that's right... how awesome is my girlfriend? she's taking me to sunday brunch at a biergarten. :toast: washington (-6) 2...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    the record is respectable, but my money management has apparently been awful. clemson (-7.5) 2 units. this is either a really dumb play or genius. i'm hoping for genius. clemson is just 2-3 on the year. they just lost to maryland, for crying out loud. they play at miami next week. and...
  13. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    just a few plays today... mississippi (+4.5) 3 units. all i can say is wow. the whole world is on 'bama, but the line has dropped 2 points? huh. it's amazing to me how quickly how fast people gave up on the rebels this year. sure, they were overrated to start with, but this is still a...
  14. Smitty

    Some Thoughts on Monday Night

    question one... where does the notion that favre is 'out for revenge tonight' come from? how many people out there really believe the packers screwed favre over? they let him waffle for months before finally saying enough is enough. does favre himself really think they screwed him? i mean...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday's Fades

    i'm off to an almost perfect start in the nfl... 1-10. whaddya mean, that's not what people consider 'almost perfect'? jacksonville (+3) 1 unit. seems like everybody is on tennessee. at 0-2, teams get desperate. at 0-3, teams start to dread the long season ahead. balt/ne over (45) 1 unit...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    had a great day last saturday, including what will probably end up being my largest play of the year on temple. which means i'm due for a bad week. fade away. georgia tech (-5.5) 1 unit. after a heart-breaking near miss against lsu, the bulldogs now have to face the option. never a good...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    off to a terrible start in the nfl, but i finally had a great day yesterday, so maybe that will carry over. all plays one unit. tennessee (+1.5) this was going to be a much larger play, but it seems like almost everybody is on the titans. that is never good. at least the line has moved...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    slow start to the season. and i'm probably not helping myself with my nuckin' futs top play today. temple (-3.5) 3 units. even while getting dominated by penn state, the temple offensive line actually opened some holes against the nittany lions. psu's linebackers and safeties kept those...
  20. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    alright, time to get selective. ohio st (-21) 1 unit. it's incredible how much flak tressel took after last week's game. holy crap, for them to stay that close to usc is amazing. if he tried to get into a track meet with usc, they would have been blown out. he probably did just about as...
  21. Smitty

    Thursday Night

    just polished off a nice martini, and figured i'd better post this while i can still type. georgia tech (+4) 2 units. ok, everybody knows the jackets ran for 472 yards on the hurricanes last year. but everybody seems to think that will motivate the 'canes this year. really? so they weren't...
  22. Smitty

    NFL Week 2

    had a little extra time tonight, and there's a chance i won't be able to operate a computer sunday morning, so i'm going to post early this week. all plays one unit. carolina (+6) one of my favorite angles is to take advantage of overreactions to week one. example one... suddenly everybody...
  23. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    a few small plays to start the season... cleveland (+4) 1 unit. with ol' wishy washy quarterbacking the vikings now, the browns don't even have to single-cover minnesota's receivers. they can put 11 in the box to stop AP. oh, and the browns have an actual head coach now. no more romeo...
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