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  1. EXTRAPOLATER

    laa@KC Sat--some red flags on Junis through 2 starts

    Looking at about a 40% chance of rain at gametime, with snow apparently to follow later in the evening, so this game could very well be postponed. However, I've been watching Junis in his last start vs Mariners. He has great numbers through 2 go's (1st @the non-existent Tigersticks, whcih I...
  2. EXTRAPOLATER

    anybody have totals splits for ballparks with retractable roofs?

    I think some ballparks are more renown for the ball sailing well when the roof is closed, but I'm not sure of that. I did a number of searches for Safeco splits, based on roof status, but came up empty. Leaning towards the over8 for tonight, but my disdain for Leake might be slightly...
  3. EXTRAPOLATER

    angels @ Royals Thursday

    Tropeano vs Kennedy. Another crapshot SP going for the Angels. He's 27 and may have enough upside to stick around this depleted rotation. I see laa -128. I'd be interested in riding the laa streak if it were closer to even, but Tropeano is more of a fly-ball pitcher than a ground ball...
  4. EXTRAPOLATER

    Ohtani just slightly on his game

    tune in to watch this if you can He's a little fortunate to have faced A's for 1st 2 starts, but his stuff looks great and he is totally able to put the ball where he wants it, at least today. Perfect through 6, I believe he's got 11 K's currently.
  5. EXTRAPOLATER

    distortion of umpire stats--no sabermetric normalization coming

    Watching the Jays@Rangers. Ump John Tumpane is refusing to call strikes in this one, especially when the Rangers (Moore, Perez, et al) are pitching. Thing is, these pitches are nowhere to be found; borderlineage is absent. This game, alone, is going to distort his strike% to suggest him to be...
  7. EXTRAPOLATER

    d'backs@Cardinals Thursday

    Weather supposed to be clear with a 0% chance of precipitation. Fairly strong wind blowing out to left. Ump unknown, currently, as game #1 with the Diamondbacks travelling from home after taking the down the excuse for an offense that the Dodgers have shown, so far, 3-0. Cardinals coming in for...
  8. EXTRAPOLATER

    angels @ A's Saturday

    Mengden should be serviceable for a potential decent outing, while I'm less confident of Shoemaker making any heads turn this season. Not sure of either team's offensive output potential this season, so somewhere near even there, this early, despite the Angels having fish-man who everybody...
  9. EXTRAPOLATER

    twins @ Orioles saturday

    I get the starters rated dead-even for this first go, barring either showing anything they should both be a tad worse than league-average, best as I get so far. Every year bullpens are wait and see, but I have to give an edge to O's starting the season. Bats pretty even too, from what I get, but...
  10. EXTRAPOLATER

    yankees @ Jays Saturday

    The baseball lines, so far, have done little for me. Looking at them, now, and yanks at -105 (Jays currently -103, Pinnacle) sure looks friggin' tempting. The pitching matchup, starter-wise, has to be a wash, with probably an edge to Sabathia in that regard, though small. Big edge in the...
  11. EXTRAPOLATER

    who has this new mound visit rule straight in their head?

    I get the 6 visit thing, I think. Any visit after that and the pitcher must be changed. How about the starter gets taken out after a 6th mound visit and then the reliever needs a talking to by coaches...no visit allowed? I also think the rule regarding position players coming over and talking...
  13. EXTRAPOLATER

    The Return of the Hedgemonster

    This time not a personal example but some anecdotal BS. (I guess a personal example would qualify as 'anecdotal BS', but this is third-party noise) Something I heard on a podcast. Tell me if my interpretation is correct. What I heard: Dude has a future on Nevada to win the NCAA at 300-to-1...
  14. EXTRAPOLATER

    help...looking for a stat (team record, 1-run games, a home-away split for same)

    The record in 1-run games is all over the place, e.g. https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2017-standings.shtml with teams playing about 35-50 each, in 2017. I am in "need" of such records as a home-away split, in some fashion, if available. Drop word if scrabble permits.
  15. EXTRAPOLATER

    favorite Led Zeppelin song containing the letter 'Q'

    It's a parody of parody. Nevermind. <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Pu94mWlgzMY" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen></iframe>
  16. EXTRAPOLATER

    how to evaluate hedging propositions, in-game or otherwise, with an example

    I've thought about this before but had another encounter with a 'guaranteed win' proposition set up today. The in-game stuff is relevant and I think it is the way of the future for anyone crazy enough to try to make a living through sports wagering, but I'll postpone further comment, there...
  17. EXTRAPOLATER

    Minny Wild back-to-back Friday-Saturday

    ouch with Dubnyk nursing a 'lower-body injury' as I was hoppy on Wild at a better than +100 at Florida Panthers for Friday, as I was guessing they'd pull out the full effort to grab 2 points in this matchup between 2 pretty crappy teams, especially with a date at the Lightning the following day...
  19. EXTRAPOLATER

    anybody else love week 13?

    I'm doing fine, thanks, but I swear that week 13 has been a stellar go for me since 2000. Week 13 then--same years Ravens beat Giants as an easy doggie in Superbowl to conclude my year--is the whole reason I had to start playing on-line as opposed to the Canadian Sports Select shit that I was...
  20. EXTRAPOLATER

    crap game by Brady but Pats still covering numbers

    I noticed it early, and it continued. Brady was crap. Apparently, the Bills, as foreseen by most who've watched them, blow chunks. Pats D has been excelling but not much to take from this game--Bills O not much of a test.
  21. EXTRAPOLATER

    anybody read Nate Silver's 'The Signal and the Noise--Why So Many Predictions Fail...

    ...but Some Don't' Amazon blurb here: https://www.amazon.com/Signal-Noise-Many-Predictions-Fail-but/dp/0143125087/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1510650345&sr=1-1&keywords=nate+silver&dpID=51%252BNJXrUE6L&preST=_SY291_BO1,204,203,200_QL40_&dpSrc=srch I'm bored as hell with the new podcast...
  22. EXTRAPOLATER

    thurs nov 9 lightning@Kings

    Decent chance that TB's Peter Budaj could make his 3rd start in this game, with Andrei Vasilevskiy playing last night; TB has been working him to death, and Wednesday's ended up being a very peaceful game for all Lightning after the 1st minute of play was done, so who knows; I'm sure they...
  23. EXTRAPOLATER

    Leafs goaltending

    I'm trying to remember a Leafs goaltender--say, for about the last 45 years or so--that I disliked more than I dislike Frederik Andersen. I've been a Leafs for that long, plus or minus infancy. I'm having trouble but google rocked with my search 'maple leafs goaltenders throughout history,'...
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