Jan: 3-1 / +3.68 units
Just starting to cap, so not sure all that I'll come up with just yet, however first up is...
EPL
O/3 -125 West Ham v Arsenal (1 unit)
Totals aren't my favorite soccer bets, but first instinct is usually the right one, then I see Bo isn't even offering a line for...
Pretty much on all of Kid's picks, but in addition this battle of League One teams:
AFC Wimbledon +.5 -145 @ Fleetwood Town (1 unit)
Fleetwood in the plus range seems very much like a no no in this spot
Man City +109 vs Liverpool (2 units)
Got this early this morning, line is moving to City as we get closer. Throwing everything else out, this plainly falls into a first place team getting too much value. Way too much, considering we are all very familiar with what the Reds can do.
Short notice I know, but coming off a cold streak, so maybe not a bad thing
Man United -159 @ Newcastle (1 unit) This will most likely get cheaper live betting so I plan to wait just a bit before I play it, but no other way to post so here ya go. They're streaking, have newfound confidence...
8:30 EST / Championship
Aston Villa pk -127 vs Leeds (2 units)
Line is now pk -110, put in last night should have waited. Villa has been good (ATS if you will) in these top tier matches for me, so I trust them to manage at least a draw.
2:30 EST / Belgium
KAA Gent pk -119 @ Charleroi (2 units)
Had a recent win with Charleroi, but felt like a lucky thief on that one. I think this line is backwards, and that is a telling detail. Charleroi is unbeaten in their last 6 league home games, has better form than Gent, yet they are...
Stock in Chelsea couldn't be higher right now. Just beat City and have group in hand in Europa. Great time to sell a few shares. Lineup will be mostly backups, and they couldn't care less about this game in Hungary. Average bettor will bet Chelsea as an auto bet, and the house is counting on...
No time for a decent post, but I'm on :
Draw +245 Galatasaray v Porto (half unit)
Home side has been floundering for awhile, don't think they can even beat an unmotivated Porto. Line has plummetted.
FA Cup
Wrexham +.5 -131 (1 unit)
First one that looks favorable is in The Netherlands / 830 EST
Groningen pk -126 @ VVV-Venlo (2 units)
Posting now, will hopefully wake up before match time to check the line. Stat driven play, team G is in much better form at the moment. Maybe we draw, that's fine pushes are acceptable...
245 EST / Scottish Championship
Inverness Caledonian +.5 -127 @ Ayr (2 units)
Should the first place team be getting any value at home? I think not. Also Inverness just put 6 in net in their previous cup game so plenty of positive vibes going into this one.
I love country cup plays. Plenty thanks to Kid for that angle, and I think I have a good feel for them. Filtering through tomorrow's matches, I think I've found something in Spain.
Mallorca +.5 +120 @ Real Valladolid (2 units)
A basic look at this game is thus: RV graduated to this year's...
Bournemouth -1 +130 vs Huddersfield (2 units)
This game should be a breath of fresh air for Bournemouth, coming off losses to City and Arsenal. Those two losses have skewed the recent form stat for them, meanwhile Huddersfield doesn't look so bad on paper recently, but they've played the...
1:00 EST / Romania
Astra Giurgiu +109 vs Botosani (1 unit)
2:30 / Italy Serie A
Atalanta +.5 - 144 vs Napoli (2 units)
Could be playing with fire going against Napoli here, but I think they're getting a touch too much value. Both teams in good form.
3:00 / Serie B
Foggia +107 vs Venezia...
Short on time today, so I'll just be putting up plays as they come to me
Two so far in The Championship
10:00 / QPR - ev vs Hull City (1 Unit)
12:30 / Aston Villa +.5 -130 @ Middlesbrough (2 Units)
U/2.5 -105 Swansea vs West Brom
This may wind up plus money by tomorrow as West Brom is very dynamic at this level with high scoring affairs, but I don't see Swansea getting gashed back to back at home. Norwich lit them up Saturday. Goal line is tight at a pick with both teams getting good...
The Championship
Draw +250 Norwich @ Hull City
Not betting on arguably the hottest team in English club soccer might seem stupid. It probably is, you're supposed to stay on the hot team until they lose. Yes yes, I know all this. But I ask you why on Earth is Norwich getting +120 in this...