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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    No one will be in the NBA thread today with it being a big college football day. Three picks Houston Over and New Orleans Over are both in the workhorse category. It won last night with Chicago over and one of the advantages of playing an over with a short line is the increased chance of...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Big card today and almost nothing comes up. Program designed to pick totals but a side note of entering data is to see if any indication comes on the sides. The other day the totals went 1-3 but the indicator on the sides went 3-1. Today there are only 2 games which look decent. Chicago over...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Like that the holidays are over and teams get back into a routine. More data should help too. I really liked Memphis over yesterday but I never want to over brag a pick. Today All 4 pick Golden State Under 2-2 on the year and 26-13 last 3 years away team covers 17 of those. 2 pick...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Memphis over 22-5. Also dog has covered 14 of those 22 Denver under 15-7 As Always Good Luck Northern Star
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    I have said before the computer program does not know emotion. Tonight is the last night before the Christmas so players and teams may no follow normal patterns. The plays come up decent though so here they are. Orlando Under First half 4-1 this year, 21-9 last 3 years. Orlando Under game...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Denver game moved down 4 points and was not a play. A few big moves today mostly on the overs and my program was pointing over on almost all games but one. With current lines the best games are Houston Over in category that shows up alot and is 9-5 on the year and 60% last 3 years, similar...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    There is one other thing I forgot to mention is that lines are fluid. One of the difficult parts of entering data in and grading the program is what line to use. I think lines move the most when first posted and then closer to game time. I try to get a line midday that is not changing much. That...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    It is not a system.....it is a mathematical program. Each day Vegas runs numbers and posts a line. Each day my program uses the data I enter. It also calculates a line for 3 of the four methods. It then compares my line to the Vegas line. If the difference is considered large enough based on...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Well Chicago Under just missed covering last night.....by the slimest of margins......100 points. Today two plays come up. A little more info and do as you please with the information. The lines are moving worse so the early post. Oklahoma City Under 209 There are four ways I calculate...
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    Alonzo Stagg Bowl

    University of St Thomas plays Mount Union.... maybe a bit of a homer pick....I went there on a full ride academic scholarship and my daugther goes there. I think they can win this game out right (5.5 dogs). It will be a battle of running game. St thomas has a huge offensive line, a huge full...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Big NBA card today but the program shows almost no plays. It is designed to make a significant number of plays. Today 5* Golden State Under 209.5 (71%) same as earlier this week. 1-1 on the year now 29-12 last 3 years 5* Chicago Under First Half 100 (71%) 2-0 this year 20-8 last 3 years 4*...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    One game tonight 5* Lakers over 109.5 fh (79 record 1-0 this year 19-5 last 3 year) 4* Lakers Over 215.5 ( 69 record 1-0 this year 16-7 last 3) Correlated Lakers and Over 43% As Always Good Luck Northerns
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Look at post #54 In that post use the example. There were 112 games. The program predicted over. 65 went over. Of those 65 games that went over the visitor covered 41 times. (I dont know who covered or care who covered in the 47 games that went under). In this case the combination of...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Tonight behind like always 5 New jersey Under 192.5 (71) 5 Golden State Under 219.5 (72) 5 Atlanta Under 199 (68) 4 Det over 198.5 Utah Over 201 (61) same category see earlier post 4 Clipper Over 197 (72) few plays becasue all4 4 Chicago Under 194.5 (67) 3 New jersey Under FH 96.5 (63)...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    I have a minute before a meeting. I thought I would give a little more information. My program is designed to look at a game 4 different ways. Each way is unique with a goal to predict and over or under with a win percentage of 52 or higher. Some start that way and get worse over time and I...
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    5* Minnesota Under 202.5 (70) 4* Minnesota Under 104.5 fh (69) 4* Boston Under 203 (63) 3* Sac Over 219.5 (59) As Always Good Luck Northern Sta
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    We know one thing for sure.....Northern Star is no Biff
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    See if I just would have left it as New jersey I would have got it right Over First half is the 5* Northern Star
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    I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    I don't post often but when I do.......you can pretty much guarantee I am running late....which is why I don't always post. A shout out to MG Man and his recovery from knee replacement ....who would have thought the first part of his that got replaced would be his knee.....my money was on a...
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