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  1. EXTRAPOLATER

    Rule Changes for 2020 season

    This is the one that throws another wrench in handicapping: THREE-BATTER MINIMUM: This is the big one that's been grabbing the headlines since it was first reported. All pitchers -- both starters and relievers -- now have to face at least three batters (or pitch until the inning is over) before...
  2. EXTRAPOLATER

    a couple of thoughts for Tuesday

    tb@Pit I haven't seen any line on this game, yet. I was thinking an under might be a good go, here, before Monday's action started. I've watched the first two periods of tb@Columbus and this game (1-1 after 2) has been a defensive masterpiece by both clubs. It's Curtis in net, tonight, for...
  3. EXTRAPOLATER

    gambling irregularities?

    I'll mention this first one due to its relation to the next. This one is probably more well publicized. I'm speaking of the case where a big bettor wanted the Super Bowl (I believe for a million) but apparently insisted on getting a line of +2 instead of the +1 being offered. The book...
  4. EXTRAPOLATER

    Two favorite albums from 2018

    That's not a typo. 2019 will take longer to sort out. At least the following two have survived the repeated listens without losing appeal. Somali Yacht Club The Sea Ukraine <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/b-KxV_6gM78" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer...
  5. EXTRAPOLATER

    Jan 21 player props and other miscellaneous thoughts

    Vegas@Bruins looks like Fleury@Halak, in net. About 3 weeks ago I was playing some Bruins on the regulation moneyline, when I could find it better than +100. This is kind of strange as I actually hope that the Bruins lose every game for the next ten years or so. Anyways, I can't touch them...
  7. EXTRAPOLATER

    MikeE's Proppy Hoppy

    sat 4:35 est 49ERs rushing attack has been second in the NFL all season, behind only the Ravens record-setting pace. A little more rush predominant earlier in the season, the attack has balanced out a little more due to injuries, opponents, and just the overall evolution of the season. Raheem...
  8. EXTRAPOLATER

    Leafs proppy hoppy

    Perfect example of the Leafs player props strategy for Mon., hosting Oilers. Regulation W opens -127 and is quickly -139. I'm gonna waste my time looking for a parlay somewhere? Pass, there. Leafs will need 3 or 4 to win. Should be goals and assists prop shop-fest. Waiting on the openers...
  9. EXTRAPOLATER

    The Mournful Howl of Dawn

    <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/xjJtcIWvRYo" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe> worth it
  10. EXTRAPOLATER

    Some Leafs player props I'm considering for tonight (hosting Islanders)

    In case some others agree that the Maple Leafs have been pricey all season, I've found good money to be made by grabbing a few player props. Team total set at 3.5, with a small +money which is rare, lately (they've been ov3.5 at around -140, lately). If they make 4 goals then several of the...
  11. EXTRAPOLATER

    Windows 10 file explorer crashing issues

    I've had these pretty bad for about 6-8 weeks now. I can have music or video playing, several websites open, whatever; none of that crashes, just the file explorer (MyMusic, MyDocuments, MyWhatevas,etc). I have tried several of the alleged fixes from the following...
  13. EXTRAPOLATER

    Kings' Dedmon 50K fine

    What a freakin' joke. Is this what free speach mongers can harp on or what? I don't know what the agreement is the players association and them, the NBA, the club, and any readers might think its nothing with the assumption that his pocket won't be hurt. Not relevant to this angst but barring...
  14. EXTRAPOLATER

    strength of schedule and wild card weekend

    Allegedly, there is a trend whereby the team with the tougher strength of schedule (minimum of 5 slots in the ranking of 1-32) has done very well against the spread (better than 60%). This apparently only applies for the first round. I did a couple of google searches to find some easy-grab...
  15. EXTRAPOLATER

    contradict this (with #s) if possible:higher rated teams are better 1H than game

    This notion is probably based on too small a sample-size, notably some 'better' (i.e. better power rankings from a couple of sources) road teams that I have played and then subsequently witnessed them dominating 1st halfs while later crapping the bed in the 2nd half. I was tempted to post this...
  16. EXTRAPOLATER

    What kind of success has anyone had playing both sides while live betting?

    Thinking about that seriously during the current Georgia-Baylor match in the Sugar Bowl. There has already been--1st quarter--several opportunities to grab either money line at better than +100, within minutes, so if the wagers were balanced, obviously, you could be looking at guaranteed profit...
  17. EXTRAPOLATER

    interesting OT article referencing deferment, blown audibles and such

    I was listening to the cbs pick6 podcast and their review of Sunday's games. They were talking about the Bengals miracle comeback today and one of the dudes compared it to a Colts/Manning-led comeback against the Bucs in 2003. I'm currently paused on the podcast as I did a quick...
  19. EXTRAPOLATER

    call me crazy, but this opener of -4.5 on the Eagles for Week 17 looks like a gift

    I am not waiting. I confess to having some cowtown, today (rest was much better, thanks) but I cannot foresee many universes where the Eagles blow this opportunity now that they somehow find themselves one (relatively)easy W away from the bonus season. This line will move one direction...
  20. EXTRAPOLATER

    Chiefs player prop driving me crazy

    (most things do...nevermind) Mahomes to throw ov1.5 TD passes is listed at -165. He could/should do this but I generally avoid such expensive tastes (save on the odd parlay). Alternatively, these 2 props are listed separately: Tyreek Hill TD receptions ov0.5 +122 Travis Kelce TD receptions...
  21. EXTRAPOLATER

    Texans@Buccaneers game is a circus, first 18 minutes

    Both offenses are a total joke today. Sound is off and cranking tunes during this freak-show. What's the 1-game INT record? (I'll google laters) enjoy...if possible <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/kKMPgkngWoI" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer...
  22. EXTRAPOLATER

    Is it correct to expect steam on Chiefs line if Patriots lose Saturday?

    Patriots win Saturday and the Chiefs can probably forget about a first round bye, while a Pats loss would totally open the door for the Chiefs, thus, hypothetically, giving them considerably more motivation. Chiefs currently -5 but the +103 I got shortly after opening is now gone and I see -119...
  23. EXTRAPOLATER

    I'm noticing a pretty consistent (and surprising) 1st period trend

    Teams playing on back-to-back nights have been kicking ass in the 1st period in the 2nd game. I noticed this about 3 or 4 weeks ago and have been seeing it constantly since. My limited google searches (so far) have only yielded limited stats from 2017 or earlier. If anybody can comment--maybe...
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