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    College Football buys for 2020

    Recap: It was closer than it looks on the final score, but the Over won yesterday with Nevada. Bowl record: 1-0 The New Play is off to a good start in Bowls, 2-0, Ov in Nev, Un in BYU. I really liked that Nev spot, with the additional "ideal situation" extra qualifiers of 32% Under vs 65%...
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    College Hoops 2020

    No buys yesterday. Posted plays, 3-4, still hovering at .500, no edge for value. Only play that has value is >. I dropped by with an FYI that 'Bama no longer qualified, as the differential dropped from 13 to 12'. They still went Over. I didn't notice until checking #'s this morning that St...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Play #1 only has one spot this week, Chi/Jags Under. The Jags lost in this spot last week due to that last minute Minshew TD. Play #1 record is 22-12, Ov 11-5, Un 11-7. I'm going to use a set up play this week. Both Balt and Mia are in a situation that if they cover ATS this week they will fit...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    You're welcome, Mike. Just stopped in to say . . . "That Under play is indestructible."
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    College Football buys for 2020

    You're welcome, Lowell. FOUR missed opportunities after 1st and goal from the 2 yard line, THREE missed 2 pt conversions, TWO missed FG's, ONE missed extra pt. And it still went Over. A little luck never hurts. NEXT! Buys: Tulane/Nev Ov 57 LA-Laf/Tex SA Un 58
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    BASON's PLAYs

    Bason, Clemson gets hit with the "They haven't really played anyone good other than one team" tag, and sometimes that is a valid point, but on the other hand - you can only beat whoever is on your schedule. Like you said, the Indy game has to be factored heavily. Ohio St hasn't faced an elite...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Bowl Systems (Play #1 below is not the Play #1 used during the regular system.) Play #/detail of what it's based on/record/%/years tracked and logged into my notebooks. Play #1: SOS (Strength of schedule) differential of X, 41-37, 52%, 13 years (La Laff, Tenn, Miss St, Georgia, Kentucky) Play...
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    College Hoops 2020

    Recap: Won with the > 13 play as Gonzaga stayed Under by 19. Record: 11-13 Correction on the record of the play I'm using, yesterday's #'s were wrong. 45-45, Ov 26-24, Un 19-21 *Ov 17-15, Un 8-12 > Ov 7-2, Un 4-2 The main play is at .500, no value, can't play ON, can't fade. * has no value...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Bowls Play #1: Ov in Memphis, Ok St, Ark, N Car. No Unders. I was really interested to see if Unders worked in the bowls, but no fits. New Play: Ov in Nev, Clem Un in BYU, Tex SA, Ok St, Ball St, TCU, Cin, 'Bama, N Car Reminders: 1) Regular season records are irrelevant on these plays...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Recap: Missed with Denver, missed with Balt Un 2nd half when Minshew scored a backdoor TD with a minute and a half left in the game, hit the the KC Over. Record: 17-10, +$580.00 Play #1 crapped out at 0-2, for the season it's 22-12, Ov 11-5, Un 11-7. Anyone buying these (and why not at 22-10...
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    College Hoops 2020

    Coach - the game was taken off the board, not sure why - they played. Counts as a loss though. I was going to shut it down at 3-2 and close the week with a small win, but no need to be too conservative, I have a lot of games left this season and I had two I liked. Dropped both though, 3-4 on...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Recap: I need Over 40. I go into OT tied at 17-17. Easy winner, right? No. Minnesota misses their FG and the game lands on 37. My fault - the game was exactly the kind of shit-show I expected it to be. Not a confident pick. It was an ugly weekend, both systems kicked out more losers than...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Buys: NO/KC Ov 46' second half of open teaser Jags/Ravens Un 21' second half
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    College Hoops 2020

    Recap: Missed with Portland, 3-3 on the week, here's the tiebreaker... Buy: Wisc/Wisc Phnx Over 139 (wait a little bit to buy, it'll get to 139, it's 139' now and dropping. Buy at 139' if it doesn't drop. This is the same spot I used with N Dak the other day, it's also 13 > my #.
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Recap: "It shows up 3-4 times each year. It wins approx. 67%. It's already 3-0 this year." The law of averages collected it's due yesterdayas Denver couldn't cover even with the teaser. Not wasting the open end of the Philly teaser I won last week was the right move. Record: 16-9, + $590.00...
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    College Hoops 2020

    Updates. Add a * to Cleve St. I just re-ran the numbers and we have an added game, Ov * Miss/Dayton I'm re-running the 12 o clock and 1 o clock games now, I'll update if anything qualifies. Update, added spots: Ov in S Miss, Delaware Un in Temple With the Over coming in on Zaga/Iowa, the...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Thanks for the suggestions guys, I'm going to play some of those in my pocket. Closing out the teaser, for my buy, I'm going to go back to what works for me last night, using the Big Ten, and take the Wisconsin game teased down to 40. Buys: Minn/Wisc Ov 40, open half of teaser.
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    College Hoops 2020

    Recap: Won 2 of 3 last night, only a bad buy kept me from a perfect 3-0. N Dak Under was easy all the way. Over 130 in Nevada was at a pace for 145 + throughout most of the game. With four minutes left they were at 127. No problem, right? Four minutes to get four points, easy right? Wrong...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Recap: Hit the open parlay with Over 45 in the game between Nebraska (home-state of Penny from Big Bang) and Rutgers in Piscataway (my hometown.) Rutgers has no passing game so I didn't trust them to do their part in getting me over the 52, and the teaser was the right move as it landed on 47...
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    College Hoops 2020

    Going to try something different here, N Dak Un 137. Last four times teams played each other B2B (Radford, Sacred Heart, Bryant, St Francis) the totals swapped, if game one was Over, game two went Under, if game one went Under game two went Over. N Dak & S Ill went Over yesterday. Nothing...
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