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  1. R

    NFL Buys for 2020

    I don't like much on today's card so I'm going to close out the teaser from last week. Have two spots to choose from in Play #1 (record above), I'm going to use the Chi/GB game. A check of the weather report shows nothing to be concerned about. The number is sitting at 44 all across the board...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Recap: Hell of a 2-1 day yesterday. With a 28-point first quarter it looked like N Dame/NC might be over by halftime, but NC only scored three points the rest of the way and the game stayed under by 21 points. And could a game end more perfectly than Stanford/Cal? Getting +2 with Cal, Cal down...
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    BASON's PLAYs

    "I have no idea what Tom Herman is doing. " Bason, I commented on the same thing. You could make an argument for going for it on 4th down. I wouldn't have done it, and I said it was a moronic move based on the score, the time left in the game, and the previous two plays in the series, but I...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Thanks, Coach, hope you had a nice Thanksgiving, too. New Play (records in Post #84): Overs in Iowa St/Tex, G South/ G St, SMU/E Car, B Green/Ohio, Mia-Oh/Akron, K St/Baylor, TCU/Kansas Unders in N Dame/N Car, Ohio St/Ill, Kent St/Buf, Auburn/'Bama, Rutgers/Purdue Still 'capping the full...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Recap: Got a W with the first half of a teaser, using Denver. And, just like the first time this system popped up this year, I teased it but didn't need to. I'm going to be extra careful selecting a spot for the second part of this tease, don't want to waste a unit I should have banked. Record...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Post below contains updated accounting and records. Recap: Hit my buy, App St/CC Ov. Record: 32-23, + $760 Audit: Did a full double check/accounting, found a few errors, factored in juice, corrected record above. Errors were usually when I did a Monday morning recap of Saturday play and...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Yes, Coach, it still fits. Unlike the New Play I've been posting in the college thread, line changes from the books or the numbers that I make on a game have no effect. This is a play based on how any team performs ATS in this particular situation, regardless of lines or injuries. Looking at...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Thanks Coach. Yeah, the TD that turned out to be a fumble at the goal line had me cursing out the TV. The Over was definitely closer than the final score showed, had to sweat it out a little bit but we got the W. I've talked about "flow" here before, meaning there's a flow to life, when things...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Update: Doing my Saturday morning double check on the new system, not finished yet but adding App State/Coastal now because the line is jumping. There are a couple 46', 47, 47', and 48. I bought Ov 47. Back when I'm done with the updates. Buys: App St/CC OV 47 Update: 47 are all gone now...
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    Movies I have watched since being quarantined

    Listen. Obey. Conform. And of course, the classic: "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass. And I'm all out of bubblegum."
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Finished 'capping New System. Overs in E Car/Temp, Ore St/Cal, Iowa St/ K St, Wash/Az Unders in UCLA/Ore, USC/Utah, Wash St/Stan. Temple was in an Over twice, 1-1. E Car was in an Over and lost. At a combined 1-2 for these teams in this play, I don't like this spot at all. Wash and Ore St...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Update: For the first time this season nothing fits for Play #1. Ran the numbers twice, just to be sure. Disappointing, as it's been doing well and I was hoping to use something from it as the other half of my teaser with Denver. As for Denver, Drew Lock is still listed as questionable, the...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Finished 'capping Play #1 for the week. After an explosion of plays each of the last two weeks, the system kicked out a more normal number of games. Play #1: Overs in Geo South/Army, App St/Coastal, Mich St/Maryland, S Diego St/Nev, Miss St/Georgia, Az/Wash Unders in Syr/Louisville, Clem/Fla...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Roman, thanks for posting, and yes, I 'll keep 'capping and sharing here all season long. Of the 18 Unders in the New Play (gotta get a better name for it) I have played every one except the first five. It was 4-0 when I found it while running games through various scenarios. The fifth spot...
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    TRAP GAME ?

    Thanks, Jord. This is why I lobby for more people to participate: With all the good info being exchanged as we dissected this game, none of us mentioned an angle that came into play late in the game - what the announcers called "making a statement," and "sending a message." I wasn't surprised...
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    NFL Buys for 2020

    Recap - Got a W with Jags/GB Un. Doing a mid-week early buy at 52 saved a full 5 points as the game closed at 47. In the end, didn't need the extra pts as the game landed on 44, but it's always good to know the right call was made on when to buy, and though the pts weren't needed it was good to...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Replies, Recap, Records, Review, and Rejoicing: Replies: Samson, thank you, and you're welcome. Continued success to you also. Tenpin, thanks for stopping by. With the Tue play on Akron and FAU Friday, it was an 8-1 week for the New Play going into the final spot, Ore St/Wash Over. And that...
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    College Football buys for 2020

    Being dead honest, I find myself a little too "wordy." Thankfully I'm a good editor or my posts would be just as long and boring as War and Peace. Thanks for stopping by. Recap: Got a W with FAU Over. I just re-ran the numbers for the New Play. Due to changes in the lines available and my...
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    CfB 2020-21 Year of Change

    Great season, congrats and continued success to you. I'll ride the Over with you, thanks.
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    TRAP GAME ?

    Arrow, Good point on UCF, with only Temple and Tulsa left on their schedule, UCF is their toughest spot. It's something to factor in. To me, wagering is like chess - I try to see all the angles before making a move/wagering. Right now, UCF is 4-2, not ranked Top 20. Last year, UCF was 3-1...
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