08/15/05

[danmurphy jr]

Calder Race Course9:50 PST)
1st #1 Fabulous Guy 3/1 ---PLACE $3.80-2.60
6th #6 Gin Rummy King 4/1 ---PLACE $5.60-4.20
7th #6 Vigorous Guy 8/5 WIN $3.00-2.10-.10

Saratoga: (10:00 PST)
1st #9 Seattle Borders 3/1 --- SCRATCH
2nd #1-1A Entry 8/5 --- OUT
6th #7 Sir Galatyn 7/2 --- OUT
8th #1-1A Entry 6/1 ---OUT

Win 2 - Place 3 - Show 0 - Out 4 - Scratch 1

adding in:
Del Mar: (2:00)(PST)
1st #6 Giovanetti 5/2 --- OUT
4th #1 Yes I'm Tricky 5/2 --- PLACE $4.00-3.20
5th #4 Highest Honoree - Chalk --- WON $3.20-2.20-.10

 

[raypedro322]

danmurphyjr

danmurphyjr

You are excellent at horses. I just got into this past week. I was up in saratoga. I loved seattle borders today too, got scratched. Anyways, how long have you been doing this. Do you ever play exactas or anything like that? Thanks, Ray

 

[danmurphy jr]

Thanks Ray,
Question :
1/ A long time
2/ No Exotics
3/ My brother in law a European(English) horseplayer- handicapper who plays in pay racing contests all over the world. Recently, I started to do various tracks in the US for them.
4/ I use Speed-Form-Connection angles to get winners which classifies me as a short price capper.
5/ Don't have access to tips-most tips I've gotten directly from the horse, have come from the wrong end.
Thanks again Ray. Do you live upstate?

 

[raypedro322]

dan

dan

no, i live in Connecitcut, about 2 1/2 hours from the track. do you ever have higher priced horses. what do you usually wager. w,p,s on that 1 horse?

 

[danmurphy jr]

If you go back through a few weeks of posts, there have been some double digit pays and a couple of $50-60 winners. However, form is form. Many horses 4-5-6/1 have fit but get bet down by people who use the same or similar figures.
I rarely wager but Euros consider a $2.40 show as a 20% return on their money, go figure. About once a month, a horse will be so far above the field that if he fell down in the stretch he could get up, dust off and win by 3. He would be worth 2-300 but otherwise, no.
My contribution to this thread is to provide a more informational look than anything else. That's why nobody yells at me.

 

[raypedro322]

dan

dan

do you make a living doing this or do you just do it for side money and a hobby? would you say you avg. making 1000 per month at this? thanks, Ray

 

[danmurphy jr]

1/ hobby
2/ $4-600 Net

 

[raypedro322]

dan

dan

you net 4-600 per month? how much do you risk? do you play it as win, place, and show all on the same horse?

 

[Dogfish]

dan,if you are neting a profit your posted plays do not show it over the course of a month or meet?at the prices you are playing you need a incredible win % maybe as high as 65% or more?not possible!that cant lose horse can have physical problems,or prepping for a bigger race.in the long run one will go broke betting horses under even money,nothing but a s low drain...with that said your plays have some value to a person poping in once in a while but playing every day every play no.also may be great in the second slot in exotics,and have seen a winner up to $50 as you mentioned.guess my point is to raypedro or anyone please follow a horse capper here before betting blindly. find a way to maybe use ther picks along with your own.horses make sports betting look easy,with juice up to 20% or more theres no easy money.just my opinion dan, no disrespect intended wound certainly like to here your thoughts.