1,000,00 Pick 6 @ HOL

Another Steve

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Jul 7, 2002
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Read yesterday that Hollywood will have a 1,000,000 pick 6 today. I will be at The Great Lone Star Park and would like some picks for Hollywood.
 

Penguinfan

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Thats a tough pick-6 to play. I think they only take $2 wagers on that, so it's real hard to go more than 3 or 4 horses deep in too many races. Let me see what I can find though, be back in a few.......

Penguinfan

OK, I believe this starts in the fifth race, in which I haven't got a clue who is gonna win, 1,2,4,10

In the sixth a live longshot is the 4, strong turf to dirt angle and a solid jock in Nakatani, I don't care much for the ML favorite #1, but second ML choice #5 looks good.
race #6 using 4,5.

Can probably single the 1 in the 7th race, but if you got deep enough pockets to go 2 or 3 deep each race then 4,7 also.

8th race is another potential to single a horse with the 10 although the post position is a disadvantage, 2,5 also.

9th race (4th leg) using the 2 and 3, nothing else.

10th race2,3, outside shot with the 10

So a real quick glance at all the races gives you this ticket
1,2,4,10
4,5
1,4,7
2,5,10
2,3
2,3

This ticket will run you $576.00 for a $2 bet Kinda alot for a bet that is a total longshot and you may be tearing up after the first race. If you single the 1 in the 7th and the 10 in the 8th then you gotta shell out $64, but your really counting on nailing a couple races. Good luck in any event.

Penguinfan
 
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Penguinfan

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I really think a pick-6 offers value, but here is a good example of why it's so hard to play them, had 4 out of 6 winners and would have got nothing for it on a $576.00 ticket. Had I used that 1 horse in the 6th race and hit the 5 out of 6 payoff it would still have been a loss of $259.60.

I play pick-3's a bit, but a pick 6 score is out of my range for now. Would like to hear ideas on how you guys play this wager.

Penguinfan
 

Penguinfan

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Wow, looking over the chart for yesterdays results I think I would be truly sick if I had played this ticket. Obviously I said I didn't like the 1 in the 6th race, but he was the favorite and in the 9th race my selections ran second and third by a neck and and a half length, so again a favorite beats me by a length and a half and then lose another race by a neck, so less than 2 lengths total from hitting the pick 6 and in return would have got NOTHING. Tough nut to crack in my opinion.

Penguinfan
 
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