Phoenix vs. MILWAUKEE under 215 -110 (110/100)
When these teams played a couple of weeks ago, they combined for 236 points. In addition, the Bucks have given up 112.5 PPG over their last two while the Suns have scored 115.5 PPG over their last two. So why the sudden reversal? A few reasons.
First of all, the Bucks are giving up a very high percentage to the opposition right now. That's 47.1% for the Hornets and an amazing 54.4% to the Warriors. In addition, the Suns shot a ridiculous 57.0% the last time these two teams played. Even though the Bucks' defense is bad, it is very hard to shoot that well in the NBA. It is very likely that the Suns won't be able to replicate that type of shooting, especially against a team that is likely to focus on defense after giving up so many points recently.
A more important reason to favor the under here is that the Bucks have been playing at a relatively slow pace recently. Only the Hornets, who not coincidentally got 17 offensive rebounds, managed to get off 80 shots against the Bucks. Even if we stipulate that the Suns are likely to push the ball more than other teams, it is just going to be tough for the Suns to reach around 110 points with only 80 or so shots going up.
The last thing to note here is the blowout factor. The Suns are starting a long road trip and they surely would love to blowout a weak opponent in advance of their string of road games to come. If they do put up a big lead, I'd expect them to let their starters rest and possibly even make the game shorter by using more time on each possession.
GL tonight.
When these teams played a couple of weeks ago, they combined for 236 points. In addition, the Bucks have given up 112.5 PPG over their last two while the Suns have scored 115.5 PPG over their last two. So why the sudden reversal? A few reasons.
First of all, the Bucks are giving up a very high percentage to the opposition right now. That's 47.1% for the Hornets and an amazing 54.4% to the Warriors. In addition, the Suns shot a ridiculous 57.0% the last time these two teams played. Even though the Bucks' defense is bad, it is very hard to shoot that well in the NBA. It is very likely that the Suns won't be able to replicate that type of shooting, especially against a team that is likely to focus on defense after giving up so many points recently.
A more important reason to favor the under here is that the Bucks have been playing at a relatively slow pace recently. Only the Hornets, who not coincidentally got 17 offensive rebounds, managed to get off 80 shots against the Bucks. Even if we stipulate that the Suns are likely to push the ball more than other teams, it is just going to be tough for the Suns to reach around 110 points with only 80 or so shots going up.
The last thing to note here is the blowout factor. The Suns are starting a long road trip and they surely would love to blowout a weak opponent in advance of their string of road games to come. If they do put up a big lead, I'd expect them to let their starters rest and possibly even make the game shorter by using more time on each possession.
GL tonight.
