#1 defense?

[canuckfan77]

San fran has #1 D.

Saints don't score on the road like they do at home.

Saints have 1 playoff win on the road.


Questions are... why is the total 46?

How can anyone in their right mind Not take the 49ers @ home getting more than a field goal, and the under with the #1 D?

I know vegas doesn't give away money and the lines are usually pretty sharp.

So am I out thinking myself here? Is the line a mind fuck?

Without seeing the betting %'s I'm seriously leaning Saints and the over :shrug:

 

[canuckfan77]

Secondary thoughts....

9ers seriously overachieved this year. I mean that is one weak ass division and it wouldn't have been too much of a stretch to take them as the winners but I mean NOBODY could have predicted that record.

I think with that football program advancing by leaps and bounds maybe, just maybe they're not ready for the pressure of the playoffs.

The SF will not win kicking field goals, they will have to put some majors on the board. If they fall behind and Alex smith has to air it out, what happens? I know the Saints defense blows chunks, but is the real Alex Smith the Alex Smith of 2011 or is he what we've seen prior?

I keep going to what we've keep hearing. #1 D, Brees (Saints) can't win on the road. If the Saint's can't win on the road, why isn't SF favored @home with the #1 D. If Brees can't score on the road, why the hell is the total so high?

I see the total is currently 46.5...

This shit gives me a headache, and probably why tail good cappers :sadwave:

Any way, please leave your opinion and please forgive my half drunk ramblings.

 

[cash]

Secondary thoughts....

9ers seriously overachieved this year. I mean that is one weak ass division and it wouldn't have been too much of a stretch to take them as the winners but I mean NOBODY could have predicted that record.

I think with that football program advancing by leaps and bounds maybe, just maybe they're not ready for the pressure of the playoffs.

The SF will not win kicking field goals, they will have to put some majors on the board. If they fall behind and Alex smith has to air it out, what happens? I know the Saints defense blows chunks, but is the real Alex Smith the Alex Smith of 2011 or is he what we've seen prior?

I keep going to what we've keep hearing. #1 D, Brees (Saints) can't win on the road. If the Saint's can't win on the road, why isn't SF favored @home with the #1 D. If Brees can't score on the road, why the hell is the total so high?

I see the total is currently 46.5...

This shit gives me a headache, and probably why tail good cappers :sadwave:

Any way, please leave your opinion and please forgive my half drunk ramblings.

I anticipate SF being able to run the ball successfully.I do not think this game will be a
field position type game like the 49ers are comfortable
with.SF needs to DOMINATE time of possession by
running with a 3 to 1 ratio. They can win with 3 (7 or
8 minute drives). Gore will have to go for 130 +
in order for success.Look for the NO defense to be
very vulnerable late in the game , unable to get off the field. If you handicap the battle for line of scrimmage then I think the value lies with home dog
and under. Vegas line reflects the public who have
gotten flush backing NO and over all year.TRAP

btw: The Canucks need to make Luongo the backup
asap

 

[canuckfan77]

So I completely talked myself out of the over :facepalm: and took saints -3 instead :banghead:

 

[Got5onIt]

Dont feel bad, I had Pats & over on my betting card but got sidetracked by my kids and missed the cutoff by a less than a minute. :facepalm:

 

[canuckfan77]

That sucks man, been there.