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golfnut16

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Jord,

Think I asked you before but do you track how you do in prime time games? Thurs, Sun and Monday games? You know I follow a lot of your plays but feel like overall you struggle with prime time plays.


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sleybon

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Second half total is 31. Unreal. People just pouring on the over. 17-14 halftime score . Final has to be 38-30 right? I?ll bet no.
 

Jord20

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Jord,

Think I asked you before but do you track how you do in prime time games? Thurs, Sun and Monday games? You know I follow a lot of your plays but feel like overall you struggle with prime time plays.


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I used to diligently track this, and all other situations possible. It was super insightful. But, I stopped using it over the past couple years, and started tracking only at the end of the seasons. I never even tallied last season, and I haven't done this season yet either.

That being said, the data used to show that I did slightly worse in primetime games. I think for obvious reasons - just a forced focus on an otherwise uninteresting (from a betting perspective) game. Like most things, I saw huge variance with supremely good and bad runs. At this point, I'm pretty much playing it, it's just how little I can play when it's not a game I actually have strong feelings about.

That is the high level narrative...
 

Jord20

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Second half total is 31. Unreal. People just pouring on the over. 17-14 halftime score . Final has to be 38-30 right? I?ll bet no.

Not feeling great about it either way. I got in a bunch at under 66 - so I'm sticking with those. I really think the Chiefs dominate the 2h and feel good about the -6.5
 

sleybon

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I was shocked it got up that high. I guess people watched the first qtr and thought it?d get to 100.I unfortunately started betting at 60.5, 62 but Also got 66.
 

Jord20

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I was shocked it got up that high. I guess people watched the first qtr and thought it?d get to 100.I unfortunately started betting at 60.5, 62 but Also got 66.

I was shocked I was able to wait, frankly. But I think you will be good on all of those
 

golfnut16

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I used to diligently track this, and all other situations possible. It was super insightful. But, I stopped using it over the past couple years, and started tracking only at the end of the seasons. I never even tallied last season, and I haven't done this season yet either.

That being said, the data used to show that I did slightly worse in primetime games. I think for obvious reasons - just a forced focus on an otherwise uninteresting (from a betting perspective) game. Like most things, I saw huge variance with supremely good and bad runs. At this point, I'm pretty much playing it, it's just how little I can play when it's not a game I actually have strong feelings about.

That is the high level narrative...

Makes sense. Degening at its finest!! Haha. . Thanks for reply.. Let?s get this. Need a few Chiefs stops on D and we can get both.


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sleybon

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I was shocked I was able to wait, frankly. But I think you will be good on all of those

The game has def slowed like we both thought . Gotta average up/down sometimes. It?s a risky game to play but it?s usually where the edge is. KC looks strong though
 

Jord20

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Eh, had chances to get most of the money. Crazy game. I ended up slamming some Chiefs ML in the last 6 minutes. Wasn?t great live trading there. But for a bit lucky in the end. Weird game, minimized the damage a bit with 2h and ml. And one tiny piece of 66.5 hit. My 66 pushed a bit gross, but that?s where my ML hit sooo.

The live game is a whole nother level lol.

See you tomorrow, boys


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Jord20

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Back to 4, and I pounced...

Bucs -4/3 8/5
Under 48/23.5 4/3


Definitely going to be trading this one live... if Rams go up early, will look for Bucs a lot more at pk. If Bucs go up, 2H will still be nice, because I don't think they will relent, and the Rams aren't really meant to come back

Rams have one decent win all year, against a way overrated Seattle team at home and off of a bye. The Bucs got destroyed on primetime a couple weeks ago... they turn that the other way tonight.
 

namja

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Rams have one decent win all year, against a way overrated Seattle team at home and off of a bye
4 of their 6 wins are against the NFC East. Their other win is against my Bears who is the worst 5-5 team in the league (ok, they're the only 5-5 team in the league, but what I meant was that they're the worst team with a .500 record or better). So yeah, Seattle is their only quality win.

TB -4 it is.
 

Jord20

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4 of their 6 wins are against the NFC East. Their other win is against my Bears who is the worst 5-5 team in the league (ok, they're the only 5-5 team in the league, but what I meant was that they're the worst team with a .500 record or better). So yeah, Seattle is their only quality win.

TB -4 it is.

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