17 pt system (More Detail)

[pghpounder]

I went back and tracked the stats in more detail...Here is what I came up with.

A couple side notes first:

I didn't count if a team qualified and then played another qualifying team the following week...For example week 10(Nyg and Phil played each other and both of them should have been played against).

I also carried the teams over to the following week if they had a bye week...For example in week 4 Mia had a bye week and they would of been a play against team, so I carried them over and played against them in week 5)

I also did not include St. Louis, Seattle, or Detroit in these stats because they stink and numerous times they lost by 17 or more.


If you played against the teams that won by 17 or more you would be 19-12 ats. (61%)

If you played on teams that lost by 17 or more you would be 21-5 (81%)

*The numbers are not the same because if you remember what I said I didn't include Sea, Stl, or Det (they lost by 17 or more numerous times) or when teams played against each other.


**Double qualifiers like this past week with Arizona and San Fran are a perfect 6-0 Ytd.:00hour

***Another interesting trend was teams whether you were going to play on them or against them if they were going into the bye the system did not work for them...For example Week 3 Miami beat Ne 38-13...So week 4 you would play against Mia and play on Ne...Week 4 Miami had a bye so you would carry them to week 5. In week 5 Miami won and covered which was a lose for the system. If you carried the teams whether you were playing against them or on them their ats record would of been 2-5 ...This week Dallas and Washington fit this situation because they would of been a play on in week 10 if you were carrying them from week 9 but they had a bye in week 10 so they would be a play in week 11 but I wouldn't advise playing them just for system purposes.

Hope this helps and we can use this from here on out.

This week the play against are:
Jax (beat Det by 24), Play on TEN
Bal (beat Hou by 28) Play on NYG
Nyj (beat Stl by 44) Play on NE

This week the play ons are:
Play on Hou (Lost by 28 to Bal)

GL

 

[kenman]

double qualifiers are 5-1... you must have skipped the IND/TEN on WK8...IND is the DQ play that lost.

WK7 IND lost to GB 34-14
WK7 TEN beat KC 34-10
WK8 IND at TEN-4

correct me if I am wrong.

 

[jer-z jock]

the Dallas/Washington game eliminates itself....they both lost by 17+ so there's no fade or follow team in that game due to the fact they both won or in this case loss in the same fashion...on top of the fact Dallas was on bye lastweek. If I am wrong I alologize for clogging the thread.

 

[pghpounder]

double qualifiers are 5-1... you must have skipped the IND/TEN on WK8...IND is the DQ play that lost.

WK7 IND lost to GB 34-14
WK7 TEN beat KC 34-10
WK8 IND at TEN-4

correct me if I am wrong.

I think I missed that one Kenman...Thanks!

Here is what I have for the double qualifiers.

Week 2 Pit vs Cleve.....W
Week 3 Cin vs Nyg......W
Week 5 Buf vs Az........W
Week 7 Sd vs Buf........W
Week 7 NO vs Car........W
Week 10 Sf vs Az.........W

So there must have been 7 of them and I missed the Ten vs. Ind which lost...

It gets a little confusing looking at all of them...Sorry about that.
The double qualifier record is 6-1

If I missed anything else please let me know (let us all know).

Thanks!

 

[pghpounder]

the Dallas/Washington game eliminates itself....they both lost by 17+ so there's no fade or follow team in that game due to the fact they both won or in this case loss in the same fashion...on top of the fact Dallas was on bye lastweek. If I am wrong I alologize for clogging the thread.

No apology necessary....You are correct....I didn't even realize they were playing each other. They would eliminate each other since they play against each other.

Thanks Jer-z-jock!

 

[kenman]

Nice work phgpounder, I not busting on you but you missed another one...

WK 3 Hou at Ten - Lost

here this link to a sportdatabase list all you needs to know. Hope I can post link here...

http://sportsdatabase.com/nfl.py/qu...+and+(2008,1)<=(season,week)+&=1&submit=query

glta

 

[KING-MONEY]

Don't try and put to much information is this system it is what it is. The main thing is you play on a team that lost by 17 points the previous week and they are a UNDERDOG the week you are playing on them. You also play against teams that won by 17 and are FAVORED the following week. This system is designed do to line inflation the following week and that is it. Don't make it more than it really is.