2007 World Series

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Red Sox lead series 1-0

Red Sox lead series 1-0

Game #2

Jimenez @ Schilling

Red Sox 56% (-179)-9
rockies 44% (+171)+7

under 10 60% (+100)+10 --Diaz is a good under-ump including 26-46 the past 2 seasons with a huge K% for the 2007 season (64.31%)


I'm giving a small edge to the Rockies pitching and a small edge to the Red Sox hitting. Bosox get a home-field advantage and some mojo due to their game #1 performance.

This will be Jimenez' first appearance against the Red Sox. In 6 road starts this year he went 1-1 with a 5.01 era; his BAA was quite respectable (.221) but he allowed 5 homers in 32.1 innings pitched and walked 4.4 batters per 9 innings pitched. Over his last 3 regular season starts on the road, from August 31st to the the end of the season, he had a 5.40 era despite solid games against the D'Backs and the Phillies?it was his final road start, at the Dodgers, where most of the damage occurred. He allowed 7 homers over his final 7 starts, spanning just 37.1 innings, which may be cause for concern facing the 'Sox at Fenway. Ubaldo's K/BB ratio of 1.84 is also a bit of a turn off for Rockies backers; command of the strike zone will be his greatest challenge as his walking ways continued into the playoffs. In 2 very solid postseason starts, Jimenez owns a 1.59 era and a .200 BAA; he's worked fairly short outtings (11.1 IP combined) but only gave up a single run each time out. He allowed one homer to switch-hitter Victorino of the Phillies. He also struck out 11 men but his 8 walks produced a K/BB ratio of only 1.37. He threw 95 then 94 pitches in those starts?obviously several deep counts with all the walks he gave up?and the Bosox likely tactic will be to take a lot of pitches in order to both reach base as well as to get him out of the game; Rox pen will need a solid effort if they have any chance of winning. Rockies beat the Phillies 2-1 then won at Arizona 3-2, so Jimenez has been great for under players so far in these playoffs. Rockies middle relief has been performing better than their regular season numbers while closer Corpas sports a beauty 1.08 era and .156 BAA so far in these playoffs (7 games, 8.2 IP, 5 saves in 6 chances).

Schilling faced the Rockies once this season back in June at Fenway and was roughed up for 6 runs (5 earned) on 9 hits in only 5 innings of work; he did only walk one while striking out 5, but Atkins and Torrealba doubled off him while Hawpe homered; Holliday and Matsui had a pair of hits each while Tulowitzki went 1-for-2 and Tavares went 1-for-3 as the Rockies hit .375 as a team off of him. In his career againt the Rockies he is 11-6 with a 4.44 era?those numbers are much worse during his starts at Coors. His career numbers vs the Rox are mostly against quite different teams as most of the current roster has seen very little of him; 2 current starters have seen him more often?Helton is 18-for-54 (.333) with 6 doubles and 5 homers, while Torrealba is 6-for-12 with 3 doubles off him. At home this season Curt went 4-3 with a 4.06 era and a rather high .285 BAA; his K/BB ratio at home was great at 5.08 but he did allow 1.3 homers per 9 pitched. Schilling finished the season with 4 straight home starts and was very good in 2 of them and decent in the other 2, though the Bosox only went 1-3 over those games. He walked only 2 and struck out 15 over those 4 starts, but he did surrender 3 homers over the final 2 starts (13.2 IP). In the playoffs, Curt has tossed 2 outstanding games (road then home) with a stinker (home) mixed in between them. His 3.38 era is solid as was his 1 walk compared to 12 punchouts, but opposing hitters are batting .280 against him in these playoffs with 3 homers for his 18.2 IP. He has clearly been all over the strike zone but opposing batters haven't had that much trouble hitting him. It's difficult to say what to expect as his first playoff start?7 shutout innings?was against a badly fading Angels club while his last playoff start?a 12-2 win over the Indians?was against a club that sorta seemed to dissolve after returning to Fenway. His career playoff history is excellent but a stacked lineup just might be able to take advantage of his aging fastball. Red Sox have a few reliable middle relievers and an outstanding closer in Papelbon.

---all of the following numbers exclude Wednesday's game

Rockies .798 OPS vs R regular season (RS)
Red Sox .808 OPS vs R RS

Rockies .730 OPS on the road RS
Red Sox .844 OPS at home RS

Rockies .716 OPS this postseason in 7 games (batting .242)
--on the road in these playoffs the Rockies have scored 4 (Hamels),10 (Kendrick),5 (Webb) then 3 (D.Davis)?average is 5.5
Red Sox .901 OPS this postseason in 10 games (batting .304)
--at home in these playoffs the Red Sox have scored 4 (Lackey), 6 (Escobar), 10 (Sabathia), 6 (Carmona), 12 (Carmona) then 11 (Westbrook)?average is 8.17

Rockies .627 OPS NLCS (batting .222)
Red Sox .916 OPS ALCS (batting .318)

Rockies 31-30 on the road to R RS
Red Sox 39-22 at home to R RS
Rockies 2-0 on the road to R postseason (Kendrick then Webb)
Red Sox 4-1 at home to R postseason (W vs Lackey then Escobar, L vs Carmona, then W vs Carmona then Westbrook)

Humble pie. Not much else consumed by yours truly after yesterday's no contest. I had said earlier that I wouldn't go against Beckett, but I thought that we might actually see a ballgame yesterday instead of whatever the hell that was. Toyed with them. No contest. Makes this post a little more difficult for me to complete?right call with the 'Sox but nowhere to be found on my plays.:com:

Jimenez may give the Rockies a shot today. Crucial for his start is a favorable umpire?favorable in the sense that he has had a huge strike zone this season so Ubaldo's biggest weakness?the base on balls?may be kept down a little. 'Sox are still likely to show extreme patience as I think that they'll have a hard time early with Jimenez and they'll be anxious to get him out of the game. The way the 'Sox bats are performing of late I don't know how smart it is to fade them here. Schilling may very well take some lumps as he is nowhere near the pitcher that he once was. Still?the Rockies swung at some very bad pitches on Wednesday and really haven't produced that much so far in the playoffs. I wouldn't go as far as saying that this game IS the series for the Rockies, but if they drop it then they are likely toast?I think that Jimenez has the best stuff out of any Rockies hurler and if he gets beaten like an animal then I won't be backing the Rockies at Coors?I'm not crazy about either Fogg or Cook so my last chance for playoff glory might be to steal a victory with the kid over the (previous) playoff king. I need to consider this matter a little bit more; I've got time as the lines are already moving on this one, with (no surprise) money moving the 'Sox line steeper. Jimenez has the better stuff, at this stage of their careers, and the ump should help him. This seems to be all the Rockies have going for them going into Thursday as the sticks appear to be better in Boston?sigh?like most, probably, I'm currently tempted to write off the Rockiesticks, but I've got to remember who they were facing, the fact they had a long layoff, and the fact that they still have a very potent lineup?mind you, as soon as I saw that Hurdle decided to use Spilborghs as the DH (instead of the better choice, in my mind, Smith or Sullivan) I became a little turned off. Going to post this and then try to decide if I should be done with baseball for the year. I've still got that Rockies Series play so I should consider that as well. Right now I have no clue what to expect for tomorrow, so?


Predicted score: 4-4 going into extra innings:shrug:


Plays pending.

GL

P.S.
I'm trying the under. Looks to be the best play for Thursday.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

another option

another option

game #2

rockies +1.5 60% (+100)+10


Same probability and value indicator as the under that I played. A little more appealing than the Rox moneyline as a lower-scoring game gives a better chance of a 1-run game. 'Course...I'd still like to see a Rockies win for my series play. Not anxious to see new series prices, as I'm expecting the Rockies to be around +300.

Do the Rockies still have a chance?

They certainly do if they win today. Obviously.
If they lose today then they still have a shot in game #3 and game #4; I think they can beat Dice-K and/or Lester at Coors. Beckett is 3-0 in 4 starts at Coors with an era under 4, which is very good for Coors, especially pre-Humidor which is when Beckett was pitching there. I actually think that if the Rockies win games #2 and #3, Francona might use Beckett in game #4. Might not be a bad idea (I almost played Beckett for Series MVP at an opener of +700--closed at less than +500--but decided not to cover my Rox plays that way...oops?). Of course, Rockies taking games #2 AND games #3 now seems like quite a longshot the way this series has started.

Jimenez has a great arm and it appears that he'll have a favourable ump calling the pitches for him today. 'Sox are on fire at the plate, though, and that won't die easily. Schilling, too, will take advantage of a generous zone--if we see one--and the combination of his experience and the Rockies offensive slump (even during their playoff run) kind of points to a possible long day for the Rockies hitters.

Best bet still looks to be the under.

I'd like to play the Rockies...at least, I'd like the Rockies to win, but I really don't like the probability that I'm calling such at. Very rarely did I play any side calls at less than 50% and now I'm considering doing it two days in a row? Not very wise. I did the 'cap for game #2 BEFORE I decided to make any plays on the series, so I think I kept an open mind and did a reasonable 'cap, as opposed to letting my bias--my HOPE--influence the call...i.e. make it too LOW for Boston. I got a base 'cap of only 52%--pretty much a coin-tosser--but I raised it by 4% after watching the disaster (for the Rox) that was game #1; that's about the most I've shifted a number all season based on one performance, so I think I'm giving them enough credit for that. I've got Jimenez rated slightly higher than Schilling though the 'Sox pen gets the edge, while I'm giving only a small edge to the Bosox at the plate--maybe I'm shortchanging them there, but I think that the Rockies have the easier task going from facing Beckett to Schilling than the Bosox have going from facing a very ineffective and light-tossing lefty Francis to a fireballing righty in Ubaldo. Rockies lineup should produce more but c'mon Hurdle!...get one of your lefties in there at DH! (give the kid Smith a shot)...Spilborghs average against right-handers is 80 points lower than it is against left-handers.

Just in case my numbers are anything close to reasonable, I need to check out the moneyline option against the runline option.

return on investment breakdown for Rockies longshot
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

moneyline 44% (+171)+7
+1.5 60% (+100)+10

I haven't confirmed what this years results were like, but, in general, 28% of all games are decided by 1 run. I'm giving the Bosox a 56% chance to win the game and a 40% chance to win by 2; that 16% chance for the Bosox 1-run victory is 16/56 or 28.57%; I'm expecting a low-scoring game so that 28% should be raised a bit, but with them playing in a hitter's park at Fenway it should be lowered a bit.

ML 44% (+171)+7

44 x 1.71 = 75.24
56 x -1.....= -56
------------------------------
..................19.24%

Pretty solid. But that 44% probability isn't.

RL 60% (+100)+10

60 x 1. - 60
40 x -1 = -40
-----------------------
..............20%

Not only do I get a higher probability with the runline but I also get a higher ROI. A fractionally greater ROI and a 28.57% reduction in risk.

Not as juicy a payout, but I definitely think that the runline is the better side option.

Will be small, for me, if I'm so bold.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PLAYOFF RECORD

17-11 +15.73
ML 11-2 +16.22
RL 2-3 -0.9
game totals 2-2 +0.15
team totals 1-0 +0.5
parlays 1-2 +0.91
props 0-2 -1.15

system sides 19-6 (76%)
system picks 4-1 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+) (2 of the 4 were doggies)

system totals 7-10
total picks 1-2 (65%+)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I'm alright, Jack. Keep your hands off my stack.

I'm alright, Jack. Keep your hands off my stack.

PLAYS

rockies +1.5 +104 1/1.04

under 10 +100 1/1


I'm not going to mess around with any props today. Hopefully the Rockies can make a series out of this, preferably in an underly fashion. Both of these plays require that Jimenez not get pummelled; such is also required for me to make any more plays for the baseball season, at least as far as Rox risk is concerned.

Not sure where the smart money for this one goes.

Contrarian dubiosity.

GL


Seems that the wrath of the gods got a punch on the nose and it started to flow
I think I might be sinking.

(LZ, Going to California)

 

[dickiesports]

EXTRA

EXTRA

Holy SHIT !

That is my favorite Led Zepplin song and in the oh so many burned out years I never ever bothered to look up the lyrics but always wondered WTF he was singing on that line !!!!!!!!!!

You just made my day !

:00hour

 

[dickiesports]

LZ

LZ

Throw me a line if I reach it in time....

Ill meet you up there where the path

runs straight and high.


GOD WHAT A SONG !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

hey, dickiesports,

I've started a thread in the general discusiion forum--sharing some music picks and asking others to do the same.

check it out for some killer picks

by the middle of November I'll have at least 150 of my own faves listed and there's got to be close to 50 listed by others so far.

Enjoy the ballgame!

 

[Craiger]

we respect the same rhythms Extrapolater * and so agreed with your under play tonight. what a tight match up ! will make a killing on a scratch ticket if this game stays on the lean score.

"We're so sorry .. Uncle Under. We're so sorry if we caused us any gain*

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

quick early thoughts on game #3

quick early thoughts on game #3

Hit both my plays but I'm still dissappointed that the Rockies couldn't pull it off. At least I didn't look as foolish today, taking the +1.5 and all.

I haven't 'capped the game yet. I'll likely wait until tomorrow to finish that.
My early thoughts are that the game will be totally up for grabs--toss a coin. First line I've seen favours the Bosox...Rockies at +135. 43% break-even on +135s so if the Rox have a 50% chance or better then there might be some value on them. I don't have Fogg rated very high. Same with Dice-K. Should be pretty close to even with the starting pitching though I'll give the Bosox the bullpen edge; I don't expect domination from any Rockies reliever at this stage except for maybe closer Corpas. The offenses will be pretty close to even, too, playing this game at Coors; Bosox got chilled out a little in game #2 and the "Dragon Slayer" (Fogg) may be able to keep his team in the game...that is...if the Rockies can hit Dice K, because Fogg sure as hell isn't going to throw a shutout. I'd say that the over 10.5 looks good except for the fact that the Rockies are still not hitting.

I may not touch this game.
I'll have to see what a 'cap gives me, but I'll have a difficult time rating the Rox sticks--they have to be given due credit for the outstanding hitting at Coors but I'll need to penalize them some for their poor production in the playoffs.
Rox home-field advantage is greater than Boston's, too, but I'll be hesitant to post anything more than Rockies maybe at 55%...I'm expecting a low 50's call on them anyways, despite their lackluster performance in the series so far.

Fogg is more of a ground-ball pitcher than Dice is, which is helpful at Coors.

Enough!

I'll have my 'cap up by tomorrow evening.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Red Sox lead series 2-0

Red Sox lead series 2-0

Game #3

Matsuzaka @ Fogg

red sox 56% (-143)-3

over 10 68% (-104)+17 --Barrett is a bit of an under-ump; pena given and the call is still on the over


I'm giving the Bosox a small edge pitching and a larger edge at the plate. Rox home-field lowers the call somewhat.

Dice has never faced the Rockies before; that may very well work in his favour. On the road this season he was 7-8 with a 4.02 era. After 2 crappy starts to begin the playoffs, he was much better in his last vs the Indians, though even in that game he gave up 6 hits and 2 earnies in 5 innings of work. His era in the playoffs is 5.65 while opponent's are hitting .306 against him. He has walked 5 and struck out 12 in 14.1 IP, allowing just a single home run to left-handed hitting Kenny Lofton on the road. Bosox pen is the better of the two left in the playoffs and, depending on how this series finishes, closer Papelbon might be in the running for Series MVP.

Fogg faced Boston once this season at Fenway Park back in June, holding the 'Sox to 2 earnies through his 5 innings pitched; 'Sox did hit .318 off him that day and he surrendured a home run to Mike Lowell but still got the W in a 12-2 Rockies win. He had faced the 'Sox once before, back in '05 while with the Pirates, and took a no decision despite allowing 5 earnies over his 7 innings of work; the 'Sox hit .286 off of him that day. At Coors this season he was 5-4 with a 5.97 era, opponent's hitting a lofty .320 off him there. Fogg's first playoff appearance was a 2-inning relief stint against the Phillies where he got the W while allowing no runs on 1 hit. He started against 'Zona in game #3 of that series and picked up the W in a 4-1 victory while allowing 7 hits and 1 walk while striking out 3 over 6 innings of work; right-hander Mark Reynolds touched Fogg for a solo homer in that one. His era for the playoffs is (somehow) 1.13 while opponent's are hitting .276 off him. Rockies bullpen will get to relax a little at home and may perform better than they have so far in this series; they were horrible in game #1 and, in my opinion, they were lucky to have survived game #2 with no damage. Closer Corpas is the best arm of the bunch.

Red Sox .808 OPS vs R regular season (RS)
Rockies .798 OPS vs R RS

Red Sox .768 OPS on the road RS
Rockies .853 OPS at home RS

Red Sox .912 OPS postseason (batting .309 with a homer every 25.25 ABs)
Rockies .667 OPS postseason (batting .229 with a homer every 42.43 ABs)

Red Sox .960 OPS this series with 1 homer
Rockies .477 OPS this series with zilch

Red Sox 32-21 on the road to R RS
Rockies 39-19 at home to R RS

Red Sox 1-2 on the road to R postseason (beat Weaver (scored 9) then lost to Westbrook (2) and Byrd (3))
Rockies 2-0 at home to R postseason (beat L.Hernandez (4) then Owings (6))

As much as my series risk would like the Rockies to come through, I have had to give the Red Sox a pretty decent edge in the hitting department, despite the loss of the DH for this match. A couple of months ago I had Dice rated fairly high, but the way he closed the season and his lackluster playoff performances dictated that I keep lowering his rating to where I have it now, which is about at an average level for a big league hurler. Fogg I have rated a little lower as he is not a very impressive pitcher, which you should agree with after reading the paragraph on him above; the one lock for this match would be his 1.13 playoff era going up after this encounter. The Rockies certainly have a chance, as the 56% call should indicate, but the pitching, hitting, and momentum all favour the 'Sox coming into this match; home-field advantage is about all that the Rockies have working in their favour.

I'm not sure what to do with this game. The Rockies runline doesn't appeal to me like it did in game #2 as there is less of a chance for a 1-run game at Coors and the line is steeper than it was for that game #2. I'm a likely total player as I've got a pretty high system call on the over; ump Barrett is a turn off for that one, as is the Rockies recent production, but I might try for a unit there as the Rockies are in desperate need of some production and the 'Sox are likely to improve upon their game #2 performance. I'm also considering a prop of the Rockies hitting the first homer of the game, currently at +120, for a couple of reasons: 1st, the Rockies have 5 true power threats in their order while the Red Sox really only have 3, and 2nd, Dice is more of a fly ball pitcher while Fogg relies more on ground-ball outs; there's a 30-cent line for this prop, which is a drag, and I've been waiting for the price to improve as the 'Sox get first crack as the visitor so I was expecting some 'Sox action on that one. Over 5 runs for the first 4.5 innings (-115) is also a thought, but I don't want to try to much on the over with Barrett umping so I'm likely to just stick with the game total. Over 30.5 hits, runs and errors (-115) is possible, too, but if that happens then the game total likely goes over and it is currently cheaper than that prop.

I think the above calls are quite reasonable; hopefully it's clear that my Rockies bias didn't interfere with my 'cap?I was predicting a low 50's call on the Rockies but it turned out that I could only give them a home-field edge while supporting the 'Sox for both the offense and the pitching. Call still may be a few points too low?i.e. I might be shortchanging the 'Sox?but even if that is the case there still doesn't seem to be much value on the 'Sox moneyline for this hefty road price. Rockies value appears non-existent as they are likely losers. Overs appear to be the best option so I may tackle those; for team totals I've got the Bosox at +12 (over 5.5 at -110) and the Rox at +4 (over 5 at +145).


Predicted score: Red Sox 6 Rockies 5


Plays pending.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PLAYOFF RECORD

19-11 +17.77
ML 11-2 +16.22
RL 3-3 +0.14
game totals 3-2 +1.15
team totals 1-0 +0.5
parlays 1-2 +0.91
props 0-2 -1.15

system sides 20-6 (76.9%)
system picks 5-1 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+) (3 of the 5 were doggies)

system totals 8-10
total picks 1-2 (65%+)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

New car, caviar, four-star daydream...think I'll buy me a football team.

New car, caviar, four-star daydream...think I'll buy me a football team.

PLAYS

bost@Col over10 -103 1.03/1

Rockies hit 1st home run +120 0.5/0.6


I might try the Rox just before gametime if it goes better than +140. Gonna see how my afternoon action goes first. Go Kentucky and Florida!! (among others).
That Rockies series price is very inviting, currently at +700. I'm already in way too deep (can't touch the bottom!...can't touch the bottom!...)
Game #4 might be a better candidate for the over as Meriwether is a better ump for such, Lester is less likely to throw gold than Dice-K, and Cookie is less likely to succeed than Foggy?teams will have had a game at Coors, too, getting them more into a rhythm, if yaknowhatimean. Probably my play for game #4. I might try the Rockies at +120 or more if they win tonight. Haven't done a 'cap. Gonna try to keep it simple; Lester and Cook will both be tough rates. Stick numbers will be weighted a fair bit towards this game #3; Rox another no-show and no way I touch 'em in 4. Bosox sticks silent and pass on the over in 4. I should think about sleep. Wanna be up at least in time for Georgia-Florida. Argos start around then, too. Argos take over 1st place in the East today.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

added:

Rockies +127 0.79/1.01


I think the Rockies will get to Dice second time through the order.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Red Sox lead series 3-0

Red Sox lead series 3-0

Game #4

Lester @ Cook

red sox 57% (-130)even

over 10.5 72% (-110)+19 --ump Meriwether is even


Slight edge to 'Sox pitching. Fairly large edge to 'Sox at the plate. Rockies home-field keeps the call below 60.

Not much more to add. Hopefully you've been following the series. Sweep is likely; Lester to win the clinching game would be storybook.


Predicted score: Red Sox 8 Rockies 5


Plays pending.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PLAYOFF RECORD

21-12 +18.58
ML 11-3 +15.43
RL 3-3 +0.14
game totals 4-2 +2.15
team totals 1-0 +0.5
parlays 1-2 +0.91
props 1-2 -0.55

system sides 21-6 (77.8%)
system picks 5-1 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+) (3 of the 5 were doggies)

system totals 9-10
total picks 2-2 (65%+)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

PLAYS

bost@Col over10.5 -110 1.65/1.5


Try to finish the playoffs on a good note. Hit the last 2 games on the total so might as well keep going. Been a fun ride. 7 month$ worth.

GL

 

[Hooks]

Ex., with the season winding down, Hooks just wanted to thank you for all your hard work. You made the summer more fun for me.
Hope to see you next season. All my best , Hooks

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

thanks a lot Hooks

I've had a blast.

Still dreaming about writing a book on the subject. I don't think there's anything else more crammed into my brain currently than baseball handicapping.

Maybe some football. Recovering this afternoon what I lost yesterday in the NCAA. I've got to keep away from those NCAA teasers as they killed me this week.

Thank heaven for the Saints.




(get it?):142smilie



I still want to do something else with tonight's game but I don't know what to do.
Bosox team total over 5.5 is tempting.

Rockies moneyline, too, but I might have been dropped on my head as a small child.

:com:

:scared

:weed:
:00hour
:weed:
:SIB

 

[Marco]

I think that BoSox total over 5.5 is gold......

If they're going to break the game total as you already listed as one of your plays, I'm thinking Boston has to contribute the majority of the runs....especially if Boston gets up early, the Rockies players might beat the crowd out of the stadium.

I just don't trust the Rockies to score in an elimination game....read an article that stated there were 22 WS teams that started 3-0 and 19 of them completed the sweep while the rest never went past 5 games.

I too must thank you for your work here.....I never posted much here but I was a persistent lurker and took the time to check your informative ramblings to glean some useful advice and information.

(Please take "ramblings" as a compliment):yup

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

(Please take "ramblings" as a compliment):yup

I will. And thanks.



Two things have kept me from playing the 'Sox over the 5.5 so far.
1) the 'Sox moneyline is fairly close in price and might be the better way to go and
2) I'm thinking about trying the Rockies, so this bet would go contra-that


52- Pats. Unreal.

I teased it to get it down to 10.
I guess -16 woula been just fine.
Nice D, aye, Redskanks?

Saints, Pats and Chargers makes up for that garbage score against the Giants. That one hurt but with these 3 late score I will achieve total recovery of yesterday's droppings.

Just gotta close the books on game #4.

Over is in. Maybe to win.
To try any more?
To bank on my score?
It's never enough.
Give me more! Give me more!
Want action reaction
Please open the door.



...alright...not exactly Bob Dylan but it's the best I could do on such short notice.


I must be buzzed more than I think.

:weed:

Maybe I should be happy with present conditions.
Need the over.
Need the Red Wings.
Small piece of Packers +10 for Monday.

Surely I can wait through another 5 empty months until baseball starts up again.




:com:




:scared




:weed:
:00hour
:weed:
:SIB