Welp, here are my plays just put in thru my runner in Vegas at the MGM, these lines were out today with some slight movements since they opened.
GL!
NFL Win totals 2013-14 (each play 1 unit unless noted)
Eagles over 7 1/2 -115 (3 units) Why? OK Vick when healthy is worth 4 wins, this is Foles 2nd year and new coach with new Offensive system with talent on the roster, it can't be worse than when KFC Reid was here.
Washington Over 8 1/2 +105 - RGIII if healthy or not, this team can run the ball and can play some "D", Cousins is capable if thrown into the fire, they can get at least 7 wins at home.
St Louis Under 7 1/2 -115 (This team will continue to underachieve under Fisher, he's not that good folks, trust me, Bradford has been in the league for a bit now, his receivers are Edward Scissor Hands and they have no running game or defense)
Bears Under 8 1/2 -140 (New coach and system Trestman did ok in the Great White North and was heavily sought as an OC in the NCAA, but this is the big boy league now folks and in the Black n Blue division, you have to have some defense and Bears don't have it)
Detroit Under 7 1/2 +115 (Schwartz is a clusterfuck of a coach folks, Stafford can't stay healthy, they have no running game and even adding Bush, who hasn't stayed healthy an entire year isn't going to help the running game much, CJ is GRRRRREAT but that's IT! Suh is a piece of crap and so is the rest of their "D")
Green Bay Over 10 -120 (2 units) -This will be an unpopular play for the Viking backers in this forum, but how can the Pack not win 7 games at home and 4 on the road? Rodgers has some talent to work with offensively and their "D' should be much better than in 2012. Green, Lacy and Harris, are good running threats, and their WRs returning have talent, Cobb may have a break out year, Nelson is Mr Steady and can play! Finley may have a great year as well.
Atlanta Over 10 +110 (5 units) Tony G may finally get his dream and play in the SB!! This team returns many and adds some talent at RB and their "D" will be very much improved over 2012. Ryan must stay healthy in this division their in so it scares me some saying Over, because the backups are Dominique Davis, Doege and rookie Renfree from DUKE. All my eggs are on Ryan staying healthy.
New Orleans Over 9 1/2 +110 (2 units) HC Payton is back, the shit is in the past and now it's time for Brees to atone for one of his worse years as a QB in 2012, throwing as many INTs as he's done in the past. Running game should be improved and their "D" should be improved, with or without any bounty program, j/k folks, the Saints should eek out 10 wins in their shitty division, revenge vs Carolina and sweep Tampa, they should get 7 wins at home and 3 on the road.
Tampa Under 7 1/2 +130 - (I am not buying their HC going from NCAA to the NFL, this will be Shiano's last year in the NFL and he'll go back to the NCAA next season, Freeman is hot and cold just like in college, they have a running game with Martin, but their WRs and "D" still lack any punch)
Tennessee Over 6 1/2 -110 (2 units) Just a strong hunch on this one that Locker gets some push from former Bills QB Fitzpatrick, the running game improves with CJ and the Titans actually get 4 wins at home and 3 on the road. 8-8 finish likely.
Indy Over 8 1/2 -125 (5 units) How can you not back Luck and a full year with CHUCK? Running game will be improved, "D" definitely improved as the roster has turned over and this town loves the Colts, they should get 6 wins at home and 3 on the road easily and oh, Luck does have a backup with Hasselbeck and Harnish, they aren't great but capable.
Pittsburgh Over 9 +120 (2 units) Big Ben will be healthy finally, Polo should be worth a decent return this year, the "D" will be improved and running game still has some big backs, the WRs will be the key here and if the Steelers don't get to 9 wins, TOMLIN IS GONE!
Cleveland Under 6 1/2 -110 - (The curse continues, Browns got 5 wins last year, this year will be more difficult with new HC and system in place - talent at RB and QB has a season under his belt, their WRs still suck and their "D" is still the same, pathetic)
Cincy Over 8 1/2 -145 (3 units) Dalton is a crafty QB and their running game should be good once again, WRs are very talented and they should be improved in "D" this year, 6 wins at home and at least 3 on the road is very feasible and possible playoff run, 10-6 finish.
Baltimore Over 8 1/2 -140 (2 units) Reigning SB Champ made lots of roster moves in the off-season, but they didn't fall apart, they only got better and younger, same QB back, stellar running game, good young WRs that can stretch the field and their "D" should be capable of keeping them in many games, at least 6 home wins and 3 road wins I would think, the backup QBs all have experience as well.
San Diego Under 7 1/2 +100 (5 units) New Coach, same rotten talent, same QB with no one to catch a cold, injury prone running game and defense with leaks everywhere, and this will be fixed over last year? NOT! 5-11 type season for Bolts.
Oakland Under 5 1/2 +105 (5 units) Battery Chuckers are horrible and now added bench start, Flynn to take up the slack that Palmer left? Yeah, right!! McFadden can't stay healthy, no one can catch a cold at the Wide Outs, their "D" wears down cuz their offense cant stay on the field a few minutes, so how they going to eek out 6 wins? They only play KFC twice and the Chargers twice, so where is 2 more potential wins going to come from?
KC Under 7 1/2 +100 (5 units) KFC Reid brings in a new flavor and new system, with a new QB that doesn't know Reid, he might know the system, but it's a huge fix to go from 2-14 to 8 wins folks and it ain't going to happen in Kansas Schitty! Not in year 1 under FAT BOY!
Denver Over 11 1/2 -110 (2 units) Peyton Manning wants redemption over that bad beat at home to SB Champ, Ravens, Broncos off-season moves only helped them and they drafted well and now the younger players have a year under their belts with Peyton helping them on and off the field. Broncos "D" will be key this year and they look like on paper to get 13 wins, opening up vs Ravens, they also play the Giants, which should be one of most public viewed NFL games in decades and the "ORANGE CRUSH" under ELWAYs ownership, should go 13-3!!!
Miami Over 7 1/2 -160 (This team eeked out some wins last year with a QB that many had no idea how good he would be in year one, now it's year two, the soph blues? Nah, Miami will be improved, they added some WRs and Wallace should help them some and their "D" should be improved, so 5 wins at home is possible and they should be able to get 3 or 4 on the road, as long as they play the Bills & Jets for 4 games, it's pretty likely they could sweep those two teams on paper)
Buffalo Under 6 1/2 +105 (5 units) New collegiate coach that's a former NFL asst in Marrone, but KOLB as the QB? GIVE ME A BREAK!! Good backup but shitty starter, now a new system with aging backfield though Spiller showed signs of having a clue, WRS and "D" all suck, they will be lucky to get 4 home wins and probably 1 win on the road at best in yr one under new HC and system.
This is what the public has played thus far:
New Eng under 78%
Miami over 84%
Jets under 71%
Bills over 61%
Pittsburgh under 77%
Balt over 80%
Bengals over 90%
Browns over 71%
Houston over 75%
Indy over 80%
Tennessee under 51%
Jags under 85%
Denver over 68%
Chargers over 57%
KC over 81%
Oakland under 57%
Giants over 83%
Dallas over 75%
Washington over 51%
Eagles over 79%
GB over 87%
Bears over 61%
Detroit over 84%
Atlanta over 70%
Saints over 89%
Tampa over 66%
Carolina over 79%
SF under 76%
Seattle under 51%
AZ over 91%
Minny over 75%
GL!!
:0003
GL!
NFL Win totals 2013-14 (each play 1 unit unless noted)
Eagles over 7 1/2 -115 (3 units) Why? OK Vick when healthy is worth 4 wins, this is Foles 2nd year and new coach with new Offensive system with talent on the roster, it can't be worse than when KFC Reid was here.
Washington Over 8 1/2 +105 - RGIII if healthy or not, this team can run the ball and can play some "D", Cousins is capable if thrown into the fire, they can get at least 7 wins at home.
St Louis Under 7 1/2 -115 (This team will continue to underachieve under Fisher, he's not that good folks, trust me, Bradford has been in the league for a bit now, his receivers are Edward Scissor Hands and they have no running game or defense)
Bears Under 8 1/2 -140 (New coach and system Trestman did ok in the Great White North and was heavily sought as an OC in the NCAA, but this is the big boy league now folks and in the Black n Blue division, you have to have some defense and Bears don't have it)
Detroit Under 7 1/2 +115 (Schwartz is a clusterfuck of a coach folks, Stafford can't stay healthy, they have no running game and even adding Bush, who hasn't stayed healthy an entire year isn't going to help the running game much, CJ is GRRRRREAT but that's IT! Suh is a piece of crap and so is the rest of their "D")
Green Bay Over 10 -120 (2 units) -This will be an unpopular play for the Viking backers in this forum, but how can the Pack not win 7 games at home and 4 on the road? Rodgers has some talent to work with offensively and their "D' should be much better than in 2012. Green, Lacy and Harris, are good running threats, and their WRs returning have talent, Cobb may have a break out year, Nelson is Mr Steady and can play! Finley may have a great year as well.
Atlanta Over 10 +110 (5 units) Tony G may finally get his dream and play in the SB!! This team returns many and adds some talent at RB and their "D" will be very much improved over 2012. Ryan must stay healthy in this division their in so it scares me some saying Over, because the backups are Dominique Davis, Doege and rookie Renfree from DUKE. All my eggs are on Ryan staying healthy.
New Orleans Over 9 1/2 +110 (2 units) HC Payton is back, the shit is in the past and now it's time for Brees to atone for one of his worse years as a QB in 2012, throwing as many INTs as he's done in the past. Running game should be improved and their "D" should be improved, with or without any bounty program, j/k folks, the Saints should eek out 10 wins in their shitty division, revenge vs Carolina and sweep Tampa, they should get 7 wins at home and 3 on the road.
Tampa Under 7 1/2 +130 - (I am not buying their HC going from NCAA to the NFL, this will be Shiano's last year in the NFL and he'll go back to the NCAA next season, Freeman is hot and cold just like in college, they have a running game with Martin, but their WRs and "D" still lack any punch)
Tennessee Over 6 1/2 -110 (2 units) Just a strong hunch on this one that Locker gets some push from former Bills QB Fitzpatrick, the running game improves with CJ and the Titans actually get 4 wins at home and 3 on the road. 8-8 finish likely.
Indy Over 8 1/2 -125 (5 units) How can you not back Luck and a full year with CHUCK? Running game will be improved, "D" definitely improved as the roster has turned over and this town loves the Colts, they should get 6 wins at home and 3 on the road easily and oh, Luck does have a backup with Hasselbeck and Harnish, they aren't great but capable.
Pittsburgh Over 9 +120 (2 units) Big Ben will be healthy finally, Polo should be worth a decent return this year, the "D" will be improved and running game still has some big backs, the WRs will be the key here and if the Steelers don't get to 9 wins, TOMLIN IS GONE!
Cleveland Under 6 1/2 -110 - (The curse continues, Browns got 5 wins last year, this year will be more difficult with new HC and system in place - talent at RB and QB has a season under his belt, their WRs still suck and their "D" is still the same, pathetic)
Cincy Over 8 1/2 -145 (3 units) Dalton is a crafty QB and their running game should be good once again, WRs are very talented and they should be improved in "D" this year, 6 wins at home and at least 3 on the road is very feasible and possible playoff run, 10-6 finish.
Baltimore Over 8 1/2 -140 (2 units) Reigning SB Champ made lots of roster moves in the off-season, but they didn't fall apart, they only got better and younger, same QB back, stellar running game, good young WRs that can stretch the field and their "D" should be capable of keeping them in many games, at least 6 home wins and 3 road wins I would think, the backup QBs all have experience as well.
San Diego Under 7 1/2 +100 (5 units) New Coach, same rotten talent, same QB with no one to catch a cold, injury prone running game and defense with leaks everywhere, and this will be fixed over last year? NOT! 5-11 type season for Bolts.
Oakland Under 5 1/2 +105 (5 units) Battery Chuckers are horrible and now added bench start, Flynn to take up the slack that Palmer left? Yeah, right!! McFadden can't stay healthy, no one can catch a cold at the Wide Outs, their "D" wears down cuz their offense cant stay on the field a few minutes, so how they going to eek out 6 wins? They only play KFC twice and the Chargers twice, so where is 2 more potential wins going to come from?
KC Under 7 1/2 +100 (5 units) KFC Reid brings in a new flavor and new system, with a new QB that doesn't know Reid, he might know the system, but it's a huge fix to go from 2-14 to 8 wins folks and it ain't going to happen in Kansas Schitty! Not in year 1 under FAT BOY!
Denver Over 11 1/2 -110 (2 units) Peyton Manning wants redemption over that bad beat at home to SB Champ, Ravens, Broncos off-season moves only helped them and they drafted well and now the younger players have a year under their belts with Peyton helping them on and off the field. Broncos "D" will be key this year and they look like on paper to get 13 wins, opening up vs Ravens, they also play the Giants, which should be one of most public viewed NFL games in decades and the "ORANGE CRUSH" under ELWAYs ownership, should go 13-3!!!
Miami Over 7 1/2 -160 (This team eeked out some wins last year with a QB that many had no idea how good he would be in year one, now it's year two, the soph blues? Nah, Miami will be improved, they added some WRs and Wallace should help them some and their "D" should be improved, so 5 wins at home is possible and they should be able to get 3 or 4 on the road, as long as they play the Bills & Jets for 4 games, it's pretty likely they could sweep those two teams on paper)
Buffalo Under 6 1/2 +105 (5 units) New collegiate coach that's a former NFL asst in Marrone, but KOLB as the QB? GIVE ME A BREAK!! Good backup but shitty starter, now a new system with aging backfield though Spiller showed signs of having a clue, WRS and "D" all suck, they will be lucky to get 4 home wins and probably 1 win on the road at best in yr one under new HC and system.
This is what the public has played thus far:
New Eng under 78%
Miami over 84%
Jets under 71%
Bills over 61%
Pittsburgh under 77%
Balt over 80%
Bengals over 90%
Browns over 71%
Houston over 75%
Indy over 80%
Tennessee under 51%
Jags under 85%
Denver over 68%
Chargers over 57%
KC over 81%
Oakland under 57%
Giants over 83%
Dallas over 75%
Washington over 51%
Eagles over 79%
GB over 87%
Bears over 61%
Detroit over 84%
Atlanta over 70%
Saints over 89%
Tampa over 66%
Carolina over 79%
SF under 76%
Seattle under 51%
AZ over 91%
Minny over 75%
GL!!
:0003
Last edited:
