CSU -4
Like the home team in that new stadium. Just a small bet to get some action on opening day
opcorn2
Like the home team in that new stadium. Just a small bet to get some action on opening day
opcorn22017 Season Thread
- Thread starter TLankford
- Start date
good to have CFB back and to have time to cap this year. felt like something was missing in life last fall :toast:
hope Leo Lewis settles down and doesn't take down both MS schools in one tattle-tale incident
USF -20.5 (-120)
like the team that charlie strong took over. his failure here in Austin aside I think he's a good coach and with the team he inherited they should be able to avoid the 1st game jitters
Honestly don't even remember what that was about I would have to look up posting history... :0003
I don't take anything on these sites personally just tryin to have some engaging conversations and make some cash. Apologies if something got heated in the past and feel free to give opinions on SEC games - that's most of what I'll be betting on :toast:
week 1a) 1-1
Week 1 looking at these will try to whittle down to 3-4 plays max a week:
USA +24 OMiss - lot going on this offseason for the rebel black bears and USA was no pushover last year and from what I've read brought most people back and have a couple on D that didn't play most of 2016
BYU - LSU Under 47.5 - Couple of running teams that play conservative defense and typically don't give up a ton of huge plays. Also in week 1 I tend to give defenses the edge over offenses. Guice is gonna be a beast this year as long as he doesn't go for 250 in this game it should stay under.
Michigan - Florida Under 44.5 - both teams lost a lot on defense but recruit incredibly well so should have 4-5* talent filling in the gaps and neither offense was very impressive last year. Big plays could make this one go over. Leaning towards UF winning straight up
Bama - FSU Under 49.5 - good number here didn't know how low it would be. Bama lost a ton on defense but last few years have shown they have the horses to fill in and keep on going full speed. Their offense I'm curious about with a new OC and losing Stewart/OJ. Honestly Hurts was one of the worst downfield passers I've seen since Jeremy Johnson. He was a TrFr so we'll see if he has developed any. Ridley and Foster are dangerous WRs but I think it's more likely you get a bunch of the bubble screens and a ton of Bo Scarborough in this game. Last year most of the Bama Unders I bet on were fucked by their defense scoring too much :lol: hopefully not too many big TOs in this one
Also looking at some others but may pass on these:
A&M - UCLA Over
NC State
GA Tech
Auburn - GA Southern Over
Week 1 looking at these will try to whittle down to 3-4 plays max a week:
USA +24 OMiss - lot going on this offseason for the rebel black bears and USA was no pushover last year and from what I've read brought most people back and have a couple on D that didn't play most of 2016
BYU - LSU Under 47.5 - Couple of running teams that play conservative defense and typically don't give up a ton of huge plays. Also in week 1 I tend to give defenses the edge over offenses. Guice is gonna be a beast this year as long as he doesn't go for 250 in this game it should stay under.
Michigan - Florida Under 44.5 - both teams lost a lot on defense but recruit incredibly well so should have 4-5* talent filling in the gaps and neither offense was very impressive last year. Big plays could make this one go over. Leaning towards UF winning straight up
Bama - FSU Under 49.5 - good number here didn't know how low it would be. Bama lost a ton on defense but last few years have shown they have the horses to fill in and keep on going full speed. Their offense I'm curious about with a new OC and losing Stewart/OJ. Honestly Hurts was one of the worst downfield passers I've seen since Jeremy Johnson. He was a TrFr so we'll see if he has developed any. Ridley and Foster are dangerous WRs but I think it's more likely you get a bunch of the bubble screens and a ton of Bo Scarborough in this game. Last year most of the Bama Unders I bet on were fucked by their defense scoring too much :lol: hopefully not too many big TOs in this one
Also looking at some others but may pass on these:
A&M - UCLA Over
NC State
GA Tech
Auburn - GA Southern Over
Leo and MSU are fine. He wasn't the only student athlete interviewed by the NCAA. Somehow his name gets leaked.
Good luck on your action. Lsu will be down up to four defensive starters this week
Orgeron is supposedly suspending a ton of LSU players for :weed:. He also ran off a few, including 5* Savion Smith for:weed: this offseason. Also, Arden key is recovering from shoulder surgery, but he is also suspended. The players I list below will not play this week based on local reports
Dee Anderson...projected contributor at WR
Donnie Alexander.... projected starter LB
Deandre Clark..... 5th yr sr nonfactor
Kristian Fulton 2nd string CB
Cam Lewis.... no factor yet
Justin McMillan 3rd or 4th QB
Xavier Lewis.... Starting nickelback
Kevin Tolliver....*Starting CB
Caleb Roddy( 6 games).... #2 or 3 TE
Orgeron is supposedly suspending a ton of LSU players for :weed:. He also ran off a few, including 5* Savion Smith for:weed: this offseason. Also, Arden key is recovering from shoulder surgery, but he is also suspended. The players I list below will not play this week based on local reports
Dee Anderson...projected contributor at WR
Donnie Alexander.... projected starter LB
Deandre Clark..... 5th yr sr nonfactor
Kristian Fulton 2nd string CB
Cam Lewis.... no factor yet
Justin McMillan 3rd or 4th QB
Xavier Lewis.... Starting nickelback
Kevin Tolliver....*Starting CB
Caleb Roddy( 6 games).... #2 or 3 TE
was in Charleston all weekend (rocking an AU gameday polo around a sea on Clemson fans which was good fun) and with a group of 12 guys doing a fantasy football draft. Never got around a computer to post actual plays but went with the 4 originally posted and A&M/UCLA Over yesterday.
Good 4-1 start but for record keeping I'll exclude them since I never made it in here to post they were anything more than leans
Laying off of tonights game but I'd take Tennessee gun to my head
Week 2 spreads out but no totals and have a couple in mind mainly:
Auburn - Clemson UNDER... Honestly I'd take anything over 41. Never thought Gus would have teams that's strong suit was Defense but both last year and this year that's the case. Our front 7 is great and reasonably deep. Clemson's OL is supposed to be the bet they've had in a long time so that should be a good matchup. We looked solid on containing a mobile QB saturday. I could see this game ending with a final score close to last year's matchup maybe a 17-14 type game or a field goal fest. Line is currently 5 that I see - if it gets up to 7 I may buy the hook and take Auburn +7.5 because I think our defense will at least keep us within one score.
South Carolina - Mizzou OVER. hopefully not much higher than mid-50s.
Spreads I'm looking at currently:
Arkansas +3 over TCU. Like taking a home dog here. Since ole Bert got to Fayetteville they haven't been as bad as their records indicate most years. Run defense was trash last year but maybe that's improved
UGA +6.5 over ND. Bulldog defense looked rock solid. If their Fr QB can handle playing in a big game and just manage / not lose the game for them I think their Defense keeps them within a score with a slight chance to win. Would like to have +7.5 maybe it will go up a little.
Probably not gonna touch any of the 30+ point spread cupcake games but I'd say Bama shouldn't have trouble covering -44 even though it's a giant number. Even with their two injuries at LB from game one the defense is still suffocating and should pitch a shutout. Possibly look at a 1st Half line on this one before they pull starters. Could see it easily being 35-0 halftime
Good 4-1 start but for record keeping I'll exclude them since I never made it in here to post they were anything more than leans
Laying off of tonights game but I'd take Tennessee gun to my head
Week 2 spreads out but no totals and have a couple in mind mainly:
Auburn - Clemson UNDER... Honestly I'd take anything over 41. Never thought Gus would have teams that's strong suit was Defense but both last year and this year that's the case. Our front 7 is great and reasonably deep. Clemson's OL is supposed to be the bet they've had in a long time so that should be a good matchup. We looked solid on containing a mobile QB saturday. I could see this game ending with a final score close to last year's matchup maybe a 17-14 type game or a field goal fest. Line is currently 5 that I see - if it gets up to 7 I may buy the hook and take Auburn +7.5 because I think our defense will at least keep us within one score.
South Carolina - Mizzou OVER. hopefully not much higher than mid-50s.
Spreads I'm looking at currently:
Arkansas +3 over TCU. Like taking a home dog here. Since ole Bert got to Fayetteville they haven't been as bad as their records indicate most years. Run defense was trash last year but maybe that's improved
UGA +6.5 over ND. Bulldog defense looked rock solid. If their Fr QB can handle playing in a big game and just manage / not lose the game for them I think their Defense keeps them within a score with a slight chance to win. Would like to have +7.5 maybe it will go up a little.
Probably not gonna touch any of the 30+ point spread cupcake games but I'd say Bama shouldn't have trouble covering -44 even though it's a giant number. Even with their two injuries at LB from game one the defense is still suffocating and should pitch a shutout. Possibly look at a 1st Half line on this one before they pull starters. Could see it easily being 35-0 halftime
Gonna go ahead and lock it in while it's dropping
UGA +4.5 over ND
was hoping this would go the other way but it looks like early money isn't afraid of Fromm going into ND for his first start. Honestly he looked better than Eason has ever really looked to me. And I don't see ND making being some reinvented team this year compared to their 4-8 squad last year. UGA has more overall talent on both sides of the ball. Also will be getting on the moneyline.
UGA +4.5 over ND
was hoping this would go the other way but it looks like early money isn't afraid of Fromm going into ND for his first start. Honestly he looked better than Eason has ever really looked to me. And I don't see ND making being some reinvented team this year compared to their 4-8 squad last year. UGA has more overall talent on both sides of the ball. Also will be getting on the moneyline.
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And already mentioned my thoughts on this one. Like the opening line and gonna lock it in as well
Auburn/Clemson Under 53.5
Gonna lay off the USCe/Mizzou Over because it came out at 73 and that's a lot of points even with how both teams looked in week 1
Auburn/Clemson Under 53.5
Gonna lay off the USCe/Mizzou Over because it came out at 73 and that's a lot of points even with how both teams looked in week 1
Put in a couple more:
OSU -27.5 (-128) over USA. was on USA last week and they really were underwhelming vs an OMiss team that's not that good. Bad on 3rd downs and OSU is a good squad this year.
2-Game Parlay: Pays a little over 2-1
Arkansas +130 / Ohio State -300
OSU -27.5 (-128) over USA. was on USA last week and they really were underwhelming vs an OMiss team that's not that good. Bad on 3rd downs and OSU is a good squad this year.
2-Game Parlay: Pays a little over 2-1
Arkansas +130 / Ohio State -300
Thought their defense would be better this year and handle Kenny trill. What I saw yesterday looks like another team that's gonna underperform and get gashed on the ground every game again this year.
3-1 on the day. Auburn game went about how I thought it would. Good defense. Still got a ways to go on offense.
Week 3 initial leans:
South Carolina -7 over Kentucky. wouldn't surprise me if USC finishes 1st or 2nd in the East this year. Reasonably impressive showing on defense against Mizzou
Clemson -155 over Louisville. UL hasn't really looked impressive at all this year even though they're 2-0. I think Clemson's front 7 will put the clamps on Lamar Jackson and UL's Defense probably won't do the same to Bryant.
Tennessee +5.5 over Florida. Not sure why UF would be favored by more than a FG over anyone right now
LSU -6.5 over Mississippi State. Honestly this line being 6.5 (currently on 5D) kinda seems like Vegas is asking for Tiger backers. Don't really care though I think they win by DDs fairly easily
:0003
South Carolina -7 over Kentucky. wouldn't surprise me if USC finishes 1st or 2nd in the East this year. Reasonably impressive showing on defense against Mizzou
Clemson -155 over Louisville. UL hasn't really looked impressive at all this year even though they're 2-0. I think Clemson's front 7 will put the clamps on Lamar Jackson and UL's Defense probably won't do the same to Bryant.
Tennessee +5.5 over Florida. Not sure why UF would be favored by more than a FG over anyone right now
LSU -6.5 over Mississippi State. Honestly this line being 6.5 (currently on 5D) kinda seems like Vegas is asking for Tiger backers. Don't really care though I think they win by DDs fairly easily
:0003
Haven't looked at the others but I definitely agree on South Carolina. I hope I'm wrong but just don't see how Kentucky can hang with them. Cats defense appears to be significantly better but the offense has performed no where near the level of last year. It's obvious they miss starting tailback Boom Williams, WR Jeff Badet that transferred to Oklahoma after last year (he was their deep threat), and 5th year senior starting center John Toth. In addition, starting left tackle Cole Mosier was lost for the season in camp due to a knee injury. Also, the starting center Bunchie Stallings has been banged up and the offensive line has been struggling. Also, starting RB Benny Snell and leading tackler in conference last year, Jordan Jones were both banged up against EKY, and Stoops is saying he doesn't know how much they will be able to play, although some of that talk could be bs, we will see I guess. I haven't even got to SC but their vastly improved from the last time these 2 played and Debo Samuel scars me to death; he looks like he could beat a team practically by himself. I've got the game SC anywhere from 9 to 17.
taking
SC -5
Clemson -165
Purdue +7.5 -155
Bama -28
LSU/MSU Under 54
Laying off the UF/UT game because i don't trust the vols and can't take the gators with how they looked in week 1. Changed from LSU to the Under bc I don't think MSU finds the endzone possibly at all (Canada's offense could surprise me who knows) and not convinced LSU offense is capable vs a decent defense.
SC -5
Clemson -165
Purdue +7.5 -155
Bama -28
LSU/MSU Under 54
Laying off the UF/UT game because i don't trust the vols and can't take the gators with how they looked in week 1. Changed from LSU to the Under bc I don't think MSU finds the endzone possibly at all (Canada's offense could surprise me who knows) and not convinced LSU offense is capable vs a decent defense.
3-2 week
6-3 YTD
Auburn kicks backup QB Sean White off the team this morning. Probably got busted for weed again... Heard we sent him to rehab for weed this summer :lol:
6-3 YTD
Auburn kicks backup QB Sean White off the team this morning. Probably got busted for weed again... Heard we sent him to rehab for weed this summer :lol:
Leans for Week 4
MSU +7.5 vs UGA - was big on UGA vs. ND. Playing a decent team this time around and I think again their defense keeps the game close but don't see MSU having a let down game after LSU. Mullen has been there before with the 2014 team.
UF -145 vs UK - more talented team wins in my opinion
Auburn -18.5 over Mizzou - pretty much throw the mercer game away we rested some people and called a really vanilla game on Offense... I think we only ran 2 running plays the whole game. Mizzou is bad. Auburn D should keep them in single digits and I'd like to think we can put up 28-35 against that D
Vandy +18.5 over Bama - I know. It's vandy. well aware of their program history. Honestly they very well could be in the running for the SEC East this year *CUES LAUGH TRACK* - don't laugh too much though in 2016 they beat UGA, OMiss and Tennessee and lost 1-score games vs. South Carolina, Florida, and Auburn. Derek Mason has that program playing defense very well. Their offense gets to go up against a very beat up Bama D that's missing a handful of LBs and the Colorado State game kinda made it clear that Bama's gonna be missing their NFL Studs from the 2016 team in the pass rush. I still think Bama wins something like 14-3 but I'm taking the 3+ score home dog
Arkansas - A&M Over - if the line is around 50-55. Doubt I could rationalize taking either side straight up here as they've both been shit shows so far. But they both play horrible run defense and both offenses have decent success when running the ball effectively.
MSU +7.5 vs UGA - was big on UGA vs. ND. Playing a decent team this time around and I think again their defense keeps the game close but don't see MSU having a let down game after LSU. Mullen has been there before with the 2014 team.
UF -145 vs UK - more talented team wins in my opinion
Auburn -18.5 over Mizzou - pretty much throw the mercer game away we rested some people and called a really vanilla game on Offense... I think we only ran 2 running plays the whole game. Mizzou is bad. Auburn D should keep them in single digits and I'd like to think we can put up 28-35 against that D
Vandy +18.5 over Bama - I know. It's vandy. well aware of their program history. Honestly they very well could be in the running for the SEC East this year *CUES LAUGH TRACK* - don't laugh too much though in 2016 they beat UGA, OMiss and Tennessee and lost 1-score games vs. South Carolina, Florida, and Auburn. Derek Mason has that program playing defense very well. Their offense gets to go up against a very beat up Bama D that's missing a handful of LBs and the Colorado State game kinda made it clear that Bama's gonna be missing their NFL Studs from the 2016 team in the pass rush. I still think Bama wins something like 14-3 but I'm taking the 3+ score home dog
Arkansas - A&M Over - if the line is around 50-55. Doubt I could rationalize taking either side straight up here as they've both been shit shows so far. But they both play horrible run defense and both offenses have decent success when running the ball effectively.
Auburn -18.5 over Mizzou - pretty much throw the mercer game away we rested some people and called a really vanilla game on Offense... I think we only ran 2 running plays the whole game. Mizzou is bad. Auburn D should keep them in single digits and I'd like to think we can put up 28-35 against that D
Plus the 5 turnovers made this look worse than the final score actually looked,,I agree especially after watching Clemson against Louisville. As a Bama fan we need help running the ball right now but hopefully we can iron that out. If Vandy defends the pass I agree on that one as well, but it is Vandy.:142smilie
Plus the 5 turnovers made this look worse than the final score actually looked,,I agree especially after watching Clemson against Louisville. As a Bama fan we need help running the ball right now but hopefully we can iron that out. If Vandy defends the pass I agree on that one as well, but it is Vandy.:142smilie
