2018 Season Thread

[TLankford]

Figure I'd keep a place to track the season. Maybe help a few people pick some winners :0corn

Auburn - Washington Under 49

Think I've taken the Under in our opening game a few times now. Notoriously slow on offense to start the season. Not entirely sure who we'll have on the OL or RB. Don't see us throwing up a ton of points. I do see our defense keeping the game low scoring and giving us a chance to win a close one.

Looking at 2 more kinda hoping to get Tennessee above 10 and thinking Bama may be a blowout. Also like Miami and FSU later in the weekend but will see how Saturday goes first

 

[TLankford]

Rest of Saturday. Headed to Atlanta so won?t be able to post any halves during the day

OU -20.5
Too much of a talent gap for this to be close

OM/TT O68
Gonna be betting against Rebs D this year but they?ve got weapons on offense and scoring against Tech isn?t tough. Both should be in the 40s

Vols +10.5
Think I?m in the minority here. Vols not as bad as their record looked last year. Before the team quit in November they kept it close Vs everyone but UGA/Bama. Huge upgrade at HC and brought some Bama talent with him. Think they keep it close

Team Total Louisville under 17.5
Bama D gonna be good forever while Saban is there. Kind of a wait and see on how conservative they are on offense so just betting on the D.

 

[TLankford]

Good start to the season. Fuck the Vols

Tonight: Miami +3.5 / Under 55

was going to parlay the ML and Under but wanted to be a little more conservative and LSU could get lucky and actually squeak by a Win but I doubt it. Richt normally wins the big ones early in the season. UM much more likely to be on a roll and lay an egg vs. VT later this year

 

[TLankford]

Parlay: FSU -280 / Under 55

 

[TLankford]

Shit finish after a good start. 4-3 YTD

Not a huge fan of the card this week. May be on a few TTs later. For now just one big one:

3T 10P Tease
Bama -27
Clemson -1.5
UGA +.5

 

[TLankford]

Added

Bama 1H -23
They're gonna put up a bunch while Tua is in the game. Whole game line is probably a safe bet too but first half at home they'll have the pedal down

Clemson/A&M Under 52
Clemson's D should handle this one. A&M probably be in bend, don't break mode. Hopefully things don't get out of hand for the Aggies

 

[TLankford]

Wanted to see the first drives for each team before putting it in. Took live line:

Miss State -6.5 Fitzgerald is a player and KSU just isn't very good. MSU still has decent talent from Mullen

 

[TLankford]

Not many good college games this week. Do like a couple of totals and one tease again for this week

3 Game 10pt Tease
Auburn pk
Bama -12
Arkansas +3

Like the game as a parlay with the regular spreads but I'm a conservative gambler. I think Auburn holds serve at home that's been the trend lately in this rivalry and I don't think LSU is as good as they looked vs. the U. We got up on them last year and had some bad special teams give them a comeback in Baton Rouge, but we haven't won there in like 20 years so it's a different story in JHS

Bama should win by 40. 22 is a little low but I could see UM pulling a backdoor late in the game. Also never seen a Bama total above 70 in my life but honestly I think they score in the high 50s again this game so I'm staying off of the Under.

Arkansas lays an egg vs. bad teams every once in a while. Think that's what happened last weekend and really don't see them dropping 2 straight to non-P5 teams. They still have talent and are playing in Fayetteville. Surely there will be plenty of angry drunk hogs out making it hard for NTex to pull what CSU did.

Also taking:

ND 1H -7 over Vandy

Vandy is Vandy. Play good early vs. Cupcakes and then get the doors blown off on your way back to reality vs. any good team you face. *KSU was not a good team last year

Auburn 1H Over 22.5***

We normally go hard in the 1st half on offense and then go into a shell and let the D win in games like this. I also think LSU will score on some type of big play early in the game. Almost always happens.
***Not actually placing this bet until Saturday gets here and we see what's going on with Florence. I'd be less inclined to take it if it's raining badly

Alabama 1H -12.5

Same line of thinking as the full game. Being on the road in Oxford really isn't a thing... It's not a tough place to play and nobody on Bama is gonna be affected and have to adjust to some brutal environment.

Probably also going to look at the Bama TT Over whenever I see one come out. They should put up at least 600 yards offense vs. the Rebels and Bama's offense won't stall out in the redzone and settle for FGs

Also just for shits and gigs, not counting for the record a 10 team parlay:

Arky -7
Browns +8.5
Eagles ML
Chargers ML
Texans ML
FSU ML
Auburn ML
Bama -22
Ohio State ML
Washington ML

:0003

 

[TLankford]

Weather looking fine for Auburn tomorrow

Went ahead and put in 1H O22.5

Also added Bama TT O46

 

[TLankford]

Week 1: 4-3
Week 2: 3-1
Week 3: 4-1
YTD: 11-5

see a few I like off the bat

ND -8 vs. Wake
A&M +27 vs. Bama - kinda hope this one gets up over 28 but I think Jimbo can keep it close
Tennessee +4.5 vs. UF - not sure why Florida would be favored over anyone especially conference game on the road

Auburn line pretty high I'm pretty sure we cover but I may just wait on team totals and see what the Under for Arkansas looks like


Already put in these two
USCe -2.5 over Vandy
Gamecocks had an extra week to rest since their game got cancelled. Vandy off a tough game vs. ND. And Vandy is Vandy. They're not winning top 25 matchups. Home field is non-existent there.

Stanford -2 vs. Oregon - Not a believer in Oregon until they win a big game which they haven't done since 2015.

 

[TLankford]

Was hoping to get a higher team total for Arkansas and go Under. Do like this one I think they fall behind early our D at home at night should make it an easy cover

Auburn 1Q -7 -145

 

[TLankford]

Arizona St Team Total Under 18

Gotta back a stout D on a night/home game. Offense should be able to control the ball too and limit ASU possessions

 

[Old School]

that's damn nice football cappin' right there no matter what happens in that last game..

Bravo

 

[ejthree]

that's damn nice football cappin' right there no matter what happens in that last game..

Bravo

THIS.....::toast::toast::0008:0008

 

[TLankford]

:box2:

YTD: 14-6

Just need to start playing golf or going hiking on Sundays :moon:

Already put this one in as soon as I saw it:

LSU -13.5 vs. Ole Miss

I think LSU's defense is up there with Bama's. 8pm game in Baton Rouge. Good luck Rebels. Line should be closer to -28

And this 7pt tease

Ohio State +2.5 / Texas pk

Just taking the two better teams to win these games. Both on the road but I think the talent gap and better coaching wins in both of them.

Few others that look good but wanna watch what they do:

A&M -18 vs. Ark. Auburn played very badly and still beat Arkansas by a lot. Not a true home game but I feel like A&M's fanbase will travel a lot better than pig sooey. I'd think the line would be around 24.

BYU +17 vs. Wash. Would think this game would be a low scoring ground and pound. Washington honestly didn't look great last night (they might not be and just assumed so because of the Auburn game).

South Carolina - Kentucky Under. Hopefully in the 50s. Should be a real slow boring defensive game.

Bama Team Total Over. Line is 49. Bama's TT should be that much in my opinion. Honestly I'd take Over 49 if that's what it ends up being. Mississippi State beat ULL by 46 and scored 56 in the process. Bama will score 35 minimum in the 1H with Tua in the game. Hurts can get them 2+ more TDs.

 

[TLankford]

A&M sure did shoot up... :facepalm: should have taken it at 18 but bought the hook and took it now

A&M -20.5 vs. Arkansas. reasoning above

USCe / UK Under 50 Glad to see this one in the 50s. All I was hoping for

Gonna guess the TT for Bama ends up around 57-58 based on the spread/total. Gonna wait and see what the 1H lines look like I don't really wanna bet on Bama to put up 60 even though they should. The 1H should be pretty lopsided hopefully the spread is 35 or less.

Laying off of BYU until probably saturday night after a few whiskeys if the early games go well.

opcorn2

 

[TLankford]

Bama -30.5 1H

 

[TLankford]

Easy cover to start the day. Honestly don't see Bama punting in this game. Don't think ULL is gonna get any late TDs either so gonna take a 2H

Bama 2H -14.5

They should be able to put up 17-21. Would take the 2H over 21.5 but not sure ULL can contribute at all

 

[TLankford]

4-2 on the day 18-8 YTD

LSU game and the teaser were very large bets :mj06:

A&M looked bad against Arky. I don't think the aggies are gonna fare well in the SEC this year. But Slaw is bad and Bama will win by 35+ wonder how high vegas will go with an SEC road blowout.

I'm also pretty confident in Auburn winning by 7+ in starkville. Under and MSU TT Under probably be lines to look at too.

 

[TLankford]

Lines haven't come out yet on my site but seeing them some places and hope these are the ones I get.....

LSU -3.5 over UF
Texas +7.5 over OU
Auburn -3.5 over MSU
UGA -26.5 over Vandy
Kentucky +6 over A&M
Bama -34 over Arkansas

Those look great :0003