- Mar 19, 2006
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good work.....you are wired in TLankford..keep it up
does Florida rain on LSU parade....
Alabama First Half Again ...?
Good Luck...
2018 Season Thread
- Thread starter TLankford
- Start date
good work.....you are wired in TLankford..keep it up
does Florida rain on LSU parade....
Alabama First Half Again ...?
Good Luck...
LSU's defense is pretty damn good I don't see a bad team sneaking in and winning against them. Burrows looks like a good game manager which is all they need. Honestly think the line is only 3.5 because people see UF with 2 SEC wins in a row and think they may actually be better than the team that got beat by UK at home and gave up 300 yards rushing. LSU's offense should move the ball at will.
I'm hoping Bama 1H will be -24 or less. Would probably take it up to 28. They just don't have let down games under Saban.
- Mar 19, 2006
- 38,253
- 409
- 83
- 74
Yeah this LSU team is not looking like the fall on the face teams of the past...Line surprised me thought it would have been a tad higher ..Sag has this game almost pickem based on those 2 SEC WINS
I expect Saban to blow out everybody he can just because he can..Especially now that he has a QB to throw it all over the yard.
Look for Meyer to blow the doors off Indiana after that close call Saturday..Time to impress the pollsters.
good luck...
Put these in since I'm gonna be MIA from Thursday to Sunday and don't really see the lines moving too much
Texas +7.5 over OU. Texas has at least been battle tested a little. OU been beating up on cupcakes. This game also has been a 1-score game all the way back to 2013 and those were some pretty lopsided games where UT was outmatched. I don't think the talent is that uneven this year.
Bama -35 over Arkansas. Fading Arkansas as much as I'm riding Bama here. I don't see them pulling a backdoor cover like A&M did
Wisconsin -20 over Nebraska. The Huskers are real real bad. Badgers haven't been lighting people up but they should be able to cover 3 scores at night / at home vs. an awful team.
Auburn -3.5 over Miss St. Lots of people been dogging Auburn after Saturdays game. We didn't look bad before a massive weather delay and 3 injuries on offense. Honestly hard to tell how severe or if they'll play this week but Whitlow is replaceable at RB. And the OL wasn't anything special to begin with. Our D is healthy and should be all we need to cover a small line
Kentucky +5.5 over A&M. Aggies shouldn't be favored by more than a FG vs. anyone. Especially not a team that's playing some pretty solid defense.
LSU -3 over UF. I thought -13 was too low for the Ole Miss game and the public drove it all the way down to -10 by kickoff :lol: People going to keep disrespecting LSU because Burrows isn't a sexy pick at QB and their coach is straight out of the bayou. But that defense is the truth and UF's offense is fucking bad. Their run defense is bad too. Brosette should cruise to 200 yards in this game.
Probably it for me. 6 games is more than I like betting in a week but I really like all of these... so probably have that bad week I'm due for :0003
Texas +7.5 over OU. Texas has at least been battle tested a little. OU been beating up on cupcakes. This game also has been a 1-score game all the way back to 2013 and those were some pretty lopsided games where UT was outmatched. I don't think the talent is that uneven this year.
Bama -35 over Arkansas. Fading Arkansas as much as I'm riding Bama here. I don't see them pulling a backdoor cover like A&M did
Wisconsin -20 over Nebraska. The Huskers are real real bad. Badgers haven't been lighting people up but they should be able to cover 3 scores at night / at home vs. an awful team.
Auburn -3.5 over Miss St. Lots of people been dogging Auburn after Saturdays game. We didn't look bad before a massive weather delay and 3 injuries on offense. Honestly hard to tell how severe or if they'll play this week but Whitlow is replaceable at RB. And the OL wasn't anything special to begin with. Our D is healthy and should be all we need to cover a small line
Kentucky +5.5 over A&M. Aggies shouldn't be favored by more than a FG vs. anyone. Especially not a team that's playing some pretty solid defense.
LSU -3 over UF. I thought -13 was too low for the Ole Miss game and the public drove it all the way down to -10 by kickoff :lol: People going to keep disrespecting LSU because Burrows isn't a sexy pick at QB and their coach is straight out of the bayou. But that defense is the truth and UF's offense is fucking bad. Their run defense is bad too. Brosette should cruise to 200 yards in this game.
Probably it for me. 6 games is more than I like betting in a week but I really like all of these... so probably have that bad week I'm due for :0003
:facepalm: Hate that for you... was due for a bad week and sure as shit happened. Just glad I was at austin city limits festival all day and didn't see my money flying away
1-5 day saturday with Bama/Kentucky losing by a hook/point and Wisconsin letting the backdoor cover. Really hate to see something like an Arkansas TD to cover with 13 seconds left. fuck that.
19-13 YTD.
Oh well back on the horse
Bama/Mizzou Under 75
Think this game looks a lot like the Bama/A&M game but doubt Mizzou puts up as many as Aggie did. Over has been a popular play for Bama every week and it's been great at 5-1 but have a feeling that gets closer to .500 over the next few weeks.
LSU/UGA Under 50
LSU D really didn't play bad vs. UF. Only gave up 20 points. I would assume UGA can do a little more than that but then again UGA hasn't played an actual defense yet this year and it's in Baton Rouge... everyone knows weird shit just happens there. Tough place to play
Auburn/Tennessee Under 47
As bad as Vols D has looked I think the injuries to our offense have crippled Auburn and we're not gonna be able to run the ball or have a deep passing game to have any semblance of a quick strike. Fitzgerald took us to the woodshed, but that's just an Auburn thing being smoked by a "do it all" QB. Our defense should still keep this a low scoring game. Not sure how the hell we're favored by 15.5 - fanbase is mighty upset with Gus and 11am is not a good game for a bounce back.
another meh week at 1-2. Did load up on the Bama Under after the first two got screwed by turnovers and short fields.
20-15 YTD
Like a few this week but gonna look into them a little more been jumping at lines lately without doing much capping.
MSU +7 vs. Mich. Probably buy the hook and take a TD for the home team in a rivalry game
Ole Miss +ML vs. Auburn. Ole Miss is not good but Auburn's Offense is just trash with our OL dropping like flies. We haven't been killing it in the pass rushing game enough to help out an inexperienced secondary. Auburn has been very bad on the road, and worse at 11am under Gus. Brown and Metcalf should have great games for OMiss
Tennessee Team Total Under vs. Bama - obviously depends on what it comes out at, but I'd take anything 14.5 or higher. Vols offense style is what Bama is good against.
Kentucky -11 vs. Vandy. Should look a little like the UK-USC game. Vandy is still Vandy
Another one that jumped off the page... NCST +16 vs. Clemson. Kinda looks like a trap bet on NCST since Clemson has looked so underwhelming this year and NCST is ranked and has a good record. Haven't played anyone and saw they lost most of the D to the NFL. Could see Clemson boat racing this one
20-15 YTD
Like a few this week but gonna look into them a little more been jumping at lines lately without doing much capping.
MSU +7 vs. Mich. Probably buy the hook and take a TD for the home team in a rivalry game
Ole Miss +ML vs. Auburn. Ole Miss is not good but Auburn's Offense is just trash with our OL dropping like flies. We haven't been killing it in the pass rushing game enough to help out an inexperienced secondary. Auburn has been very bad on the road, and worse at 11am under Gus. Brown and Metcalf should have great games for OMiss
Tennessee Team Total Under vs. Bama - obviously depends on what it comes out at, but I'd take anything 14.5 or higher. Vols offense style is what Bama is good against.
Kentucky -11 vs. Vandy. Should look a little like the UK-USC game. Vandy is still Vandy
Another one that jumped off the page... NCST +16 vs. Clemson. Kinda looks like a trap bet on NCST since Clemson has looked so underwhelming this year and NCST is ranked and has a good record. Haven't played anyone and saw they lost most of the D to the NFL. Could see Clemson boat racing this one
Teased
OSU -11.5 / A&M +10.5
Also a parlay that pays out a little better than even:
Bama, ND, Michigan, Oklahoma - All MLs
OSU -11.5 / A&M +10.5
Also a parlay that pays out a little better than even:
Bama, ND, Michigan, Oklahoma - All MLs
UGA -14 (-120) over Auburn
Bama -25 over MSU
Also parlayed both. UGA should put up 21+ which would be enough to cover with Auburn's offense. Only team to cover 25 vs. Bama was A&M in a backdoor. Doubt that happens with MSU
Bama -25 over MSU
Also parlayed both. UGA should put up 21+ which would be enough to cover with Auburn's offense. Only team to cover 25 vs. Bama was A&M in a backdoor. Doubt that happens with MSU
Bama 1Q -7
Bama 1H -16
Auburn TT Under 14.5
pretty simple logic here - Auburn run game has been non-existent this year and our WRs know what separation is. Bama CBs will lock them down and they're good tacklers vs our favorite pass play - the bubble screen.
Auburn secondary is too young and just not good enough to stop that passing attack. Tua should have time to pick us apart.
I do think there's a chance of a backdoor cover in the 2H if they get conservative late in the game with a 28-31pt lead and Auburn could upset some people with a 31-7 final... I could also see us getting beat 42-0 so I'm not touching the full game line.
Bama 1H -16
Auburn TT Under 14.5
pretty simple logic here - Auburn run game has been non-existent this year and our WRs know what separation is. Bama CBs will lock them down and they're good tacklers vs our favorite pass play - the bubble screen.
Auburn secondary is too young and just not good enough to stop that passing attack. Tua should have time to pick us apart.
I do think there's a chance of a backdoor cover in the 2H if they get conservative late in the game with a 28-31pt lead and Auburn could upset some people with a 31-7 final... I could also see us getting beat 42-0 so I'm not touching the full game line.
