2020 Season

BASON

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Thanks Yanno, really appreciate the kind words!

Laying off the Nats game today. Corbin has actually been pitching well and the Nats usually do well against Matz. Need to see some hitting from the Nats before I play them though. Maybe getting away from home will do them some good.

I know it is still early, but the loss of Rendon is even more impactful than I thought. This is exacerbated by Turner and Eaton struggling, but after Soto they have no one that scares anyone. Love Kendrick, but he is not a power bat and there is no one to protect him. Thames has to step up, but he has been terrible with men on. I also thought Zimmerman not playing would be no big deal, but they could use him.
 

BASON

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Nats bats finally came alive so maybe going on the road was a help. Not sure they can do it 2 nights in a row, but Max is on the hill and I think last night's win is going to motivate him. He limped off the field in his last start and I do not think he was happy about that. He has a couple average starts so far, but I am expecting a big game from him tonight. Rarely do you get this kind of number with him, so hopefully the Nats can give him some run support.

Nats -150

Both pitchers are going well in the O's/Phillies game, so we get a low total, but I have a feeling we see some runs in this game

O's Ov 8.5 -115
 

BASON

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My pleasure, always nice to sweep. Max was not really on his game. He had trouble controlling the fast ball and used 60 pitches to get thru the first two innings. Couple of double plays helped him make it thru 6. Helps that the Mets are not very good at all. I see no line yet for today. Usually Sanchez would be a play against no matter what since he has been getting hit hard so far. Need to see who the Mets start. Over could be a play.

The O's/Phils game was a shit show last night. The last few innings were crazy. The Phillies bullpen is a complete disaster and enough for me to make a small bet on:

O's Ov 10 -110

Maybe it looks too easy, but unless Eflin goes 7 or 8 the Phils are in trouble and the O's bullpen has to be a little stretched after 7 relievers pitched last night (the Phillies had 5). Could see this game going like last night. Low scoring early, then many runs late. Plus, the ball is just flying out of that band box in Philly. Harper hit a ball that I did not even blink at because I thought it was a routine opposite filed fly ball and it actually went out of the park. Could not believe it.

Will try to come back once I see who the Mets put on the mound.
 

BASON

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Adding:

Nats Ov 9.5 -110

Do not like Sanchez at all and not exited about laying money on the Mets so will take a shot with the over.
 

BASON

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Really thought we had another sweep last night. Not sure how that O's game did not go over.

The Orioles are tempting once again at big + money as they continue to get zero respect, but I will go a different way today:

O's TT Ov 3.5 -130

Even if Arrieta is lights out, their bullpen still has to pitch. I also do not think Arrieta can be consistent and the Orioles just continue to hit everyone. I think they can get to 4 in this game.
 

BASON

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Another easy winner. The O's are the gift that just keeps on giving, so coming back with the same bet tonight:

O's TT Ov 3.5 -120

Same basic theory as yesterday. Even is Strasburg is lights out I do not see him making it more than six innings. He got tired in the 5th in his last start and I see the same happening tonight. I think they get a couple off of him and a few more on the bullpen. This team is full of confidence and is playing good baseball. You have the added factor that the bullpen could be weakened since they have to finish the suspended game before this game.

I knew they had some hitters and would score runs, but I also thought their pitching would be the worst in the league, but it is holding up. Not great, but much better than anyone thought. If their starters keep this up, they can compete and they do not get the Yankees (the team they struggle with the most) again until September (look at their September schedule, they have 12 straight games against New York, Yankees and Mets!). I think this series with the Nats can prove they are a contender for a WC spot and they will be huge dogs in every game once again.

This is a huge series for the Nats in my opinion. They have their 3 best starters going against the Orioles and the bats are starting to come around. They could end up being swept by the O's after the suspended game, so they really need a sweep to prove they are a contender.

I am looking forward to this series (and the Bayern/Barca CL game today!!!).
 

BASON

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Been focusing on soccer for now so not posting everyday. Soccer is on fire by the way, so check it out if you have not already.

Sanchez has been absolutely terrible so far for the Nats. If anyone else was pitching for the Braves I would be all over the Braves, but this Toussaint guy may be worse than Sanchez, so

Nats Ov 10 -125

Thought about just playing the first 5, but I will take the over for the game. Nats are hitting the ball better and Sanchez should be good for 5.
 

BASON

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Another winner, should have stuck with the first 5 but the Nats bullpen sucks once again.

Braves -130

Voth has been decent for the Nats, but he is getting too much credit here in my opinion. Too good of a price with the Braves who are simply better then the Nats. Nats thrived last year on great starting pitching and clutch hitting, neither of which they are getting this year.
 

BASON

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Will get back into Bases now for the Playoffs.

Cleveland -104 - I will take this price for Bieber at home each and every day. Happy to take the best pitcher in the AL at even money at home. Cole will give up a couple of HRs and I expect Bieber to be lights out.

Tor TT Ov 2.5 -150 - Tempted to take Toronto simply based on value, but I will take this instead. I expect Toronto to get a few on Snell and this to be over early.

I like the Twins but do not like laying -163 on them, so I will use them in a parlay or two.
 

BASON

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Could not have sucked any worse yesterday and was shocked to see Bieber get crushed.

Will give it one more try today. Sticking solely with TTs listed in order of preference:

Braves Ov 3.5 -125
Minnesota Ov 4.5 -105
Brewers Ov 2.5 -135
 
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