2025 Road to Nattyville
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
Line has moved to 57.5 to 59 depending on which book you're using, play to 60.5
Games left, went 2-1 last night, +4.9 units as the Lobos crushed UCLA. I stated 2 years ago, the hire for their current HC and former Bruin was a bad choice!!!
Week 3, Sept 11-13, 2025
N'western +27.5 - Ducks could probably name their score like they did vs Okie Jr, however, Big10 dogs over 21+ points are live plays and NW has under performed badly thus far getting thumped by Tulane away 2 weeks ago, they should be up for the Ducks to keep this under 4 TDs.
Wyoming +23.5 - Utah hasn't played anyone yet, Wyoming shutout a bad Akron team, this is at Laramie so Dampier should get road tested here
Western Michigan +27.5 - Illini off a huge road win at ACC pretender Puke, now come home huge favs vs a team
Texas Tech -23.5 - Tech's 3rd straight home game where their potent offense should run it up on the Beavers who lost their two games vs Cal & Fresno, both non-covers.
Over 60, now 61.5 Oregon St/Tex Tech (5 units)
Purdue +21.5 - Boilers new HC Odom did manage to throw a shutout vs Ball State which has a new HC and lost a lot of starters, now host USC which beat Missouri State & Ga Southern pretty easily, now Trojans go on the road in the Big10 as a huge road fav vs a team which has average 34 points after 2 games, USC on the road under Riley has pretty much sucked.
Over 53.5, now 54 Navy/Tulsa (5 units)
Temple +24.5 - Oklahoma could be in a flat spot here after the hyped matchup vs Michigan at home, now go into Philly facing a program with a new HC who did a great job at Sam Houston, the Owls have put up 55 and 42 points vs sub-par teams and Sooners haven't offensively broken out just yet under Mateer, putting up 24 points vs Michigan and only 35 vs Illinois State.
Bowling Green +7, now +6 - Liberty isn't what it was, they lost their QB to Colorado and Bowling Green being in the MAC at home in a dog role, could given Liberty problems, Liberty lost at Jax State and barely beat Maine the week prior, where as BG did manage to put up 20 points vs Cincy and got their first win the week prior vs Lafayette.
Over 58.5 Texas St/Arizona St (5 units)
-added 9/10/25-
Under 49.5 Ga/Tenn (5 units)
Notre Dame -6.5 - Irish have had almost 2 weeks to prepare for the Aggies who are off a DD home win vs Utah St, ND Defense much better on paper than last year, albeit they gave up over 20 pts to U of M, Carr should have his act together in this tilt but the running game for the Irish should be the difference and it is a home game, possible weather, Reed for A&M is a tad better than last year, but home field addy should give Irish a 8 pt or more win
Miami-F -16.5 - USF off two upsets, Boise & Florida, both teams stink, Florida HC Napier probably will get bounced after they lose at LSU, Hurricanes gave ND fits on certain situations at home and will do the same to Brown for USF, USF did manage to take out Boise's offense & Florida as well, now going on the road in-state where U of M won last year by 50-15 at USF.
Over 61.5 Ark/Miss - both teams can put up points, Ole Miss off hard fought battle at Kentucky whereas Arky played Arky Jr last week, neither "D" should stop the other team from scoring
Ga Tech +4, now +3.5 - I'm not sold on Dabo anymore, Klubnik is just average for a QB, he got hot at the right time last year now face a team on the rise with a determined HC and solid QB who's getting little love in King.
WV +6.5, now +7.5 - Hillbillies looked like shit last week vs Ohio on the road, now face a Pitt team who's faced who? Duquesne an FCS team and Central Michigan? Rivalry type game and Rich Rod will have the home crowd pumped here in Morgantown.
U Conn -9.5, now -7.5 - U Conn off a hard fought OT loss to Sillycuse last week should be awake vs Delaware who played hard last week in the Mile High air and Fagano should have his passing shoes on.
Iowa St -20.5 - Clones off hard fought instate battle vs Hawkeyes, Becht should have his passing shoes on here on the road in Jonesboro, Clones special teams and running game should make swiss cheese out of the Red Wolves
Kentucky -24.5 - Wildcats played hard vs Ole Miss last week and b2b home games they should be ready here vs EMU who's giving up points in the 2 beginning tilts and looked like horseshit
Under 48.5 Vandy/S Car - Vandy "D" should be all over Sellers, Pavia played well last year vs Cocks although they lost 28-7, revenge mode here on the road and could the home team?
Over 54 Hou Christian / Huskers (10 units) - huskers should get 56 by them selves . 8 TDs.
10-12, -3.2, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
7-12, -30.0, 5 unit plays
4-3-2, +3.5, 5 unit live plays
2-1, +4.5, 5 unit half time plays
WON....24...LOSS....29..PUSH...2..., -21.2 units, since 8/23/25
-added-
Bama -20.5 (5 units) - got a feeling DeBoer's team comes out smoking today in a humid, hot enivornment whereas Bama typically bounces back at home vs top competition, giving up 3 TDS tho to Wisky? Yes, why? D O'Neil for Wisky is an accurate passer however Wisky's running game sucks, they did manage to put up some points vs Middle Tenn last week, but everyone's scored on MTSU. Bama's "D" in this tilt will be top notch and give O'Neil fits, turnovers will decide the fate and I see Bama's running game, check on Miller's status again, will be potent and Simpson will find some deep outs in this home tilt in front of a hostile crow in Tuscaloosa. Bama by 24
Missouri -27 (5 units) - Public has pounded ULL, 63% on ULL however line has gone from -21.5 to -27 for Mizzou? Hmmm. Tigers QB Horn out for season however he played in like 2 plays week 0-1, Tigers at home won't be a fun environment for ULL. Mizzou by 30!!
Ole Miss -6.5 (1 unit) - Rebels QB Simmons should light up Hog "D", home game after tilt vs Kentucky away last week, Arky played instate game vs Arky jr, that wasn't any test at all, Ole Miss at home typically has an edge, this line went from 12.5 down to 6.5 with 56% of public on Arkansas? I'll bite and go contrarian!! Ole Miss by 19, 49-30.
Washington State offense is lost. Wonder when NT will play subs or try to destroy them, GL!
Overall a winning week, missing Ole Miss by the hook and ND can't win at home, went 18-11-1, +21.7 units!! Ya baybee! On to week 4.
21-20, -1.0, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
11-14, -22.0, 5 unit plays
5-3-2, +8.5, 5 unit live plays
2-2-1, -1.0, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....42...LOSS....40..PUSH...3..., -0.5 units, since 8/23/25
21-20, -1.0, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
11-14, -22.0, 5 unit plays
5-3-2, +8.5, 5 unit live plays
2-2-1, -1.0, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....42...LOSS....40..PUSH...3..., -0.5 units, since 8/23/25
Week 4/5, 9/18/25 to 9/20/25
Getting this one in now before numbers change:
13 point teaser -120 (5 units):
Rice +10.5
Under 58.5 Iowa/Rutgers
Over 49.5 Arkansas/Memphis
Over 41.5 Tulsa/Oklahoma State
More to come
21-20, -1.0, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
11-14, -22.0, 5 unit plays
5-3-2, +8.5, 5 unit live plays
2-2-1, -1.0, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....42...LOSS....40..PUSH...3..., -0.5 units, since 8/23/25
Getting this one in now before numbers change:
13 point teaser -120 (5 units):
Rice +10.5
Under 58.5 Iowa/Rutgers
Over 49.5 Arkansas/Memphis
Over 41.5 Tulsa/Oklahoma State
More to come
21-20, -1.0, 1 unit plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit halftime plays
0-1, -1.0, 1 unit SWTeasers
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit SWTeasers
11-14, -22.0, 5 unit plays
5-3-2, +8.5, 5 unit live plays
2-2-1, -1.0, 5 unit half time plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit total, Nebraska/Hou Chr over 54, line moved to 59.5, Nebraska 56 Hou Chr 7
WON....42...LOSS....40..PUSH...3..., -0.5 units, since 8/23/25
Thursday 9/18/25
Rice -2 - Owls offense & defense with some talent, matchup well with Charlotte with a new HC and struggling early in the season even at home. Owls did manage to beat ULL away.
-additional plays up tomorrow-
nice call on rice......i did a last minute switcheroo and took charlotte 
1-0 last night, Rice's running game and pop passes too much for 49ers who lost their starting QB though Loftis is a better go to anyway. Have the sweetheart teaser still in play with tonight's game total playing under in the teaser.
Rest of Week 4's games, Sept 19-20
Over 54.5 Tulsa/Okie jr - Cowpokes HC mullett brain is on the hot seat no matter what folks state, he can't get the recruits he used to, his assistants have left at least the good ones for better jobs and pay, loyalty among families in Stillwater with high hopes once are now realistic and could care less is they bring back Gundy or not! He's a poser! Tulsa with a young program can score, but they suck otherwise, this is a shootout of 2 bad programs on national TV, OSU 38 Tulsa 21
Over 50.5 NT/Army - Army did manage to go into Manhattan and beat an ok K State team and they put up points vs Tarleton State who most folks have dissed since they're an FCS team but don't let that fool you when post season begins with Tarleton State mixed in it, North Texas had a hard fought battle last week and they'll have troubles stopping Army's running game which also shows the tendency to pass with quality plays, this is a shootout too, Army 38 NT 31
UNLV -2.5 - Runnin Rebs are back, Mullen's name already thrown out there for better jobs at V Tech & UCLA? Come on ppl!! Get a life, he's not going anywhere just yet and his team in Vegas piggy backs off last year's success. Miami OH btw, is just meh, most MAC teams are showing vulnerability and not covering the number as they have in the past vs Non-conference show downs. This is a good spot for the Runnin Rebs on the road to show what they are made of. UNLV 31 M-OH 14
Over 63.5 SMU/TCU - shootout with two quality QBs going H2H here, Jennings should expose the "D" that gave up a first drive TD to UNC in week 1, TCU counters with a decent passing game and have depth at running back, word is Barnes may not play for the horny toads, SMU 41 TCU 35.
Miami-F -7 - Canes on paper much better than the Gators, especially on "D", last year Canes won at Fla 42-17, this is in Miami, make it close to a repeat, Miami 35 Fla 24
N Illini +21.5 - Huskies may give Bulldogs fits as they did Notre Dame last year. Sandwich spot, State off big win vs ASU and N Illini program looking to evolve further under Hammock.
Over 56.5 T Tech/Utes - first tested matchup for both teams, Red Raiders highest scoring "O" in the nation, Utes put up points too with Dampier, mile high area of the country, Tech could get winded the 2H, Utah 37 TT 34
Over 62.5 Hogs/Tigers - Arkansas will best tested by the Tigers here after a battle in Oxford last weekend coming up short vs the Rebels, Tigers are just plodding along and scoring on everyone so far, big recruiting spot too for Hogs here, neither "D" is potent enuf to stop the other from scoring, the rest will be field position, Hogs are 7-0 in 2nd of B2B road games, Tigers 7-0 as dogs > 6 points, Ark 38 Memphis 30
Over 47.5 S Car/Mizzou - Sellers may play here, he got an ouchy last weekend, Mizzou has been playing lights out, another home tilt here, no let down, Tigers could run it up in a revenge spot where they lost 34-30 last year, Mizzou 35 SC 27
Over 55.5 Beavers/Ducks (5 units) - Ducks can name their score, Beavers sucked all year, revenge spot here tho it's in Eugene home of the Ducks, Dante goes off Ducks 49 Beavers 14
ULL -2.5 - Ragin Cajuns just too much for EMU
Over 56.5 Kent St/Noles (5 units) - Noles may look ahead and can name their number here, Castellanos may not play the entire game once Noles are up, this feels like a national blowout, FSU 56 Kent St 7
Over 47.5 Auburn/Sooners - most touts all over Sooners and talking about their "D", Tigers have added a couple new coordinators and QB looking in a revenge spot on the road will test Sooners, OU 31 AU 24
Over 60.5 Green Wave/Rebs (5 units) - should be a shootout in Oxford, Ole Piss 35 Tulane 31
Huskers +2.5 - Homer call? Hmmm? Bugeaters have not gone on the road yet, this is game 4 in a row at home, Sparty on deck, revenge situation as Nebraska has lost 3 straight to Wolverines, who are young, Underwood on the road for 2nd time, face a hostile crowd vs a team that can pass to the tight ends and have electric wideouts and a Heisman darkhorse in Emmett Johnson, Raiola should control the ball well, Husker DBS hunt down Underwood, Nebraska pulls it out 31 to 27.
Over 45.5 Mich/Bugeaters (read above)
Over 49.5 Cougars/Pirates - ECU in a home dog spot for first time this year, Cougars get tested on the road, BYU 34 ECU 30
Illini +6.5 - Hoosiers are tuff and have a decent running game, Illini with established QB and find ways to take turnovers into points, coin flip
Over 52.5 Illini/Hoosiers
Over 53 Wazoo/Huskies
Over 52.5 G State/Commodores (5 units) - Pavia in a revenge situation, Vandy 41 GSU 20
Cal -11.5 - Bears young QB should exploit Ass-teks here on the road after beating them last year 31-10 at home, this time on the road, duplicate, Cal 31 SDSU 17
Rest of Week 4's games, Sept 19-20
Over 54.5 Tulsa/Okie jr - Cowpokes HC mullett brain is on the hot seat no matter what folks state, he can't get the recruits he used to, his assistants have left at least the good ones for better jobs and pay, loyalty among families in Stillwater with high hopes once are now realistic and could care less is they bring back Gundy or not! He's a poser! Tulsa with a young program can score, but they suck otherwise, this is a shootout of 2 bad programs on national TV, OSU 38 Tulsa 21
Over 50.5 NT/Army - Army did manage to go into Manhattan and beat an ok K State team and they put up points vs Tarleton State who most folks have dissed since they're an FCS team but don't let that fool you when post season begins with Tarleton State mixed in it, North Texas had a hard fought battle last week and they'll have troubles stopping Army's running game which also shows the tendency to pass with quality plays, this is a shootout too, Army 38 NT 31
UNLV -2.5 - Runnin Rebs are back, Mullen's name already thrown out there for better jobs at V Tech & UCLA? Come on ppl!! Get a life, he's not going anywhere just yet and his team in Vegas piggy backs off last year's success. Miami OH btw, is just meh, most MAC teams are showing vulnerability and not covering the number as they have in the past vs Non-conference show downs. This is a good spot for the Runnin Rebs on the road to show what they are made of. UNLV 31 M-OH 14
Over 63.5 SMU/TCU - shootout with two quality QBs going H2H here, Jennings should expose the "D" that gave up a first drive TD to UNC in week 1, TCU counters with a decent passing game and have depth at running back, word is Barnes may not play for the horny toads, SMU 41 TCU 35.
Miami-F -7 - Canes on paper much better than the Gators, especially on "D", last year Canes won at Fla 42-17, this is in Miami, make it close to a repeat, Miami 35 Fla 24
N Illini +21.5 - Huskies may give Bulldogs fits as they did Notre Dame last year. Sandwich spot, State off big win vs ASU and N Illini program looking to evolve further under Hammock.
Over 56.5 T Tech/Utes - first tested matchup for both teams, Red Raiders highest scoring "O" in the nation, Utes put up points too with Dampier, mile high area of the country, Tech could get winded the 2H, Utah 37 TT 34
Over 62.5 Hogs/Tigers - Arkansas will best tested by the Tigers here after a battle in Oxford last weekend coming up short vs the Rebels, Tigers are just plodding along and scoring on everyone so far, big recruiting spot too for Hogs here, neither "D" is potent enuf to stop the other from scoring, the rest will be field position, Hogs are 7-0 in 2nd of B2B road games, Tigers 7-0 as dogs > 6 points, Ark 38 Memphis 30
Over 47.5 S Car/Mizzou - Sellers may play here, he got an ouchy last weekend, Mizzou has been playing lights out, another home tilt here, no let down, Tigers could run it up in a revenge spot where they lost 34-30 last year, Mizzou 35 SC 27
Over 55.5 Beavers/Ducks (5 units) - Ducks can name their score, Beavers sucked all year, revenge spot here tho it's in Eugene home of the Ducks, Dante goes off Ducks 49 Beavers 14
ULL -2.5 - Ragin Cajuns just too much for EMU
Over 56.5 Kent St/Noles (5 units) - Noles may look ahead and can name their number here, Castellanos may not play the entire game once Noles are up, this feels like a national blowout, FSU 56 Kent St 7
Over 47.5 Auburn/Sooners - most touts all over Sooners and talking about their "D", Tigers have added a couple new coordinators and QB looking in a revenge spot on the road will test Sooners, OU 31 AU 24
Over 60.5 Green Wave/Rebs (5 units) - should be a shootout in Oxford, Ole Piss 35 Tulane 31
Huskers +2.5 - Homer call? Hmmm? Bugeaters have not gone on the road yet, this is game 4 in a row at home, Sparty on deck, revenge situation as Nebraska has lost 3 straight to Wolverines, who are young, Underwood on the road for 2nd time, face a hostile crowd vs a team that can pass to the tight ends and have electric wideouts and a Heisman darkhorse in Emmett Johnson, Raiola should control the ball well, Husker DBS hunt down Underwood, Nebraska pulls it out 31 to 27.
Over 45.5 Mich/Bugeaters (read above)
Over 49.5 Cougars/Pirates - ECU in a home dog spot for first time this year, Cougars get tested on the road, BYU 34 ECU 30
Illini +6.5 - Hoosiers are tuff and have a decent running game, Illini with established QB and find ways to take turnovers into points, coin flip
Over 52.5 Illini/Hoosiers
Over 53 Wazoo/Huskies
Over 52.5 G State/Commodores (5 units) - Pavia in a revenge situation, Vandy 41 GSU 20
Cal -11.5 - Bears young QB should exploit Ass-teks here on the road after beating them last year 31-10 at home, this time on the road, duplicate, Cal 31 SDSU 17
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