I have a friend who pays one every week and I can't remember when he has lost. He always plays 3 teams that he can jack the toal under 28 and keeps winnig. What % of the NFL games each week go over 4 td's-28pts? I am thinking a lot.
3 Tm 10 Pt tease
- Thread starter hawkeye
- Start date
After 3 weeks--81% of the games go over 27 pts. Should be easy to pick 3 games each week that will. I am going to give it a try and keep you up dated. GL
Hell you just eliminate games where the teams either have a poor off or a great def--I think it would be easy to find 3 games a week--guess waht nothing is eas in betting-but going to give it a try.
- Dec 13, 2005
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You only get to play the game sthat have totals of 38 or lower. So that kinda narrow your choices down.
hawkeye - a totals guy like you would kill this. I have been doing 3team/10pt and 4 team/13pt teasers for years now with success. I like to do NFL totals and mix them with college sides. I often put the college sides in on Saturday then have a one or two open spots to pick from NFL sides or totals, mostly totals. Some bets are set up for failure, so if watch for them, you can avoid the pit falls. (Washington -12.5 comes to mind). I usually never take a road team, although I did have Boise this last Sat. 65% is break even, but doable. Will watch for what you do.
Like nothing this week your choices are Cin ov 28-Det ov 29-TB ov 27-StL ov 27--not much htere I liek the best--Oak un 51'-Ten un 51'-NE un 54' & Den un53'--will have to see
Hawk, with D A starting for the Clowns, I think that more points will go on the board. They should top 28 for sure
Thought I'd put in my 2-cent cuz I like teasers also.
I would not recommend playing under of game total in teaser, any teaser for that matter 6/7/10/13 pts. Crazy things can happen in a game and push the total out of whack... TO, KO/Punt returns, blocks, INTs all lead to touchdowns that unaccounted for. Those are the points that we can not foresee when capping a game. How many times have we seen a total is around 30+/40+ and ended up in the 70's and kill even the 13 pt teaser
I would not recommend playing under of game total in teaser, any teaser for that matter 6/7/10/13 pts. Crazy things can happen in a game and push the total out of whack... TO, KO/Punt returns, blocks, INTs all lead to touchdowns that unaccounted for. Those are the points that we can not foresee when capping a game. How many times have we seen a total is around 30+/40+ and ended up in the 70's and kill even the 13 pt teaser
holy crap its been a long time since I've posted, but I had to jump in too. I last did this a couple years ago and always did 4 teamers for 13 points and always teased up. I was real back and forth with it and never really came out ahead. Didn't devote a ton of time to it either. I love the logic behind this, and think if you give the games the time to cap, it can be good. Never did 3 teamers... maybe that's the way to go:shrug:
