(5) Cincinnati (11-0) at (14) Pittsburgh (9-2)

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
(5) Cincinnati (11-0) at (14) Pittsburgh (9-2)



Saturday, December 5th, 12:00 p.m. (et)


GAME NOTES: The fifth-ranked and undefeated Cincinnati Bearcats will battle the 14th-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers this weekend at Heinz Field, with the winner earning the Big East's automatic berth to a BSC bowl.

With Pitt's loss to West Virginia this past week, the Bearcats are already guaranteed at least a share of the league title, as they are one game up on the Panthers at 6-0. Cincinnati, which won the outright title last season and advanced to the Orange Bowl, is off to an 11-0 start for the first time in school history. Included in that record is a 49-36 besting of Illinois this past weekend in a non-conference affair.

"This was a great football game," said Brian Kelly, whose program is one of six still undefeated in the nation. "There was a great atmosphere at Nippert Stadium today. It is fun. We played a good football team. At this point, it is about finding ways to win."

Winners of their last 17 regular-season games, the Bearcats are obviously one of the top teams around and with a little lucky and a win this weekend, they could even end up playing for the national title.

As for Pitt, its chances of winning the outright Big East title came to and end last Friday with a last-second 19-16 loss to rival West Virginia in the annual "Backyard Brawl" in Morgantown.

"The only comment that I have looking back, and it's really nothing different from what I said after the game, is that we just didn't make enough plays in some critical situations to give ourselves a chance to win the game in a very tough environment on the road. Its as simple as that," said head coach Dave Wannstedt.

Despite the loss, which snapped a six-game win streak, the Panthers can still complete a terrific regular-season campaign with a win this weekend. A victory would give Pitt its first 10-win campaign since 1981 and its first Big East title since sharing the crown in 2004 and moving on to the Fiesta Bowl.

Pitt leads the head-to-head series with Cincinnati, 7-1, but the Bearcats grabbed their lone win and the "River City Rivalry" trophy with a 28-21 victory at Nippert Stadium last season.

Tony Pike, making his first start since suffering a injury to his left forearm, threw for 399 yards and a career-high six touchdowns in a victory over Illinois this past weekend.

"It is awesome to be back," stated Pike, who was injured against South Florida on October 15th and returned in a limited role against West Virginia on November 13th. "I was ready. Sitting for so long, you just want to get back out there and start playing."

A possible Heisman Trophy candidate prior to the injury, Pike is among the top quarterbacks in the nation and despite missing time, he has still thrown for 2,048 yards, with 23 scores and just three picks in eight appearances.

Two weapons at Pike's disposal are wideouts Mardy Gilyard and Armon Binns. The elusive and versatile Gilyard leads the team with 75 catches, 1,032 yards and 10 touchdowns, while the more physical Binns follows with 51 receptions for 755 yards and nine scores. Last weekend, Gilyard was simply sensational, racking up 102 yards and two scores through the air, while also returning a kickoff 90 yards for another touchdown.

In the backfield, Isaiah Pead is the team's leading rusher with 682 yards and eight scores. He is averaging an electric 6.5 yards per carry, but wasn't a factor last weekend after rushing for 175 yards against West Virginia the prior game.

On defense is where Cincinnati has to be concerned, as the unit hasn't played that well in recent weeks following a surprising start to the season. Over the last three games, the Bearcats are allowing 34.0 ppg, which is well above their season average of 18.6 ppg.

Last weekend, Cincinnati's defense wasn't all that sharp either, as the group permitting 476 total yards, including 307 through the air, to Illinois.

"They are who they are," said coach Kelly. "They have to battle. We are grinding out there. We don't help our defense very much on offense. We just want to win. We have an offense; so let them go. We played 21 minutes of offense compared to their 36 minutes."

The defense not only spent an abundance of time on the field, but the unit also failed to come up with a single sack or turnover. That was the biggest surprise from a unit which has notched 32 sacks and 14 interceptions on the campaign.

J.K. Schaffer paced the defense with 14 stops and he now has 81 tackles, to with three picks for the season. Aaron Webster also has three interceptions to his credit, while Andre Revels tops the roster with 96 tackles.

The Panthers were held to a season-low 16 points last weekend, as they dropped a heart-breaker to WVU. Pitt, which is averaging a much higher 32.4 ppg for the season, did receive another big game from Dion Lewis, as he rushed for 155 yards on 26 carries. It marked the eighth 100-yard effort of the season for the freshman sensation, who has now totaled 1,446 yards and 13 scores on the ground in a simply remarkable rookie campaign.

Quarterback Bill Stull however, had his worst game of the season last week, completing only 16-of-30 tosses for 179 yards and two picks. He did have a late 50-yard touchdown pass to tie the game at 16-16, but he was inconsistent for most of the night. Despite that performance, Stull has managed one of the more balanced offenses in the Big East by completing 64.9 percent of his tosses for 2,229 yards, with 19 scores and only six interceptions.

"Right now, after 11 games, we're statistically in the top ten in the country in a lot of meaningful offensive categories," said Wannstedt. "We're balanced. If you look at the Big East, we're first, second, or third, in almost every offensive category, running or throwing the ball."

Jonathan Baldwin hauled in that long touchdown pass from Stull against WVU and he finished the game with eight catches for 127 yards. One of the top receivers in the league, Baldwin recorded his sixth 100-yard performance of the campaign and is now just 33 yards shy of reaching the 1,000-yard plateau for the season. Dorin Dickerson wasn't a factor last week, but the talented tight end is a threat in the red zone, catching 10 touchdowns for the year.

Pitt's defense had a couple of letdowns last week and they proved costly. The unit first gave up an 88-yard touchdown run late in the third quarter before allowing WVU to drive 42 yards over the final 2:48 to set up a game-winning 43-yard field goal as time expired.

Still, the Panthers only gave up 19 points in the game, so it's kind of hard to fault the defense. Pitt managed only two sacks in the setback and that was really surprising from a team that has registered 42 on the year. If the Panthers are to have any chance of slowing down Cincinnati's attack, they will have to get to Pike on a consistent basis.

Mick Williams and Greg Romeus are two players that have had success getting into the backfield and will surely be counted on to continue their run this weekend. The duo have combined for 25 TFLs and 11.5 sacks and will need to establish their presence early in this one.

This is obviously the biggest game of the season for both programs and a battle is expected at Heinz Field. Cincinnati is enjoying a remarkable campaign, but Pitt has the luxury of hosting this game. The Panthers are clearly the better defensive team, and if their offense can control the clock behind Lewis on the ground, expect Pitt to pull off the upset this weekend.

Predicted Outcome: Pittsburgh 31, Cincinnati 27
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
College Football Matchup - (5) Cincinnati at (14) Pittsburgh

(5) Cincinnati Bearcats (11-0) at (14) Pittsburgh Panthers (9-2)
Date: Saturday, December 5th
Kickoff: 12 p.m. (et)
Site: Heinz Field (65,050) -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Surface: Natural Grass
Home Record: Cincinnati 6-0; Pittsburgh 6-0
Away Record: Cincinnati 5-0; Pittsburgh 3-2
Conference Record: Cincinnati 6-0; Pittsburgh 5-1
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Cincinnati 8W
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: Pittsburgh 8W
Television: ABC
Announcers: Sean McDonough, Matt Millen and Holly Rowe
All-Time Series: Pittsburgh (7-1)
Last Meeting: November 22, 2008 (Cincinnati, 28-21 at Cincinnati)
Series Streak: Pittsburgh has won all five meetings at Pittsburgh

Season Schedule/Results
Cincinnati Bearcats
Sep 7 - W at Rutgers, 47-15
Sep 12 - W vs. SE Missouri St, 70-3
Sep 19 - W at Oregon State, 28-18
Sep 26 - W vs. Fresno State, 28-20
Oct 3 - W at Miami-Ohio, 37-13
Oct 10 - Open
Oct 15 - W at So Florida, 34-17
Oct 24 - W vs. Louisville, 41-10
Oct 31 - W at Syracuse, 28-7
Nov 7 - W vs. Connecticut, 47-45
Nov 13 - W vs. West Virginia, 24-21
Nov 21 - Open
Nov 27 - W vs. Illinois, 49-36
Dec 5 - at Pittsburgh, 12:00 PM
Pittsburgh Panthers
Sep 5 - W vs. Youngstown St, 38-3
Sep 12 - W at Buffalo, 54-27
Sep 19 - W vs. Navy, 27-14
Sep 26 - L at NC State, 31-38
Oct 2 - W at Louisville, 35-10
Oct 10 - W vs. Connecticut, 24-21
Oct 16 - W at Rutgers, 24-17
Oct 24 - W vs. So Florida, 41-14
Oct 31 - Open
Nov 7 - W vs. Syracuse, 37-10
Nov 14 - W vs. Notre Dame, 27-22
Nov 21 - Open
Nov 27 - L at West Virginia, 16-19
Dec 5 - vs. Cincinnati, 12:00 PM
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Cincy, Pitt and a spot in the BCS


The Big East is one of three BCS conferences that doesn?t have a championship game.That doesn?t mean the schedule can?t work a de facto championship tilt into the mix. We?ve got just such a contest on tap on Saturday as the Bearcats travel to the Steel City for a showdown with Pittsburgh on ABC at noon EST.

Cincinnati (11-0 straight up, 6-4 against the spread) wasn?t expected to make another run at the Big East championship, but that?s exactly where Brian Kelly has his squad situated. And they?ve done it with a unit that they didn?t expect to come through.

The Bearcats were expected to have an offense that can light up a scoreboard this season. They haven?t disappointed in that respect by ranking fourth nationally with 472.7 yards per game on the attack in 2009.

Cincy?s offensive success is predicated on how well its passing game is doing. The aerial assault has done the trick this year as the ?Cats are ranked sixth in the country by averaging 322.0 yards per game and No. 6 in scoring offense with 39.7 points per game. Even more impressive about those stats is that the Bearcats have two quarterbacks that can run the offense.



Tony Pike was getting a lot of love from the media for the Heisman Trophy early in the year before suffering a forearm injury against South Florida. It?s not hard to understand why when you see that he?s completing 65 percent of his passes for the year for 2,048 yards, 23 touchdowns and only three picks.

When Pike was down for three weeks, Zach Collaros showed that the future is bright with him under center. The sophomore signal caller has connected on 75 percent of his passes for 1,436 yards with 10 scores and a pair of picks.

Of course, you can have numbers like those when a probable first round draft pick like Mardy Gilyard to catch your passes. Gilyard is 12th in the nation with 93.8 receiving yards per game and has tallied 10 touchdowns during his senior campaign.

The major issue for the Bearcats at the start of the year was how a defense that is returning one starter from 2008 would fare. The results after 11 games have been extremely positive. Cincy gave up 321.9 YPG last season to rank 31st. In 2009, they?re 47th overall in total defense, surrendering 348.6 YPG. Although there is reason for concern on the stopping unit as they?ve given up 190.7 rushing yards over their last three contests.

That kind of number can be music to Pittsburgh?s (9-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) ears after falling to the Mountaineers in last Saturday?s ?Backyard Brawl,? 19-16. Despite the setback in an obvious look-ahead spot, the Panthers still have a chance to win the Big East thanks to Dion Lewis in the backfield.

Lewis has been running over a lot of opponents this season as he?s fourth in the nation with 131.5 YPG on the ground. Last week, he had a great outing with 155 yards on 26 carries. However, Lewis was held without a touchdown for the first time since Oct. 10 against Connecticut.

You?d probably think that Pitt is nothing more than a running team, but you?d be way off base. The Panthers are averaging 218.9 passing yards per game this year. And the man with the plan under center is Bill Stull. Pittsburgh?s signal caller is in the Top 10 in passing efficiency at 153.04. But he is coming off of his worst game of the year, completing 16 of 30 passes for 179 yards with two picks against West Virginia.

Stull does have the benefit of knowing that he?s got a great defense to stop the opposition. Pittsburgh ranks 25th in total defense with 319.6 yards per game and 15th in scoring defense, allowing 17.7 PPG in 2009.

The sportsbooks aren?t ready to make anyone an overwhelming favorite for this tilt as Cincy is just a 1 ?-point road ?chalk? with a total of 58. Bettors can take the Panthers to win outright for a modest plus-115 return (risk $100 to win $115).

That line might have something to do with the fact that the last two head-to-head meetings were decided by seven-points.

Last year, the Bearcats needed Pike to complete 81 percent of his passes for 309 yards and three touchdowns to win 28-21 as six-point home favorites. Stull was rocked for seven sacks last season, while throwing for one score and an interception. It also hurts your chances that you convert just two of 10 third-downs like Pittsburgh did.

Cincinnati has been a quality play when listed as a road ?chalk? in Big East play recently, going 4-1 SU and ATS since November 2007. The ?over? is 4-1 in those spots as well.

While the Bearcats have been a great road bet, we can?t forget the fact that Pittsburgh is 6-0 SU and 3-2 ATS at Heinz Field this year. The ?under? has gone 4-1 in those home tilts.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview: Bearcats (11-0) at Panthers (9-2)

Preview: Bearcats (11-0) at Panthers (9-2)

Preview: Bearcats (11-0) at Panthers (9-2)


Date: December 05, 2009 12:00 PM EDT

Brian Kelly is perhaps the most talked-about coach in the nation these days, but little of that discussion has anything to do with his undefeated Cincinnati team preparing for perhaps the biggest game in the program's history.

As rumors of Kelly's future swirl, his fifth-ranked Bearcats put their unbeaten record on the line Saturday at Heinz Field against No. 14 Pittsburgh, with the winner earning the Big East's Bowl Championship Series berth - and in Cincinnati's case, potentially much more.

In three years, Kelly has elevated the Bearcats (11-0, 6-0) from a mediocre program to a perennial Big East contender.


Cincinnati won the conference and qualified for its first BCS bowl last season, finishing 11-3 after an Orange Bowl loss to Virginia Tech, but Kelly's team has taken its success a step further in 2009. The Bearcats moved to 11-0 for the first time in school history as Tony Pike returned from an arm injury to throw for 399 yards and six touchdowns in a 49-36 win over Illinois on Friday.

"I wouldn't say it was easy to get to 11-0, but 11-0 is not going to matter if we lose to Pittsburgh, and the guys know this,' said senior Mardy Gilyard, who caught two touchdown passes and ran back a kickoff for a score. "If we take care of business, the rest is up to the voters and the computers whatever else is out there, to figure out what we do with the postseason.'

In any other season, beating the Panthers (9-2, 5-1) to wind up 12-0 might guarantee the Bearcats a spot in the national championship game, but with five other unbeatens, it might only be enough to send them back to the Orange Bowl. Should 21st-ranked Nebraska knock off No. 3 Texas in the Big 12 championship game Saturday night, however, either Cincinnati or TCU would likely face the winner of the SEC title game for the BCS championship Jan. 7 in Pasadena, Calif.

"It's championship week,' Kelly said at his Tuesday press conference. "As a coach, it doesn't get any better than this, when you're playing for a championship. There's nothing that gets you more excited than being in this kind of environment, with a championship this week.'

Little of Kelly's press conference was spent discussing Pittsburgh, which won its first three games against the Bearcats after they joined the Big East before Pike threw for 309 yards and three TDs in a 28-21 win last season.

In recent years, Kelly's name was linked with vacancies at Tennessee and Washington. However, with Notre Dame firing Charlie Weis on Monday, speculation about Kelly coaching the Irish has turned into an imminent possibility. While Kelly hasn't said anything to confirm interest, he's done nothing to dismiss himself as a candidate either.

"It's not comfortable for me," Kelly said. "It's not comfortable for those that are involved in it, but it's the reality of it. The only thing I can control is the message every day, and the message to our football players is about how we can become champions and how we can win football games."

While the Bearcats head in on a high note after Pike looked like his normal self in his first start since Oct. 15, the Panthers will are coming off a heartbreaking loss. Trailing bitter rival West Virginia for most of the second half on Nov. 27, Pitt tied the score at 16 when Bill Stull hooked up with Jonathan Baldwin for a 50-yard touchdown, but the Mountaineers kicked a 43-yard field goal as time expired to win 19-16.

"At the beginning of the season, we talked about winning the Big East championship," coach Dave Wannstedt said. "We can accomplish that next week, so we'll turn the page on this week fast.'

Aside from getting beaten by its chief rival, the loss didn't mean all that much to Pittsburgh in the standings. The Bearcats' 24-21 win over West Virginia on Nov. 13 guaranteed the Pitt-Cincinnati season finale would essentially be the first de facto championship game the Big East has had in its 18-year history.

The loser, meanwhile, may be relegated to the Meineke Car Care Bowl.

"We told everyone that we're coming in and we're going to get going on Cincinnati,' linebacker Adam Gunn said. "All us senior captains spoke up and said that we wanted to win the Backyard Brawl, but now it's time to win the Big East.'

Pitt has won one Big East title, when it finished in a four-way tie in 2004 and was routed by Utah in the Fiesta Bowl. The Panthers haven't won 10 games since going 11-1 in 1981, Dan Marino's junior season.

Stull has been mostly solid in his senior year, throwing 19 touchdowns and six interceptions and posting a 153.0 passer rating that's second in the conference behind Pike's 162.2.

His worst game, however, came in the loss to the Mountaineers, when he threw two critical interceptions.

Despite allowing Illinois to pass for 307 yards, the Bearcats' biggest concern likely won't be Stull and Baldwin, who's third in the conference in receiving yards per game (87.9) behind Gilyard (93.8), who's second. Instead it'll be freshman tailback Dion Lewis, who is the nation's fourth-leading rusher (131.5 ypg) and has topped 100 yards in five straight games.

The Bearcats have allowed 190.7 yards rushing and 442.7 total yards in their past three victories.

Pittsburgh is first nationally with 43 sacks, while Cincinnati has given up nine, the nation's third-fewest.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Pittsburgh Panthers (5-0) (3-0 H) vs Cincinnati Bearcats (4-0) (3-0 A)

Game Time: 12:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, December 5

Stadium: Heinz Field Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Cincinnati Bearcats HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 6 - 0 5 - 0 11 - 0 1 - 4 4 - 1 5 - 5 2 - 3 2 - 3 4 - 6
Last 5 games 4 - 0 1 - 0 5 - 0 1 - 3 1 - 0 2 - 3 2 - 2 0 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 3 - 0 6 - 0 1 - 2 3 - 0 4 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 1 3 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Pittsburgh Panthers HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 6 - 0 3 - 2 9 - 2 3 - 2 3 - 2 6 - 4 1 - 4 1 - 3 2 - 7
Last 5 games 3 - 0 1 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 2 - 1 5 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 1 4 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 3 1 - 5
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Cincinnati Bearcats 3 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 0 1 - 4 0 - 0 0 - 0 1 - 4
Pittsburgh Panthers 3 - 1 0 - 0 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 2



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Cincinnati Bearcats
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/07/09 Mon @RUT 47 - 15 W +6.5 +4.5 W 36.5 49.0 47.5 O +-14.5 G
09/12/09 Sat SEM 70 - 3 W -0 -0 W 67 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @ORST 28 - 18 W +3.5 -1.5 W 8.5 54.0 57.0 U -11.0 T
09/26/09 Sat FRE 28 - 20 W -14 -17 L -9 59.0 63.0 U -15.0 T
10/03/09 Sat @MIAOH 37 - 13 W -26 -29 L -5 56.0 59.0 U -9.0 G
10/15/09 Thu @SFLA 34 - 17 W +1.5 -1.5 W 15.5 49.5 49.0 O +- 2.0 T
10/24/09 Sat LOU 41 - 10 W -17 -17 W 14 55.0 56.0 U -5.0 T
10/31/09 Sat @SYR 28 - 7 W -16 -15.5 W 5.5 51.0 52.5 U -17.5 T
11/07/09 Sat CT 47 - 45 W -12 -16.5 L -14.5 49.0 51.5 O +-40.5 T
11/13/09 Fri WV 24 - 21 W -8.5 -9.5 L -6.5 56.0 56.5 U -11.5 T
11/27/09 Fri IL 49 - 36 W -16.5 -19 L -6 56.0 59.0 O +-26.0 T


Pittsburgh Panthers
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat YOU 38 - 3 W -0 -0 W 35 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @BUFF 54 - 27 W -11 -12 W 15 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat NAVY 27 - 14 W -8 -8 W 5 51.0 49.0 U -8.0 G
09/26/09 Sat @NCST 31 - 38 L +1.5 -1.5 L -8.5 46.0 47.0 O +-22.0 G
10/02/09 Fri @LOU 35 - 10 W -6 -7 W 18 53.5 53.0 U -8.0 G
10/10/09 Sat CT 24 - 21 W -10 -6.5 L -3.5 45.0 47.5 U -2.5 G
10/16/09 Fri @RUT 24 - 17 W -3 -6 W 1 48.5 45.5 U -4.5 G
10/24/09 Sat SFLA 41 - 14 W -7 -6.5 W 20.5 48.0 48.5 O +- 6.5 G
11/07/09 Sat SYR 37 - 10 W -21 -21.5 W 5.5 49.0 50.0 U -3.0 G
11/14/09 Sat ND 27 - 22 W -6.5 -6 L -1 57.0 58.5 U -9.5 G
11/27/09 Fri @WV 16 - 19 L +0 +0 L -3 48.0 48.5 U -13.5 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/08/05 Sat CIN 20 PITT 38 -13.0 -15.0 PITT +3 NL NL O +-58 T
09/08/06 Fri PITT 33 CIN 15 +10 +7.5 CIN --10.5 43.0 43.5 O +-4.5 T
10/20/07 Sat CIN 17 PITT 24 +9.5 +9.5 PITT +16.5 49.0 50.0 U -9 T
11/22/08 Sat PITT 21 CIN 28 -5.0 -6.0 CIN +1 47.5 48.5 O +-0.5 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CIN (off) 34.8 21 29 145 5.0 38 24 0.6 301 7.9 446 0.8 0.0
PITT (def) 14.0 16 34 102 3.0 26 14 0.5 152 5.8 254 1.5 0.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CIN (def) 14.0 20 34 91 2.7 38 24 0.6 232 6.1 323 1.8 0.2
PITT (off) 32.3 20 37 198 5.4 27 18 0.7 243 9.0 441 0.7 0.3
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CIN (off) 39.4 21 29 151 5.2 35 24 0.7 322 9.2 473 0.5 0.2
PITT (def) 17.7 18 34 112 3.3 30 18 0.6 208 6.9 320 1.0 0.7
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CIN (def) 18.6 20 39 136 3.5 33 20 0.6 212 6.4 348 1.3 0.3
PITT (off) 32.2 19 35 184 5.3 27 17 0.6 219 8.1 403 0.5 0.5



SCORING AVERAGES:

Cincinnati Bearcats (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.0 15.2 21.2 5.6 8.0 0.0 13.6
POINTS ALLOWED 5.4 2.4 7.8 4.0 2.2 0.0 6.2



Pittsburgh Panthers (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.0 11.5 16.5 8.3 7.5 0.0 15.8
POINTS ALLOWED 1.7 3.3 5 2.3 6.7 0.0 9



Cincinnati Bearcats (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 10.6 14.5 25.1 7.3 7.0 0.0 14.3
POINTS ALLOWED 4.9 5.1 10 3.6 5.0 0.0 8.6



Pittsburgh Panthers (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.7 9.4 16.1 8.5 7.5 0.0 16
POINTS ALLOWED 3.5 4.1 7.6 3.5 6.7 0.0 10.2



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Cincinnati Bearcats 43
Pittsburgh Panthers 56 -17.0 16.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 53 1 under
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 5, 2009
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Pittsburgh Panthers are ranked 46 on offense, averaging 402.7 yards per game. The Panthers are averaging 183.8 yards rushing and 218.9 yards passing so far this season.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are ranked 4 on offense, averaging 472.7 yards per game. The Bearcats are averaging 150.8 yards rushing and 321.9 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Pittsburgh Panthers are 6-0 at home this season, 5-1 against conference opponents and 4-1 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Panthers are averaging 32.3 scoring, and holding teams to 14.0 points scored on defense.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 5-0 while on the road this season, 6-0 against conference opponents and 5-0 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Bearcats are averaging 34.8 scoring, and holding teams to 14.0 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Trends - No. 5 Cincinnati at No. 15 Pittsburgh

Trends - No. 5 Cincinnati at No. 15 Pittsburgh

Trends - No. 5 Cincinnati at No. 15 Pittsburgh

ATS Trends

Cincinnati

Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bearcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Bearcats are 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bearcats are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on grass.
Bearcats are 16-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.


Pittsburgh

Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Panthers are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a S.U. loss.
Panthers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Panthers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.


OU Trends

Cincinnati

Under is 5-1-1 in Bearcats last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-2-1 in Bearcats last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 10-3-1 in Bearcats last 14 games on grass.
Under is 8-3 in Bearcats last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 5-2 in Bearcats last 7 games in December.
Over is 13-6-1 in Bearcats last 20 road games.


Pittsburgh

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 7-1 in Panthers last 8 conference games.
Under is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 games overall.
Under is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in December.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Panthers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-3 in Panthers last 10 games as a home underdog.
Under is 9-4 in Panthers last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.


Head to Head

No trends available.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Doubleheader begins Championship Saturday

Doubleheader begins Championship Saturday

Doubleheader begins Championship Saturday

By game time on Saturday, two more conference tiles will have been decided over the last couple of games and now it?s time to fill the last five spots, which includes four specific BCS bowl slots. Starting in Pittsburgh, the home of the defending professional football and hockey champions and the Pirates (keeps things in balance), the Big East championship game will be played. Over in Greenville, NC, where they average 50 inches of rain a year, the Conference USA crown will be determined, with the winner advancing to the Liberty Bowl. Let the fun begin.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 12:00E ABC

The Bearcats (6-5 ATS) are perfect 11-0 heading into what is Big East championship contest. Coach Brian Kelly has done a terrific job of keeping all the excitement in perspective, saying ??the program has conceivably has arrived, but it is not built?. Tony Pike is back as the starting quarterback; however Kelly has deftly changed the offense from a passing team, to one that has compiled 180 yards or more rushing in the in four of the last five games. This strategy has worked well in thinking ahead to the potential of inclement weather and given opposing defenses something else to worry about. The defense has worn down as the season progressed, especially against the run, being gouged for over 200 yards in the last two of last three games which will be a focal point Pittsburgh will certainly attack. Cincy is 27-9 ATS vs. teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points per game.

Pittsburgh (9-2, 6-3-1 ATS) is off confidence deflating loss at West Virginia 19-16 and now like many of the teams playing this weekend for championships, can focus on the task at hand. Coach Dave Wannstedt has taken a lot of grief as head coach in several stops; nevertheless he is to be commended for this job. He built the program his way, defense first and a pro-style offensive attack. He not only was able to get the right players to fit his program, but worked with players that improved each season like QB Bill Stull. He wasn?t afraid to take a chance on dynamic RB Dion Lewis, considered too small by others. The Panthers are 12-5-1 ATS in last 17 lined contests.

Bookmaker.com has seen Pittsburgh go from opening as 1.5-point favorites to two-point underdogs. In order to prove bettors wrong the Panthers must be the more physical team, control the clock with run game and have defensive front pressure Pike. Pittsburgh?s 43 sacks was the best in college football, while Cincinnati has given up nine, the nation's third-fewest. Wanny?s crew really gave a non-effort in loss to West Virginia last week and is 5-1 ATS off a spread loss.

Pittsburgh?s secondary is not as good as its numbers (45th) which provides coach Kelly an opportunity to dissect it, while looking thru companies in South Bend that make business cards. If the offensive line holds up, Pike should carve Pitt up like a surgeon. Pike is the better quarterback in this BCS battle. Defensively, the Cats have to find ways to get off the field, since they lose in slug-fest. Cincy is 28-11-1 ATS as visitors against teams with winning home records.

This series is known as the River City Rivalry and Pittsburgh is 7-1 and 4-1 ATS and the total of this Big East bash is 58.

Power Line ? Pittsburgh by 5
Forecaster ? Cincinnati covers

Houston at East Carolina ? 12:00E ESPN2

It took all season, but two of the teams that were thought to be in the Conference USA championship game in early October have emerged as division champions. East Carolina held off Southern Mississippi 25-20 and now has a chance to be back-to-back champs. The Pirates (8-4, 5-6 ATS) advanced to the championship contest based on many of the same things that helped them all season. Sixth-year senior quarterback Patrick Pinkney led the way throwing for 269 yards and the defensive line made play after play, allowing East Carolina survive. East Carolina will be the host for this title tilt, however they are only .500 against the spread in last 52 home games.

Houston (10-2, 8-3 ATS) was supposed to play in this game a season ago, but was derailed by Rice. The Cougars made sure that didn?t happen two years in a row by obliterating the Owls 73-14 and moving on to first championship conflict. Quarterback Case Keenum will bring the nation?s top passing game into Greenville, averaging over 440 yards thru the air, with its dizzying array of pass patterns and movement. Keenum is a finalist for the Davey O?Brien National Quarterback Award and has terrific receivers to throw to. The Cougars are consistent offensively, scoring in 45 of 48 quarters this season, which is the highest average in college football at 93.7 percent. Houston is only 10-22 ATS in road games after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game.

East Carolina pulls the upset as 2.5-point dogs as if Pinkney throws accurately and RB Dominique Lindsay runs wild. Both are possibilities as Houston allowed 445 yards per game (those same teams averaged 370 YPG) and was 113th in run defense. The best way to beat Houston is a clich?, but it?s true, keep the offense on the sidelines. The Pirates can steal a win since they are 13-2 ATS when they score 28 or more points.

ECU is lucky to be here. Southern Miss fumbled and lost the ball at the one going in for touchdown and had blocked extra point returned for two points. Houston has to block a very good defensive line to give Keenum time to throw. This offense is unstoppable if pass patterns are given time to develop (ask losers). On defense, the Cougars will allow a ton of yards, but need to make a few stops or force turnovers. Houston historically has a vast collection of bad angles; nonetheless they are 8-3 ATS THIS season.

Here are numbers to chew on about this C-USA battle. Houston is 2-9 ATS in road games when they allow 28 or more points, while East Carolina is 0-6 ATS when they concede 28 or more points. The road team has won four of last five meetings and covered the spread each time. Additionally, in head to head matchups, Houston won by 21 points and East Carolina by 14.2.

Power Line ? Houston by 2
- Houston covers
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top