Hi everyone,
Looking to keep things rolling here and have 5 dogs I have locked into for Saturday. Been doing well this season in CFB, NFL, and off to a good start in CBB and NBA as well - continuing to build up the bankroll so able to increase wager amounts as I like to do that especially when running well...this is the time of year though I absolutely love dogs in college football...bowl season is nearing, several of today's games are similar to bowl games...i lean to dogs in bowl games because year in and out if you stick to playing dogs you can make money...things tighten up when you have 2 solid teams playing against each other and often the underdog is trying harder to win than the favored team...sometimes the favored team is disappointed to be in that particular bowl game and just doesn't show up to give 100%...
So anyways back to today - here are 5 dogs I like today...one lesson i live by is to never be too greedy - i'd be very happy with a 3W-2L day here - that would be 60% winners and would love to finish w/ that - of course 5-0 would be very nice and i believe there is a shot but i'm realistic - anyways good luck if you play them - i'm playing them each for 2 times my normal wager amount...been having some really nice weeks and very profitable year - so putting 10 total units into play on these 5 games...
One last note - this is very important - especially this time of year - it's extremely important to have a few different outlets where you can bet - one place/guy might have one number, another might have one more favorable...I always shop to get the best number...this can be huge as I know alot of people who lost Rutgers the other night because they had them +2.5...I had them +3 and couldn't believe they blew that lead but I ended up w/ the push instead of the loss...80% of my outlets had +2.5 but one had them +3...especially around the key numbers of 3, 7, 10, 14 - that extra half point is key...so pay attention to the lines...there is a big difference between 6.5 and 7 or 2.5 and 3...one of the major things I do is try to understand the line and why it is set the way it is...I also am looking for any edge and often getting a line at say a +7.5 vs. a 7 will justify a value play on the dog -
One game tonight I think the extra .5 half point really adds value to the play is on Pittsburgh - I locked them in at +28.5...this line came out w/ Pitt +26.5 and obviously the public and majority are in love with West Virginia...i mean after last weeks blowout and such why wouldn't you right? I think Pitt comes to play as they usually do in this matchup...they are the biggest dog on the board and they don't want to be embarrassed...will they win - probably not - but expect a 60 minute effort and West Virginia can say this is just another game but they just really need to win - they don't need to impress w/ a 30+ point blowout. Anyways big differnence between Pitt +26.5 and Pitt +28.5 in my opinion...they can be down 35 late and come in for a backdoor TD to lose by 28 - that's how big the hook is in my opinion. Take these things into consideration. Same with Tennessee in my opinion - I locked in at +7.5 - i know some still have at 7, some even 6.5 - line came out at +6 - big difference getting it at +7.5 than at +6 when it came out...same goes for Arizona - I got this at +7.5 - but seeing alot of 7's out there - but search and you should find a 7.5...it's all those extra .5, 1, 1.5, or more points that make a difference at the end of the year...so look for the best line possible - get multiple outs - not hard to find if you look for them...there are a number of reasons different sources have different numbers - some regions will get hit harder on some games - so you might find better numbers on some - one of my outs is getting large % on Oklahoma - so he's put out a -3.5 on them - I liked Missouri in this anyways so the +3.5 vs. the 3 that alot of other outs have is another bonus...takes time to shop & compare, but at the end of the day it adds money in my pocket
Alright, hope you all do well today...
THE DOG PLAYS FOR SATURDAY:
Tennessee +7.5
UCLA +20
Pittsburgh +28.5
Arizona +7.5
Missouri +3.5
All plays risking $2,200 to win $2,000...good luck 2 all as always
-SAVE IT
Looking to keep things rolling here and have 5 dogs I have locked into for Saturday. Been doing well this season in CFB, NFL, and off to a good start in CBB and NBA as well - continuing to build up the bankroll so able to increase wager amounts as I like to do that especially when running well...this is the time of year though I absolutely love dogs in college football...bowl season is nearing, several of today's games are similar to bowl games...i lean to dogs in bowl games because year in and out if you stick to playing dogs you can make money...things tighten up when you have 2 solid teams playing against each other and often the underdog is trying harder to win than the favored team...sometimes the favored team is disappointed to be in that particular bowl game and just doesn't show up to give 100%...
So anyways back to today - here are 5 dogs I like today...one lesson i live by is to never be too greedy - i'd be very happy with a 3W-2L day here - that would be 60% winners and would love to finish w/ that - of course 5-0 would be very nice and i believe there is a shot but i'm realistic - anyways good luck if you play them - i'm playing them each for 2 times my normal wager amount...been having some really nice weeks and very profitable year - so putting 10 total units into play on these 5 games...
One last note - this is very important - especially this time of year - it's extremely important to have a few different outlets where you can bet - one place/guy might have one number, another might have one more favorable...I always shop to get the best number...this can be huge as I know alot of people who lost Rutgers the other night because they had them +2.5...I had them +3 and couldn't believe they blew that lead but I ended up w/ the push instead of the loss...80% of my outlets had +2.5 but one had them +3...especially around the key numbers of 3, 7, 10, 14 - that extra half point is key...so pay attention to the lines...there is a big difference between 6.5 and 7 or 2.5 and 3...one of the major things I do is try to understand the line and why it is set the way it is...I also am looking for any edge and often getting a line at say a +7.5 vs. a 7 will justify a value play on the dog -
One game tonight I think the extra .5 half point really adds value to the play is on Pittsburgh - I locked them in at +28.5...this line came out w/ Pitt +26.5 and obviously the public and majority are in love with West Virginia...i mean after last weeks blowout and such why wouldn't you right? I think Pitt comes to play as they usually do in this matchup...they are the biggest dog on the board and they don't want to be embarrassed...will they win - probably not - but expect a 60 minute effort and West Virginia can say this is just another game but they just really need to win - they don't need to impress w/ a 30+ point blowout. Anyways big differnence between Pitt +26.5 and Pitt +28.5 in my opinion...they can be down 35 late and come in for a backdoor TD to lose by 28 - that's how big the hook is in my opinion. Take these things into consideration. Same with Tennessee in my opinion - I locked in at +7.5 - i know some still have at 7, some even 6.5 - line came out at +6 - big difference getting it at +7.5 than at +6 when it came out...same goes for Arizona - I got this at +7.5 - but seeing alot of 7's out there - but search and you should find a 7.5...it's all those extra .5, 1, 1.5, or more points that make a difference at the end of the year...so look for the best line possible - get multiple outs - not hard to find if you look for them...there are a number of reasons different sources have different numbers - some regions will get hit harder on some games - so you might find better numbers on some - one of my outs is getting large % on Oklahoma - so he's put out a -3.5 on them - I liked Missouri in this anyways so the +3.5 vs. the 3 that alot of other outs have is another bonus...takes time to shop & compare, but at the end of the day it adds money in my pocket
Alright, hope you all do well today...
THE DOG PLAYS FOR SATURDAY:
Tennessee +7.5
UCLA +20
Pittsburgh +28.5
Arizona +7.5
Missouri +3.5
All plays risking $2,200 to win $2,000...good luck 2 all as always
-SAVE IT
