5 run chase 4/23

[cisco]

4/23
To date this system is 28-2 +13.09 units
The run line is 6-10 +.25 units
17.36 units saved by not going to game 4 with Boston And San Francisco yesterday.


Yesterday:
No games played



Additions:
Florida 12-6
Philadelphia 9-3
Angels 6-1



Today:
Play against: Oakland gm 1
Play on: Baltimore ?120
RL -1.5 +172


Pending:
4/24 Dodgers
4/24 Cubs
4/24 San Diego
4/24 Florida
4/24 Dodgers
4/24 Mets
4/24 Texas
4/25 Florida
Busy day tomorrow



Series Ineligible: - Rules don?t allow me to play. Play?em if you like.
They are 8-0 for +10.31 units.
I track?em but I don?t count?em up above.
4/25 Angels. First two games vs Tampa Bay
4/25 Phillies. First two games vs Washington





THE 5 RUN CHASE
1. Wait for a team to win a game by 5 runs or more.
2. Skip that teams next 2 games.
3. Bet against that team for up to the next 4 games.
4. If the team wins by 5 runs or more during the 4 game period, skip another 2 games.
5. If/When the team your playing against wins 4 games it is a loss. (15 units minimum)
When playing the run line, I only play when the team is + money.

Chase is over when you win.
The bet is always to win one unit.

Teams presently not eligible to bet on, but ok to bet against.
Tampa Bay
Kansas City
Washington
Pittsburgh

 

[el JB]

let's do this

let's do this

ok... Balt'os it is....also the under...and parlay to top it off with a cherry compadre

 

[cisco]

27% of all games are won by one run.
Here's the formula for betting -1


How it's done
To figure out how much to bet on the ML do this.
Take 100/132=.7576
Add 1 = 1.7576
Take 100 and divide by 1.7576.
=56.90


Example:
White Sox (-132)
White Sox -1.5 (+164)

Bet $56.90 at -132 to win $43.11
Bet $43.11 at -1.5 (+164) to win $70.70.
If White Sox win by 1, you break even, just like the -1 line.

 

[cisco]

If anyone would like to play the -1 run line today-

Line:
Bal -124
RL -1.5 +173

Bet 68.63 to win 55.35
Bet 55.35 on the RL -1.5 +173 to win 95.76

Win by 2 = Win 151.11
Win by 1 = Break even

 

[Dr Feelgood]

Thanks Cisco,

number 1 for helping me to save all those units yesterday on the Yanks (puke) and Zona...

number 2 for explaining to me about the large dog/large favorite though process

number 3 for everything you do for the bases forum...

 

[T OFF]

WITHOUT A DOUBT THANKS FOR EVERYTHIG YOU DO CISCO WITH THE SYSTEMS

WILL WE BE GOING OPPOSITE THE TEAMS YOUR SHOWING FOR TOMORROW CORRECT? TEXAS IS EARLY TOMORROW I CAN GET ON IT B4 I GO TO WORK IN MORNING


AND THOUGH YOU CANT BET IT ON THE 25TH

WE PLAY PHILI AND LAA IF WE WANT :shrug: