5 run chase for sunday

cisco

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Dec 1, 2000
6,360
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usa/mexico
4/22
To date this system is 28-2 +13.09 units
The run line is 6-10 +.25 units

I?m stopping the chase on Boston & San Francisco. The odds are too great to put 19 units in jeopardy. Boston ?180 and SF ?186.
It?s better to take the losses and move on.
I mentioned before that I might be going to a 2 game chase so I don?t think this is such a big deal.
Of 37 series played, 33 have won in games 1 & 2.
It?s all about making money. Not about being Macho.

Day 1 19
Day 2 14
Day 3 1
Day 4 1
Lost 2



Yesterday: 2-2
Giants win. Stopping after gm 3 ?7.44 units
Boston wins. Stopping after gm 3 ?9.92 units
Yankees lost gm 1 (not counted)
Houston lost gm 1 (not counted)
Colorado lost gm 1
Cincinnati lost gm 2
Philly RL won +133


Additions:
Mets 7-2 skip 2 games
Cubs 6-0
Florida 9-3
Texas 7-0


Today:
No Games today

Pending:
4/22 White Sox ?Look below
4/23 San Diego
4/23 Oakland
4/24 Dodgers
4/24 Cubs
4/24 Florida
4/24 Dodgers
4/24 Mets
4/24 Texas




Series Ineligible:- Rules don?t allow me to play. Play?em if you like.
They are 7-0 for +9.31 units.
I track?em but I don?t count?em up above.

4/22 White Sox. Second 2 games at Kansas City.
Gm 2 Det ?159



THE 5 RUN CHASE
1. Wait for a team to win a game by 5 runs or more.
2. Skip that teams next 2 games.
3. Bet against that team for up to the next 4 games.
4. If the team wins by 5 runs or more during the 4 game period, skip another 2 games.
5. If/When the team your playing against wins 4 games it is a loss. (15 units minimum)
When playing the run line, I only play when the team is + money.

Chase is over when you win.
The bet is always to win one unit.

Teams presently not eligible to bet on, but ok to bet against.
Tampa Bay
Kansas City
Washington
Pittsburgh
 

IntenseOperator

DeweyOxburger
Forum Member
Sep 16, 2003
17,897
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Chicago
Great work as usual Cisco!

Just my worthless opinion, and not involving tracking in the system....but Sundays for whatever reason are very Dog friendly (I'm thinking full crowds at the stadiums, I have no numbers to back this up). If it was any other day of the week, I wouldn't make mention of this. But it might be worth it for those interested to make a play on Zona. Pass on the Yanks if it hits. Sunday Night Baseball is very dog friendly. If Zona doesn't come in, it might be worth it to play the second big dog for the same or more.

GL
 

Dr Feelgood

StonedPimp
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Feb 3, 2001
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Cisco,

You say the odds are too great in the Boston game...aren't we supposed to be playing the Yankees in those games??? They would be plus 160/170 ish...

same with SF, aren't we supposed to be playing the Diamonbacks in that one???
 

Dr Feelgood

StonedPimp
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Feb 3, 2001
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Oh trust me, I am too and it killed me to lose money betting on the Yanks the last 2 days but for clarification I guess am I correct in assuming the bets are supposed to be on the underdogs (well SF already won---thankfully I didn't bet that one)?????

So why do you speak of the long odds on Boston???

Trust me, I am thankful for all you do, as your systems are Freakin $$$$$$....I just want to be sure I am doing this right as I am a lifetime loser looking for an edge, and your systems have provided that so far...
 

cisco

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Dec 1, 2000
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usa/mexico
Simple, I don't like being a large underdog.

I'm not stopping you from putting 11 units on the Yankees. I'm saying I'm not going to do it.

This is the system I used last year and it worked out well.

Use only teams with a winning percentage of .470 or lower.
Bet against that team for up to the next 4 games
.

You see, my intent was to beat up on the little guy and make a lot of money doing so. I want to lay the -180, not the other way around. I may go back to this in May when the teams start to show themselves. This also means a lot less action.

This year, I thought Id open it up to add more teams and more plays I backtested 2006 and came up with 19 series losses but ended +82 units for the season. The numbers are similar to what we've done so far.
1..108
2..54
3...25
4..10
Lost ..19

Cheer up. We're still in the black by a good margin and we have a whole season ahead. Stay with me.
:toast:
 

Dr Feelgood

StonedPimp
Forum Member
Feb 3, 2001
3,631
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Las Vegas
Cisco,

I think you are reading me wrong...I am not jumping ship in the least, I was just trying to be sure I was not misreading you...

I get it now, as far as the large underdog goes...makes sense and as much as I would love to bet the Sox I am just gonna watch and hope for the sweep...

good luck and continued success...
 

el JB

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 6, 2006
3,605
10
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Mexico/Texas
Cisco you are soooo right

Cisco you are soooo right

common sense is the least common of all senses and i see you have it well developed...i have been taking some cautions and i see you too ...that is a good strategy to make a buck instead of telling the world i am the best in this or that
THIS LINE OF THINKING MAKES ME PROUD TO TAIL YOU so keep it up man!!!!:00hour
 
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