5 unit play ...

william13

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taking jimmy j for 5 units to finish in top five , also taking jj for 1 unit to win ! g/l ..... hondo
 

william13

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yeah baby , pick up 10' units .... plus 4' for the season ....

this is way i played last year taking the one of the big boys to hit the top five . dont play match up or pay any juice. so close with gordon last race .
you can get on a roll and hit 5 or 6 in arow..
made some nice coin last year.... g/l
 

The Big Tease

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congrats on the hit.....however, dont fool yourself thinking that you are not paying juice on "To win" and "Top 5" bets. It is mixed in there and you dont realize it. If you do the math you can figure out what the juice actually is.

And hey I am 7-0 on my last 7 matchups, so I will stick with em!!
 

william13

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congrats on your 7-0 run .. wasnt poking at playing match ups. hope you didnt see it that way . just spilling info on how i play.
dont see chalk on a 1 to 1 bet ? and got jimmy at plus 555
on not playing juice , i try never to bet any sport with juice.i do play alittle basket right before the cup starts. i moslty just bet nascar and the horses...
usually ride out the top five pick in nascar and not the win bet ,but it early and have the fever alittle.
i like said wasnt trying to put down the way anybody bets was just showing the system i use .. stay hot .. g/l ..hondo
 

The Big Tease

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Hey William, here is what I mean by juice on win bets..... you can convert odds into percentages, and if you have exactly 100% total on all bets that means there is no juice.....for example......lets just say for conversation sake that johnson is -300 to win the race....that means he has a 75% chance to win.......the other odds for the other drivers should add up to 25% if you have no juice......but usually you will find that if you do the math the percentages equal somewhere around the area of 115-120%, which is about the same juice you will pay for a matchup!

Good luck and keep giving winners!
 

toastonastick

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J Johnson failed post race inspection. So did Kyle Bush. Johnsons car was too low. Doubt they'd take away the win.
 

The Big Tease

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I heard that both will have 25 points deducted and crew chiefs suspended for 1 week......bullcrap because I bet on Kurt Busch, the top non-cheating car of the bunch......
 

william13

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i agree toast.. i guess they thought dale only won the race, because he said shit after the race ?? he should have showed a nipple ..lol.. g/l ....
 

toastonastick

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LOL..

This season could get boring real quick if we see Rousch Vs. Hendrick for every race! I read a good article today about how NASCAR, NBC and Fox are all stressing over the chance that Junior Doesn't make the chase.

Personaly, I don't pull for Jr. at all. But the fact is he is THE #1 draw at every race. I think if he doesn't make the chase we could see a good drop in attendance and viewers.


My guess is that 20 to 30 percent of all fans at a race are going for the 8 car.
 

william13

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not a big jr fan either ... we'll find out sunday he usually does well at atlanta .. but if there was a line i would bet he'll make the chase .... alot races left .... go jimmy j .......
 

toastonastick

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whats your early lean this week?


As you can probaly tell, I usually won't take the favorite. I usually look for the capable winners with decent value.

I do like your angle with the top 5.

My book still has johnson at 7-2 after the penalties.
 

Another Steve

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Nice Hit, sorry so late. Wish I could do Top Five. I also had Kurt. First week off Jimmy and look what happens.
 

william13

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heh he , i looking at jr to hit top five... hoping to get better than 1 to 1 ..possible 3 to 1 .... he got to land a good race and this is the track that could get him started .. he got 6 top five in 11 races .. or i may half the 5 units and put 2' on jr and 2' on jimmy... ???? if race was today thats what i'd do ..... hondo
 
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