Toronto vs. BALTIMORE under 10 1/2 +115 261/300
Toronto and Baltimore have played to totals of 10, 9 1/2 and 9 1/2 in the first three games of the series and now the total has gone up. The likely reason is that all three games have gone over but in two of the cases it was one or to slugs on the mound that caused a load of runs to score. Hendrickson was beaten by the lowly Tigers last time out but his strikeout totals were high and I expect a better performance here. Lopez gave up an absolute ton of hits and was in trouble all day vs. New York despite posting a low run total. Against a Toronto team that is struggling offensively he should post better H/IP numbers. Bullpens are relatively rested even though the numbers are not there on either side. What I like is that in both cases the arms are better than the numbers so the potential is there for a shutdown day in the late innings.
Detroit +161 over KANSAS CITY 186/300
It is Lima Time again and obviously there will be incentive to beat him after his highly publicized comments ripping the Tigers organization last season. Roney comes in off his best start of the season and with the high strikeout and low hit totals there is really no reason to expect anything but another quality start. Lima, on the other hand, is striking out almost nobody and walking just about as many as he strikes out. You can tread water for a while doing that but eventually you will get hit, and with Dimitri Young's key bat hitting up, today should be the spot for it. Bullpen advantage is with KC but only slightly. They have given up runs in 2 of 3 games in this series. What really makes this a strong spot in my opinion for Detroit is that KC's lineup is really having a hard time finding consistency without Randa and Sweeney. Now, I know they have scored good amounts of runs the last two days, but when two guys that important are out a correction is bound to occur.
I am just going to stick with the two plays today and I am staying with the same strategy of playing "to win" my base wager amount of $300 with each play. Thank you very much to the folks who posted in my thread yesterday. I didn't get home until late yesterday so I didn't post any reply in that thread but I want you all to know that it was very appreciated. Good luck.
Toronto and Baltimore have played to totals of 10, 9 1/2 and 9 1/2 in the first three games of the series and now the total has gone up. The likely reason is that all three games have gone over but in two of the cases it was one or to slugs on the mound that caused a load of runs to score. Hendrickson was beaten by the lowly Tigers last time out but his strikeout totals were high and I expect a better performance here. Lopez gave up an absolute ton of hits and was in trouble all day vs. New York despite posting a low run total. Against a Toronto team that is struggling offensively he should post better H/IP numbers. Bullpens are relatively rested even though the numbers are not there on either side. What I like is that in both cases the arms are better than the numbers so the potential is there for a shutdown day in the late innings.
Detroit +161 over KANSAS CITY 186/300
It is Lima Time again and obviously there will be incentive to beat him after his highly publicized comments ripping the Tigers organization last season. Roney comes in off his best start of the season and with the high strikeout and low hit totals there is really no reason to expect anything but another quality start. Lima, on the other hand, is striking out almost nobody and walking just about as many as he strikes out. You can tread water for a while doing that but eventually you will get hit, and with Dimitri Young's key bat hitting up, today should be the spot for it. Bullpen advantage is with KC but only slightly. They have given up runs in 2 of 3 games in this series. What really makes this a strong spot in my opinion for Detroit is that KC's lineup is really having a hard time finding consistency without Randa and Sweeney. Now, I know they have scored good amounts of runs the last two days, but when two guys that important are out a correction is bound to occur.
I am just going to stick with the two plays today and I am staying with the same strategy of playing "to win" my base wager amount of $300 with each play. Thank you very much to the folks who posted in my thread yesterday. I didn't get home until late yesterday so I didn't post any reply in that thread but I want you all to know that it was very appreciated. Good luck.
